Texas Winter 2023-2024
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- ThunderSleetDreams
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
0z CMC is much colder than the GFS through next week with multiple freezes.
Last edited by ThunderSleetDreams on Sun Dec 24, 2023 6:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
I expect some pretty crazy model runs over the next week or so, I like the 500 mb on the GFS and CMC 00z , you can clearly see blocking retrograding towads alaska and becoming established
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Radar in OKC looks more like spring
oh this is gonna be quite the flip
but it's happened before...


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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
0.65" in the gauge since Thursday. Hoping to cash in more on the line to our west early tomorrow morning.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Stratton23 wrote:I expect some pretty crazy model runs over the next week or so, I like the 500 mb on the GFS and CMC 00z , you can clearly see blocking retrograding towads alaska and becoming established
I actually didn’t like the 500 mb on the end of the 18z GEFS but yeah, we’re gonna see some crazy model runs over the next couple weeks.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
GFS back with that big snowstorm around January 3rd here
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
weatherdude1108 wrote:0.65" in the gauge since Thursday. Hoping to cash in more on the line to our west early tomorrow morning.
I've had 2.23" and counting since Thursday. Nice steady soaking.
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Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
ThunderSleetDreams wrote:Today is the anniversary of the weather event that made me a Winter weather freak.
December 23, 1989
Longview, TX
75 and doing yard work with Dad when a thunderstorm rolls in and it plummets to 25 very quickly and the most intense Thunder Sleet then Thunder Snow and then beautiful next morning of nothing but white.
I’ll never forget it.
Same arctic front for me. Really havent seen one that massive since.
Grew up in Sugar Land, i was 5 years old. Window faced north and i woke up in the middle of the night to sleet absolutely pounding the massive window i had. Yelled for my parents and they had an excitement in their voice when they told me, "it's going to snow tomorrow." Woke up and everything was white. Can still remember that visual to this day. Been hooked since.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- cajungal
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Dec 1989 I was 13 years old. Got 2 in of snow (live 60 miles SW of New Orleans) we left to go visit grandparents for a couple of days 3 hours away for Christmas. Came home to water pouring out the house and busted pipes in the attic. Busted ceilings, carpet had to be torn out. Huge mess and a lot of damage to my parents home. Temp got down to 9 degrees. Have not experienced anything that cold since.
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- CaptinCrunch
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- CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
We will see a system like what's across Texas in January and February with the added fun of it being quite cold. 

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- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
ThunderSleetDreams wrote:0z CMC is much colder than the GFS through next week with multiple freezes.
Canadian model is always too cold. The fast southern storm track should keep any significant cold to our north for the next week or two.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Hopefully we can get that soutthern storm track to slow down, its time to bring down the cold!
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
GFS ens, CMC ens, and Euro ens indicate a PV split. 10, 50, 60mb all shows major SSW.
1040s-1060 HP could set up shop over the Beaufort Sea above Alaska. Should seed and set up some cold over North America.
1040s-1060 HP could set up shop over the Beaufort Sea above Alaska. Should seed and set up some cold over North America.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Ntxw wrote:GFS ens, CMC ens, and Euro ens indicate a PV split. 10, 50, 60mb all shows major SSW.
1040s-1060 HP could set up shop over the Beaufort Sea above Alaska. Should seed and set up some cold over North America.
Is there a timeline on this?
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
1.65" total! Most since October.


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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Harp.1 Id say probably mid january, its going to take a few weeks before the effects of this SSWE are felt
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Beautiful long range Ensemble look from the GEFS….Alaskan Ridge, Cross Polar flow, Hudson Bay PV and active southern jet


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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
ThunderSleetDreams wrote:Today is the anniversary of the weather event that made me a Winter weather freak.
December 23, 1989
Longview, TX
75 and doing yard work with Dad when a thunderstorm rolls in and it plummets to 25 very quickly and the most intense Thunder Sleet then Thunder Snow and then beautiful next morning of nothing but white.
I’ll never forget it.
I remember it well. We had trimmed trees at our house in town and were hauling them out to our property north of Longview when that front hit.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
orangeblood heck yeah thats the kind of pattern we want to see! Also still looks like a big smiley face lol
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