When will Francine form?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply

When will Francine form?

Poll ended at Sat Aug 31, 2024 9:26 am

August 23-29
3
5%
August 30 - September 5
41
63%
September 6-12
11
17%
September 13-19
4
6%
September 20-26
1
2%
September 27-30
1
2%
October or beyond
1
2%
Season ends with Ernesto
3
5%
 
Total votes: 65
Message
Author
User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3168
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

When will Francine form?

#1 Postby Teban54 » Fri Aug 23, 2024 9:13 am

I can't believe this poll hasn't been made yet. Maybe people are too busy season cancelling? :lol:

Anyway, this might be one of the more anticipated storm formation polls this season...

Options:


Mods, can you make this a poll?
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3344
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: When will Francine form?

#2 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Fri Aug 23, 2024 9:17 am

Honestly looking at the models, September 6th seems like a good bet.
0 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Top
LarryWx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6246
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: GA

Re: When will Francine form?

#3 Postby LarryWx » Fri Aug 23, 2024 9:23 am

If you believe 17 Euro-AI runs in a row you’d have to bet on around Sept 2-3 in or near the NE Caribbean. So, option #2 for me.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143862
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: When will Francine form?

#4 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 23, 2024 9:27 am

Made the poll for the members to vote on one of the 7 options. The voting will stop on August 31rst at 10:26 AM EDT when it closes.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2836
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: When will Francine form?

#5 Postby AnnularCane » Fri Aug 23, 2024 9:28 am

Teban54 wrote:I can't believe this poll hasn't been made yet. Maybe people are too busy season cancelling? :lol:




Yep, season's over. No Francine this year. :lol:

I put in for Aug 30 although it was sort of tempting to go earlier for some reason.
3 likes   
"But it never rained rain. It never snowed snow. And it never blew just wind. It rained things like soup and juice. It snowed mashed potatoes and green peas. And sometimes the wind blew in storms of hamburgers." -- Judi Barrett, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143862
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: When will Francine form?

#6 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 23, 2024 9:31 am

Voted for the September 6-12 option.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
Category5Kaiju
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4051
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:45 pm
Location: Seattle

Re: When will Francine form?

#7 Postby Category5Kaiju » Fri Aug 23, 2024 10:39 am

Went with August 30-September 5. And I have a feeling it’s going to be a long-tracking, powerful Cape Verde system, kind of following the general behavior of its predecessor from 6 years ago.
0 likes   
Unless explicitly stated, all info in my posts is based on my own opinions and observations. Tropical storms and hurricanes can be extremely dangerous. Do not think you can beat Mother Nature. Refer to an accredited weather research agency or meteorologist if you need to make serious decisions regarding an approaching storm.
Top
Stormlover70
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 167
Age: 55
Joined: Fri Jun 21, 2024 5:31 am
Location: New port richey

Re: When will Francine form?

#8 Postby Stormlover70 » Fri Aug 23, 2024 10:46 am

August 31
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Beef Stew
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 495
Joined: Sat May 30, 2020 11:31 am
Location: South Florida

Re: When will Francine form?

#9 Postby Beef Stew » Fri Aug 23, 2024 10:47 am

Guessing August 30th or 31st.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
CyclonicFury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2018
Age: 26
Joined: Sun Jul 02, 2017 12:32 pm
Location: NC
Contact:
Contact CyclonicFury

Re: When will Francine form?

#10 Postby CyclonicFury » Fri Aug 23, 2024 11:00 am

September 1
0 likes   
NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8812
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: When will Francine form?

#11 Postby aspen » Fri Aug 23, 2024 11:05 am

Going with August 30th-September 5th, and I’m thinking it’ll be that Cape Verde hurricane the AI-Euro has been showing for several days now. It’s definitely possible a shorty in the Gulf steals the name before then, though.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
User avatar
toad strangler
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4543
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
Location: Earth
Contact:
Contact toad strangler

Re: When will Francine form?

#12 Postby toad strangler » Fri Aug 23, 2024 11:08 am

30th - 5th
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143862
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: When will Francine form?

#13 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 23, 2024 12:17 pm

Teban54, have this note= If something develops before August 31rst, the voting will end at that point.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
TomballEd
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 577
Age: 61
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2023 4:52 pm
Location: Spring/Klein area, not Tomball

Re: When will Francine form?

#14 Postby TomballEd » Fri Aug 23, 2024 1:04 pm

GFS ensembles suggest the last day or two of August, or the first few days of September.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
zal0phus
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 192
Age: 24
Joined: Mon Jan 07, 2019 8:32 am
Location: St. Louis
Contact:
Contact zal0phus

Re: When will Francine form?

#15 Postby zal0phus » Fri Aug 23, 2024 3:29 pm

Gulf shortie will probably take Francine and the dreaded CV hurricane will be Gordon. That's my guess
0 likes   
Do not take anything I say seriously as a form of meteorological prediction. I am not a meteorologist; I don't think being in law school translates to any special knowledge. I am just a somewhat bullish amateur watcher.
Top
otowntiger
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1921
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:06 pm

Re: When will Francine form?

#16 Postby otowntiger » Fri Aug 23, 2024 6:01 pm

October. 8-) :wink: :sun:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6091
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: When will Francine form?

#17 Postby cheezyWXguy » Fri Aug 23, 2024 6:07 pm

Unless there’s a surprise before then, I think Aug 30 in the central Atlantic
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
chaser1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5406
Age: 64
Joined: Sat Oct 15, 2005 5:59 pm
Location: Longwood, Fl

Re: When will Francine form?

#18 Postby chaser1 » Fri Aug 23, 2024 9:22 pm

Two named storms within 24 hr's of each other during the first 3 days of September.
0 likes   
Andy D

(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
Top
HurricaneRyan
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 809
Age: 31
Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2010 3:05 pm

Re: When will Francine form?

#19 Postby HurricaneRyan » Mon Aug 26, 2024 12:32 pm

End of August since she's currently locked in the library with Arthur.
2 likes   
Kay '22 Hilary '23
Top
User avatar
DorkyMcDorkface
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 816
Age: 27
Joined: Mon Sep 30, 2019 1:32 pm
Location: Mid-Atlantic

Re: When will Francine form?

#20 Postby DorkyMcDorkface » Mon Aug 26, 2024 12:56 pm

HurricaneRyan wrote:End of August since she's currently locked in the library with Arthur.

Image
1 likes   
Please note the thougths expressed by this account are solely those of the user and are from a hobbyist perspective. For more comprehensive analysis, consult an actual professional meteorologist or meteorology agency.


Floyd 1999 | Isabel 2003 | Hanna 2008 | Irene 2011 | Sandy 2012 | Isaias 2020
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cycloneye and 62 guests