Texas Fall 2024
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
Re: Texas Fall 2024
Got another 0.47" on Sunday with some passing spotty showers. Ended up with almost 1.5" with this rain event being mostly over for my area it seems.
Forecast highs in the 80s for the first week in September. Very nice.
Forecast highs in the 80s for the first week in September. Very nice.
0 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 4228
- Joined: Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm
- Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX
Re: Texas Fall 2024
I have received nothing until yesterday, when I got 0.03. Another 0.01 so far early this morning. Sun shining now. I shut my irrigation off based on the hype from the TV mets and EWX that we would have multiple inches of rain starting Friday going through Tuesday. Meanwhile, my grass has developed dry patches and some plants were starting to droop Sunday. Watered the plants. Still hoping I don't need to water the grass yet. But I'm not banking on it. We must be in the dry slot of this low pressure in west Texas. Lucky me!
Good news is parts of the hill country upstream of Buchanan and Travis have been flooding. Some of that may get down there.
Guess I should have kept my system on, and washed my car!lol


Good news is parts of the hill country upstream of Buchanan and Travis have been flooding. Some of that may get down there.
Guess I should have kept my system on, and washed my car!lol


0 likes
The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 2529
- Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
- Location: North Fort Worth
Re: Texas Fall 2024
Up to an inch now IMBY in north/FW/Saginaw, so although it started out with disappointment, it made up for it here in Tarrant. Sorry that it looks like Dallas is not as lucky so far, though looks like they had some showers this morning.
1 likes
Re: Texas Fall 2024
rwfromkansas wrote:Up to an inch now IMBY in north/FW/Saginaw, so although it started out with disappointment, it made up for it here in Tarrant. Sorry that it looks like Dallas is not as lucky so far, though looks like they had some showers this morning.
Here in GP we've had a steady rain since about 7. Nothing heavy but at least it's been consistent. And the temp is glorious. The a/c has been on maybe twice all morning.
1 likes
-
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 123
- Joined: Tue Sep 05, 2023 10:04 pm
- Location: Arlington, TX
Re: Texas Fall 2024
The only reason the high for today will be in the 80s is because it was that warm at midnight. No way we're getting back there.
Steady light/moderate rain here... it should all soak into the ground and get my weeds growing again
Steady light/moderate rain here... it should all soak into the ground and get my weeds growing again

