Texas Fall 2023

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BrokenGlass
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#241 Postby BrokenGlass » Sun Sep 10, 2023 6:11 pm

Cpv17 wrote:All I gotta say is Hook ‘em!

Goodness that was fun.


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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#242 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Sep 10, 2023 8:30 pm

Edwards Limestone wrote:Forecasts are looking less encouraging for rain for next week. Temperature forecasts are 5-10 degrees warmer now. What changed?


Guess it depends on where you live, my NWS point forecast is highs in the upper 70s to low 80s every day with rain chances.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#243 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sun Sep 10, 2023 8:49 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
Edwards Limestone wrote:Forecasts are looking less encouraging for rain for next week. Temperature forecasts are 5-10 degrees warmer now. What changed?


Guess it depends on where you live, my NWS point forecast is highs in the upper 70s to low 80s every day with rain chances.


My dad got 5/8 of an inch yesterday in SA.
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#244 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Sep 10, 2023 9:35 pm

Nice storms up in the Panhandle this evening :lightning:
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#245 Postby dpep4 » Sun Sep 10, 2023 10:42 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Edwards Limestone wrote:Forecasts are looking less encouraging for rain for next week. Temperature forecasts are 5-10 degrees warmer now. What changed?


Plan was always October. Rest of the month will still be above normal temps for most of the state, especially the southern half.

Maybe average rainfall at best. Better chances for rain in the panhandle.


Latitude hath its privileges
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#246 Postby Texas Snowman » Sun Sep 10, 2023 10:54 pm

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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#247 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 10, 2023 11:01 pm

May have had our last 90 degree day til May
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#248 Postby Gotwood » Mon Sep 11, 2023 6:42 am

Rain is stalling out on my front porch thanks Outflow.
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#249 Postby rwfromkansas » Mon Sep 11, 2023 7:28 am

Didn’t expect a rain shield west of FWD, though it is collapsing.
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#250 Postby BrokenGlass » Mon Sep 11, 2023 7:40 am

rwfromkansas wrote:Didn’t expect a rain shield west of FWD, though it is collapsing.

It’s almost comical watching it dissipate as it nears Tarrant Co.
Image


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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#251 Postby Ntxw » Mon Sep 11, 2023 8:06 am

Will keep the day cool-ish :D 8-). Forgot what 100F feels like now.
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#252 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Sep 11, 2023 8:31 am

Rain shield collapsing just west of the Austin metro as well, although it is creating some nice, coolish breezes and clouds like it's going to rain.

Travelling to Lubbock on Friday for a Tech band alumni get together during the game. Hopefully they'll win when I am up there!lol Don't know much about Tarleton State, since we didn't ever play them when I went up there since it was a different conference at the time. Looks like they'll be in on the wet and temps in the 70s for highs!
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#253 Postby jasons2k » Mon Sep 11, 2023 10:03 am

Morning update from Jeff Lindner and Go Tech!

Increasing rain chances continue in the forecast for mid to late week.

Surface high pressure to the northeast of the area this morning has allowed a dry air mass to move across the region with the passage of a weak frontal boundary on Saturday. This taste of drier air will be short lived as moisture will begin to return on Tuesday with increasing dewpoints and southerly winds.

A series of upper level disturbances will round the northern and northeastern portions of a flattened upper level ridge of high pressure over MX and these disturbances will result in complexes of thunderstorms over NW TX into NC TX. The first of these complexes will approach SE TX on Tuesday, but it is likely that the local air mass will still be in the process of moisture recovery and this activity will weaken and dissipate…could see some showers and storms around the College Station area.

Better rain chances begin on Wednesday and continue into Thursday and Friday as a weak front sags southward and stalls near the region. With moisture having recovered by this time and several disturbances aloft moving into and across the area…periods of showers and thunderstorms will be likely especially on Thursday and Friday.

