ATL: IDALIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
GCANE, are you checking out the towers rotating through the eyewall?
0 likes
-
- Admin
- Posts: 20010
- Age: 62
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Bostonriff wrote:What site is that imagery from? TIA.tolakram wrote:Tampa saved loop. Remember at this distance the radar is looking near the top of the eye. https://i.imgur.com/bnsvCI1.gif
RadarScope, a paid mobile + Windows 10/11 app. It has it's own crappy GIF saver which I don't use, instead I use a program called ScreenToGif to capture the loop.
1 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- jasons2k
- Storm2k Executive
- Posts: 8245
- Age: 51
- Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
- Location: The Woodlands, TX
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
She just wobbled east. Let’s see if it’s a wobble or a new trend.
3 likes
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:GCANE wrote:Everything radar indicated so far
Nothing observed
https://twitter.com/NWStornado/status/1696585965240979518
Based on the FL511 cameras, visibility from those storms is terrible, so it is going to be hard to have confirmation of a tornado from these lines of storms.
I like this Klystron weather radar system - out of Tampa, but it will zoom out to anywhere you want to see.
I followed it one time in real time when I lived in Bradenton and had a tornado warning over me. I could literally SEE the "spinning" air in clouds to show me where the tornado clouds were spinning up.
https://baynews9.com/fl/tampa/weather/radar
4 likes
Cleo - 1964, Betsy - 1965, David - 1979, Andrew - 1992, Charlie (Francis, Ivan, Jeanne) - 2004, Irma - 2017, Ian - 2022
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
GCANE wrote:[b]Trof is digging in fast into the NW GOM
At the TX/LA Border.[/b]
Some convection ahead of it along the CAPE gradient south of MS Delta
Does this portend an earlier turn to the east?
1 likes
Cleo - 1964, Betsy - 1965, David - 1979, Andrew - 1992, Charlie (Francis, Ivan, Jeanne) - 2004, Irma - 2017, Ian - 2022
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Michele B wrote:TallyTracker wrote:This is shaping up to be a devastating hit for my area. The power outages are going to be horrid due to trees. I fear the building codes are not up to this.
As far as I'm concerned, ALL of Florida should have the strict hurricane codes of S. FL.
These storms seem to be coming north just as strong as anything the south ever gets.
Maybe after this there will be changes to building codes in rural areas in the north.
In fact, maybe some areas did. Can anyone near Mexico Beach tell me? Did they update your building codes due to Michael's devastation?
The building codes in S Fl were put in place because everything was built out of cardboard when Andrew came through. People don't see the need until it actually affects them
1 likes
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
19 foot waves and still increasing now at buoy 42097, Pulley Ridge, about 75 nautical miles to the ENE of the center.
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42097
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42097
1 likes
- Extratropical94
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 3538
- Age: 30
- Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2010 6:36 am
- Location: Hamburg, Germany
- Contact:
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
cycloneye wrote:Here we go!!. Air Force plane is taxing to then depart.
https://i.imgur.com/donxd8S.png
TT hasn't loaded the other HDOBs yet, the plane is already in the air and on its way to Idalia. Currently at 28.4N 87.2W
2 likes
54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
- eastcoastFL
- Category 5
- Posts: 3901
- Age: 43
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
- Location: Palm City, FL
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Michele B wrote:GCANE wrote:[b]Trof is digging in fast into the NW GOM
At the TX/LA Border.[/b]
Some convection ahead of it along the CAPE gradient south of MS Delta
Does this portend an earlier turn to the east?
Time will tell. Let's hope not
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
- Category 2
- Posts: 734
- Joined: Thu Oct 11, 2018 2:46 pm
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
jasons2k wrote:She just wobbled east. Let’s see if it’s a wobble or a new trend.
It might be making up for earlier being west of track. We shall see!
2 likes
Fran '96, Georges '98, Gordon '00, Gabrielle '01, Charley '04, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Barry '07, Fay '08, Debby '12, Matthew '16, Emily '17, Irma '17, Michael ‘18, Elsa ‘21, Fred ‘21, Mindy ‘21, Nicole ‘22, Idalia ‘23, Debby ‘24, Helene ‘24
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
jasons2k wrote:This is shaping up to be a massive surge event. The story of Idalia will be about the surge when it’s over.
Well, a high Cat 3 ain't nuthin to sneeze at.
1 likes
Cleo - 1964, Betsy - 1965, David - 1979, Andrew - 1992, Charlie (Francis, Ivan, Jeanne) - 2004, Irma - 2017, Ian - 2022
- eastcoastFL
- Category 5
- Posts: 3901
- Age: 43
- Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
- Location: Palm City, FL
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Extratropical94 wrote:cycloneye wrote:Here we go!!. Air Force plane is taxing to then depart.
https://i.imgur.com/donxd8S.png
TT hasn't loaded the other HDOBs yet, the plane is already in the air and on its way to Idalia. Currently at 28.4N 87.2W
I can see it on flight radar 24 but I'm not sure how to post a screen shot
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
based on the radar, looks like sarasota/venice/ft myers gonna get hit harder than tampa, Unless that comes later
0 likes
- ScottNAtlanta
- Category 5
- Posts: 2367
- Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
- Location: Atlanta, GA
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Extratropical94 wrote:cycloneye wrote:Here we go!!. Air Force plane is taxing to then depart.
https://i.imgur.com/donxd8S.png
TT hasn't loaded the other HDOBs yet, the plane is already in the air and on its way to Idalia. Currently at 28.4N 87.2W
Google Earth is now showing them in the air and returning data
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 2651
- Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2007 3:45 am
- Location: Florida State University
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Michele B wrote:GCANE wrote:[b]Trof is digging in fast into the NW GOM
At the TX/LA Border.[/b]
Some convection ahead of it along the CAPE gradient south of MS Delta
Does this portend an earlier turn to the east?
A stronger trough over the NW GOM would usher a quicker moving Idala, not so much the turn to the east. What sets the turn to the east is the western periphery of this ridge (roughly traced in pink). The edge will be set by the trough over the NE United States:

Last edited by USTropics on Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
7 likes
- ScottNAtlanta
- Category 5
- Posts: 2367
- Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
- Location: Atlanta, GA
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Looking at satellite, I'm thinking recon is going to find the eye is larger than earlier
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
CyclonicWX Recon data says that AF304 is in the GoM
2 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 2651
- Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2007 3:45 am
- Location: Florida State University
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Recon should be arriving in the next 30-45 minutes:


0 likes
- ScottNAtlanta
- Category 5
- Posts: 2367
- Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
- Location: Atlanta, GA
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
USTropics wrote:Michele B wrote:GCANE wrote:[b]Trof is digging in fast into the NW GOM
At the TX/LA Border.[/b]
Some convection ahead of it along the CAPE gradient south of MS Delta
Does this portend an earlier turn to the east?
A stronger trough over the NW GOM would usher a quicker moving Idala, not so much the turn to the east. What sets the turn to the east is the western periphery of this ridge (roughly traced in pink). The edge will be set by the trough over the NE United States:
https://i.imgur.com/DnKbRmv.png
In Levi's video earlier, he was saying that the ridge was a little west of where they had expected it (ie strong ridge).
2 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests