Texas Spring 2023

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1081 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Apr 30, 2023 11:12 am

rwfromkansas wrote:Seeing lots of talk of May being a dud with an Omega block. Uh oh. Early summer?

NAO is taking a nosedive
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
Cpv17
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4975
Joined: Wed Dec 07, 2016 2:24 pm
Location: Wharton/El Campo, TX

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1082 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Apr 30, 2023 11:20 am

Iceresistance wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:Seeing lots of talk of May being a dud with an Omega block. Uh oh. Early summer?

NAO is taking a nosedive


And that would do what for us? Models look wet overall over the next couple weeks. Don’t think I’m too concerned right now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1083 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Apr 30, 2023 11:46 am

Cpv17 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:Seeing lots of talk of May being a dud with an Omega block. Uh oh. Early summer?

NAO is taking a nosedive


And that would do what for us? Models look wet overall over the next couple weeks. Don’t think I’m too concerned right now.

-NAO has a Greenland Block, but not a crazy one this time around. (If it was in February, then this would be flooded with nasty cold possibility talking. :lol: )

Also, it appears that the -NAO forces storm systems to dive further south toward us.
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1084 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Apr 30, 2023 12:08 pm

A VERY WET signal from the GEFS in the first couple of weeks of May, it is mostly in Central Texas.
1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1085 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Apr 30, 2023 12:39 pm

AAM is finally rising and forecast to go pretty high, signaling a strong ocean/atmosphere coupling for El Nino may finally be taking place. Bring on the cool, wet May for Texas! Although we will probably see a few warmer and drier days to start May before things get cranking.
1 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1086 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Apr 30, 2023 1:41 pm

bubba hotep wrote:AAM is finally rising and forecast to go pretty high, signaling a strong ocean/atmosphere coupling for El Nino may finally be taking place. Bring on the cool, wet May for Texas! Although we will probably see a few warmer and drier days to start May before things get cranking.

Yeah, I also want to mention that the GEFS has a Severe Weather signal already between May 4th to May 10th and again between May 12th to 15th...
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1087 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Apr 30, 2023 3:29 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:AAM is finally rising and forecast to go pretty high, signaling a strong ocean/atmosphere coupling for El Nino may finally be taking place. Bring on the cool, wet May for Texas! Although we will probably see a few warmer and drier days to start May before things get cranking.

Yeah, I also want to mention that the GEFS has a Severe Weather signal already between May 4th to May 10th and again between May 12th to 15th...


GEFS has a Severe Weather signal


Checks calendar

between May 4th to May 10th and again between May 12th to 15th.


Image
2 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1088 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Apr 30, 2023 7:05 pm

NWS-Norman has already tagged Thursday as "Severe Storms possible"
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1089 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Apr 30, 2023 9:04 pm

12 hours ago from the new model.

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1652689954206621699


1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1090 Postby Iceresistance » Mon May 01, 2023 7:51 am

Oh boy, the NPO is warmer, which means it may force the Omega Block to become favorable for severe storms.

 https://twitter.com/ReedTimmerAccu/status/1652727515889188864


0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1091 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 01, 2023 11:52 am

bubba hotep wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Here is what to expect in Texas on May. This from the NWS of Fort Worth.

Image


I'll wager that busts.


CPC already backing off their earlier call.

Image

Image
1 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Top
User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1092 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 01, 2023 11:53 am

Well, Hello

Image
1 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Top
User avatar
EnnisTx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 896
Joined: Sat Dec 26, 2015 4:06 pm
Location: Albany, Texas
Contact:
Contact EnnisTx

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1093 Postby EnnisTx » Mon May 01, 2023 12:16 pm



That's a beauty, especially for the area's that really need it. Hopefully it verifies or comes close to it.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1094 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 01, 2023 12:26 pm

2015, is that you?

Image
2 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Top
User avatar
EnnisTx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 896
Joined: Sat Dec 26, 2015 4:06 pm
Location: Albany, Texas
Contact:
Contact EnnisTx

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1095 Postby EnnisTx » Mon May 01, 2023 1:38 pm




Seems I've seen several references to 2015 with precipitation and severe weather.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1096 Postby Iceresistance » Mon May 01, 2023 1:51 pm



Goodness gracious! That is a LOT of rain!
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2627
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1097 Postby rwfromkansas » Mon May 01, 2023 2:32 pm

Geez looks rainy. Wow.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1098 Postby Iceresistance » Tue May 02, 2023 9:23 am

Welcome to May

Image
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/Screenshot-2023-05-02-9.20.11-AM.png
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1099 Postby Iceresistance » Tue May 02, 2023 10:33 am

2015 has been mentioned.

 https://twitter.com/ReedTimmerAccu/status/1653150623640985607




 https://twitter.com/ReedTimmerAccu/status/1653240244827766786


1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38088
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1100 Postby Brent » Tue May 02, 2023 10:47 pm

Well I have daily storm chances pretty much after the heat wave Friday and Saturday so I expect things to start ramping up soon on the severe front
1 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Post Reply

Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: AnnularCane and 14 guests