1 likes
Re: Texas Fall 2024
mmmmsnouts wrote:The only reason the high for today will be in the 80s is because it was that warm at midnight. No way we're getting back there.
Steady light/moderate rain here... it should all soak into the ground and get my weeds growing again
It was a day later than what it looked like last week on models but it did come. Think it was 82F past midnight but low to mid 70s currently.
1 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2024
Brent wrote:Last September never had a day this cool the entire month
DFW was just beginning a period that saw 110F peak last year around the first week or so. Nothing like that and much more seasonable. With any ridge largely to the west, a couple of 90s here and there can't be ruled out but much closer to what a typical Sept should be. And lows in the 60s...and not low 80s.
3 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2024
Ntxw wrote:Brent wrote:Last September never had a day this cool the entire month
DFW was just beginning a period that saw 110F peak last year around the first week or so. Nothing like that and much more seasonable. With any ridge largely to the west, a couple of 90s here and there can't be ruled out but much closer to what a typical Sept should be. And lows in the 60s...and not low 80s.
Yeah I saw 60s this weekend with a drop in humidity. Good time for some yard work.
1 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 2529
- Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
- Location: North Fort Worth
Re: Texas Fall 2024
Up to 1.91 IMBY. I have a weird obsession with wanting to cross that 2-inch mark when it's close, so I hope we make it. Seems like the rains are slowing down and fading a bit. Lol.
Looks like DFW has had hardly nothing in comparison, roughly .40ish (didn't add it up), which shows the cut across the metro.
Looks like DFW has had hardly nothing in comparison, roughly .40ish (didn't add it up), which shows the cut across the metro.
2 likes
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9279
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2024
rwfromkansas wrote:Up to 1.91 IMBY. I have a weird obsession with wanting to cross that 2-inch mark when it's close, so I hope we make it. Seems like the rains are slowing down and fading a bit. Lol.
Looks like DFW has had hardly nothing in comparison, roughly .40ish (didn't add it up), which shows the cut across the metro.
Ah yes, the DFW dry slot. Even rainfall isn't immune to this!
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Texas Snowman
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 6151
- Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
- Location: Denison, Texas
Re: Texas Fall 2024
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
639 PM CDT Tue Sep 3 2024
The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has extended the
* Flash Flood Warning for... Llano County in south central Texas...
* Until 915 PM CDT.
* At 639 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 3 and 6 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.
HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding.
SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges. 5.65" has fallen at LCRA gauge in Llano in the past 3 hours.
IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Kingsland, Llano, Gainesville, Granite Shoals, Horseshoe Bay, Buchanan Lake Village, Castell, Lone Grove, Stolz, Oxford, Baby Head, Valley Spring, Bluffton, Tow, Field Creek and Sunrise Beach Village.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.
Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law enforcement and request they pass this information to the National Weather Service when you can do so safely.
&&
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
639 PM CDT Tue Sep 3 2024
The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has extended the
* Flash Flood Warning for... Llano County in south central Texas...
* Until 915 PM CDT.
* At 639 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 3 and 6 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.
HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding.
SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges. 5.65" has fallen at LCRA gauge in Llano in the past 3 hours.
IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Kingsland, Llano, Gainesville, Granite Shoals, Horseshoe Bay, Buchanan Lake Village, Castell, Lone Grove, Stolz, Oxford, Baby Head, Valley Spring, Bluffton, Tow, Field Creek and Sunrise Beach Village.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.
Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law enforcement and request they pass this information to the National Weather Service when you can do so safely.
&&
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
0 likes
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 2529
- Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
- Location: North Fort Worth
Re: Texas Fall 2024
Interesting Larry Cosgrove tidbit:
“The temperature forecasts for September are keeping the hottest values across the West under a rebirth of the Sonoran heat ridge. I am concerned that later in the fall, we may see a renewed southern branch jet stream. That may lead to cooler temperatures and more rainfall from Texas through the Deep South and along the Eastern Seaboard. And could ultimately upend the mild winter outlooks for the DJF time frame. We shall see.”
“The temperature forecasts for September are keeping the hottest values across the West under a rebirth of the Sonoran heat ridge. I am concerned that later in the fall, we may see a renewed southern branch jet stream. That may lead to cooler temperatures and more rainfall from Texas through the Deep South and along the Eastern Seaboard. And could ultimately upend the mild winter outlooks for the DJF time frame. We shall see.”
1 likes
- txtwister78
- Category 5
- Posts: 1754
- Joined: Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:56 pm
- Location: San Antonio
Re: Texas Fall 2024
rwfromkansas wrote:Interesting Larry Cosgrove tidbit:
“The temperature forecasts for September are keeping the hottest values across the West under a rebirth of the Sonoran heat ridge. I am concerned that later in the fall, we may see a renewed southern branch jet stream. That may lead to cooler temperatures and more rainfall from Texas through the Deep South and along the Eastern Seaboard. And could ultimately upend the mild winter outlooks for the DJF time frame. We shall see.”
I don't follow why he is concerned about rain and cooler temperatures in Texas? That sounds like a good thing to me?
4 likes
Re: Texas Fall 2024
68F and raining. Glorious!
5 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 37988
- Age: 36
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Texas Fall 2024
Our TV met saying above normal ice normal snow normal temps for winter
Well normal would still be different than the last two years
I hope he's wrong about the ice. I'd rather have no precip
Well normal would still be different than the last two years
I hope he's wrong about the ice. I'd rather have no precip
1 likes
#neversummer
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9279
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2024
Brent wrote:Our TV met saying above normal ice normal snow normal temps for winter
Well normal would still be different than the last two years
I hope he's wrong about the ice. I'd rather have no precip
Or ice that fails to freeze up
And is it the Jinx met?
1 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Fall 2024
Cold front this weekend. 50s and low 60s for some especially Sunday and Monday morning.
1 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2024
Loving this early start to fall! 80s every day except tomorrow forecast to just hit 90F. Comfortable/cool evenings and mornings. Hope those that need rain continue to get some.
1 likes
Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot], rwfromkansas, Storm861, TomballEd and 32 guests