While it is likely not going to rain everywhere each day…much of the area stands to see the potential for 1-2 inches of rainfall north of I-10 and .50 to 1.0 inch south of I-10 in the Wed-Fri period.

Weak front will push south into the Gulf waters late Friday into Saturday allowing another dry air mass to move across the region. This air mass also looks a bit cooler than this weekend, but this is still several days out so won’t get overly excited about any truly cooler temperatures, but certainly a drier feel to the air is likely by next Sunday.

Fire Weather:
Dry dewpoints and low afternoon humidity values still plague the area and there were several fire starts yesterday even across areas that saw rainfall on Friday afternoon into Saturday morning. With the dry air mass in place again today and much of the fuel loads remaining critically dry…fire concerns will be high. Good news is winds will be light from the northeast and east and humidity values start to increase on Tuesday. Hopefully mid to late week rain chances materialize into widespread wetting rainfall before yet period of dry air and slightly stronger winds arrive next weekend.

Forecasted Rainfall (7 Days):
Image

Jeff Lindner
Director Hydrologic Operations Division/Meteorologist
Harris County Flood Control District
9900 Northwest Freeway | Houston, Texas 77092
346-286-4000 (main) | 346-286-4165 (direct) | 281-924-2091 (cell)
jeff.lindner@hcfcd.org | Twitter: @jefflindner1
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#254 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Sep 11, 2023 1:06 pm

Ntxw wrote:Will keep the day cool-ish :D 8-). Forgot what 100F feels like now.

If the gfs has any say on the matter, you’ll remember soon enough…
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#255 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Sep 11, 2023 1:46 pm

weatherdude1108 wrote:Rain shield collapsing just west of the Austin metro as well, although it is creating some nice, coolish breezes and clouds like it's going to rain.

Travelling to Lubbock on Friday for a Tech band alumni get together during the game. Hopefully they'll win when I am up there!lol Don't know much about Tarleton State, since we didn't ever play them when I went up there since it was a different conference at the time. Looks like they'll be in on the wet and temps in the 70s for highs!


Tech should win that game no problem.
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#256 Postby cstrunk » Mon Sep 11, 2023 2:00 pm

GFS seems to be trying to build the heat back next week. Not like we've seen, but looks above average, which is in line with the CPC forecasts for September. :roll:
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#257 Postby jasons2k » Mon Sep 11, 2023 2:50 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
weatherdude1108 wrote:Rain shield collapsing just west of the Austin metro as well, although it is creating some nice, coolish breezes and clouds like it's going to rain.

Travelling to Lubbock on Friday for a Tech band alumni get together during the game. Hopefully they'll win when I am up there!lol Don't know much about Tarleton State, since we didn't ever play them when I went up there since it was a different conference at the time. Looks like they'll be in on the wet and temps in the 70s for highs!


Tech should win that game no problem.

Well, we lost to Wyoming
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#258 Postby mmmmsnouts » Mon Sep 11, 2023 3:58 pm

Tarleton is a bad FCS team. They were in Division II up until a couple years ago and Tech would not even have been allowed to play them. Tech will win by a ton.

Normal for mid September in DFW is upper 80s so a bit of a warmup after this week wouldn't be too out of line.
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#259 Postby Edwards Limestone » Mon Sep 11, 2023 4:04 pm

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Fall 2023

#260 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Sep 11, 2023 4:07 pm

jasons2k wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
weatherdude1108 wrote:Rain shield collapsing just west of the Austin metro as well, although it is creating some nice, coolish breezes and clouds like it's going to rain.

Travelling to Lubbock on Friday for a Tech band alumni get together during the game. Hopefully they'll win when I am up there!lol Don't know much about Tarleton State, since we didn't ever play them when I went up there since it was a different conference at the time. Looks like they'll be in on the wet and temps in the 70s for highs!


Tech should win that game no problem.

Well, we lost to Wyoming


Big difference between Tarleton and Wyoming.
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