Texas Winter 2023-2024

[Stratton23]

Interesting 500 mb height pattern on the GFS, first few days of February look to be near average, but pieces of the puzzle are beginning to come together after that

[jasons2k]

But as we see from here as well, you live and die by the models if that's your only backing (model-ology.) Experience, and skill can sometimes beat the models, both warm or cold perspectives.

Times of change creates problems at the surface for guidance.

Exactly. It's important to have an appreciation for good old-fashioned forecasting skills.

Harold Taft at KXAS in DFW and Roy Leep at WTVT down in Tampa were both pioneers in TV Broadcast Meteorology and introduced a number of "firsts" in the field. Pretty remarkable given the market sizes, especially at the time. Even though they were early adopters of technology, they always, always emphasized "don't forget to go outside and check for yourself." This had both literal and figurative meanings of course - but they applied it and were famous for taking a quick walk outside before every weather broadcast to check the sky with their own eyes. During severe weather events, Harold was known for running outside and back between breaks to see for himself what the sky was doing.

Moral of the story - don't rely so much on technology that you forget the basics and old rules of thumb. I keep thinking about Star Wars and how this incredible "technological terror" was created but the Rebels won anyway.

[Brent]

Probably gonna get icy here soon... We never did get above freezing Winter Storm Warning one county away and school closings have started

[rwfromkansas]

I do like Ponder for a lot of things. Just this he has played it up too much.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Started raining lightly and temp dropped to 32 with ice starting to form of my barbed wire fences.

[Brent]

29 and rain at the airport with a definite glaze on the vehicles

[bubba hotep]

29 and rain at the airport with a definite glaze on the vehicles

Based on social media reports, it looks like things are starting with a bang up in Oklahoma. Hopefully, things warm and melt before any serious problems can occur.

[Brent]

29 and rain at the airport with a definite glaze on the vehicles

Based on social media reports, it looks like things are starting with a bang up in Oklahoma. Hopefully, things warm and melt before any serious problems can occur.

Yeah that first round was way worse than I expected tbh

But then again it's been so cold lately the ground is probably nearly frozen. I mean snow and ice has survived for a week

At least they don't seem too concerned about power outages right now and supposedly after lunch tomorrow were gonna be good so we'll see

[bubba hotep]

00z 3k NAM with a rain bomb for South Central Texas

[Iceresistance]

EVERYTHING is Coated in Ice, even the ground.

27°F

[HockeyTx82]

Down to 33.6 here in Ponder. Dewpoint is 28. Maybe.......

[bubba hotep]

Down to 33.6 here in Ponder. Dewpoint is 28. Maybe.......

Freezing line slowly creeping south down 75

[HockeyTx82]

Down to 33.6 here in Ponder. Dewpoint is 28. Maybe.......

Freezing line slowly creeping south down 75

What does your gut tell you. Are we going to wake up to some potential problems? Or will the absolute freezing stay out of our area?

[HockeyTx82]

My weather app just said snow starting in 1 hr here in Ponder. What gives?

[Ralph's Weather]

Minor icing starting along 380 corridor now. Most roads should be ok but with prior cold I would expect some bridge issues for Collin and Denton Counties overnight. Elevated surfaces could glaze down to I-20. By sunrise I expect WAA to have pushed the freeze line back north out of DFW hopefully.
Up near Red River more significant icing is likely with surface roads iced over until mid morning there.

[Quixotic]

Can confirm icing on elevated surfaces and cars here in Frisco.

[Brent]

We've actually warmed 2 degrees here... But I've seen zero snow or even sleet. It is straight freezing rain

[Texas Snow]

My weather app just said snow starting in 1 hr here in Ponder. What gives?

Like most weather apps, it’s trash.

[txtwister78]

Thunderstorms and 39 degrees in San Antonio. Some areas within the city are already approaching 2 inches.

[Anti-freeze]

Yes, good to see part of the drought bullseye in San Antonio getting significant amounts. I hope the western side in need also ends up getting similar this week.