ATL: LEE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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ScottNAtlanta
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#861 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:34 pm

dukeblue219 wrote:Ten minutes to go, folks. One more dataset.

I think it is probably 2 sets
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#862 Postby Slughitter3 » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:35 pm

Beef Stew wrote:Alright folks, time to get those guesses in... what's recon about to find?

Since I always seem to overestimate these "what will recon find" predictions, I'm going with a conservative 120 kts and 941 mb- with the only rational being the winds haven't caught up to the structure yet- but they will by morning...


931mb. FL 132kts

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#863 Postby WalterWhite » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:38 pm

The recorded wind speeds decreased as the recon aircraft moved closer to the center of the storm. It is nowhere near the eyewall yet. What gives?
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#864 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:40 pm

WalterWhite wrote:The recorded wind speeds decreased as the recon aircraft moved closer to the center of the storm. It is nowhere near the eyewall yet. What gives?

They made a little detour and dropped a dropsonde
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#865 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:40 pm

928 Extrapolated

Image
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SgXcr.png
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#866 Postby galaxy401 » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:40 pm

929 mb. 140 kts SMFR!
Last edited by galaxy401 on Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#867 Postby Abdullah » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:40 pm

928 mb confirmed

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon ... .0-131-144
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#868 Postby TorSkk » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:40 pm

140FL/928
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#869 Postby wx98 » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:40 pm

WalterWhite wrote:The recorded wind speeds decreased as the recon aircraft moved closer to the center of the storm. It is nowhere near the eyewall yet. What gives?

That’s perfectly normal. Passing through different outer bands.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#870 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:40 pm

Oh geez :eek:
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#871 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:41 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#872 Postby galaxy401 » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:41 pm

We'll see more of the NE eyewall but I reckon Lee is a Cat 5 now. Or at the very least, 135 kts.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#873 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:41 pm

I said 928mb 130 knot surface Pretty close
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#874 Postby Category5Kaiju » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:42 pm

Yeah, I think daring Lee to beat Jova was probably not the best idea :lol:
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#875 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:43 pm

galaxy401 wrote:We'll see more of the NE eyewall but I reckon Lee is a Cat 5 now. Or at the very least, 135 kts.


SMFR is 144 knots in the NE quadrant
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#876 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:43 pm

galaxy401 wrote:We'll see more of the NE eyewall but I reckon Lee is a Cat 5 now. Or at the very least, 135 kts.

I'd say definitely cat 5
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#877 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:43 pm

With that data, I would set the intensity at 135 kt. I'd want to see the flight-level winds a bit higher to go with a category 5 intensity. We'll see what the NHC says. I'd expect an update or special advisory soon.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#878 Postby sicktght311 » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:44 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#879 Postby aspen » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:44 pm

Bruh it’s a Cat 5 already. This is absolutely insane. Sub-910 here we come.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Hurricane - Discussion

#880 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Sep 07, 2023 6:45 pm

Category5Kaiju wrote:Yeah, I think daring Lee to beat Jova was probably not the best idea :lol:


I waved the red flag at him and dared him!
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