WPAC: YAGI - Post-Tropical

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
Subtrop
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 670
Joined: Sun Feb 21, 2021 9:45 pm

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#81 Postby Subtrop » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:21 am

TPPN11 PGTW 051516
A. SUPER TYPHOON 12W (YAGI)
B. 05/1430Z
C. 19.23N
D. 113.68E
E. ONE/GK2A
F. T7.0/7.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS AN E#
OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG, TO YIELD A DT OF 7.0. MET
AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
05/1031Z 19.25N 114.42E WSFM
05/1046Z 19.23N 114.38E SSMS
RAE
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145247
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#82 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:22 am

Wow.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4346
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#83 Postby Hayabusa » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:26 am

Subtrop wrote:
TPPN11 PGTW 051516
A. SUPER TYPHOON 12W (YAGI)
B. 05/1430Z
C. 19.23N
D. 113.68E
E. ONE/GK2A
F. T7.0/7.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS AN E#
OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG, TO YIELD A DT OF 7.0. MET
AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
05/1031Z 19.25N 114.42E WSFM
05/1046Z 19.23N 114.38E SSMS
RAE

Can still use CMG if it's broken? Though even if W is used the eye adjustment would still be +1.0
Image
0 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Top
User avatar
xtyphooncyclonex
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3861
Age: 23
Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
Location: Cebu City
Contact:
Contact xtyphooncyclonex

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#84 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:45 am

She's not done yet...

Image
1 likes   
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
Top
User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3715
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:
Contact mrbagyo

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#85 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:47 am

Here's more radar loop cuz why not

Zhangjiang radar
Image




Southern China radar mosaic loop
Image

updated Paracel loop
Image
Last edited by mrbagyo on Thu Sep 05, 2024 11:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
1 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3715
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:
Contact mrbagyo

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#86 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:53 am

CMA has upped their peak intensity projection to 65 mps or 235 kph - they expect the pressure expected to drop to 910 hpa
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3715
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:
Contact mrbagyo

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#87 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 05, 2024 11:34 am

The convective recovery from ERC by Typhoon Yagi is reminiscent of the one displayed by Typhoon Mangkhut before it made landfall over the North Eastern Part of Luzon
2 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
WaveBreaking
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 578
Joined: Sun Jun 30, 2024 11:33 am
Location: US

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#88 Postby WaveBreaking » Thu Sep 05, 2024 4:33 pm

 https://x.com/tomorrowio_/status/1831690367391166902

0 likes   
I am NOT a professional meteorologist, so take all of my posts with a grain of salt. My opinions are mine and mine alone.
Top
User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3715
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:
Contact mrbagyo

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#89 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 05, 2024 6:29 pm

wow,
CMA's wind estimate is now at 68 mps (245 kph) / pressure now down to 905 hpa

HKO with even lower pressure at 900 hpa, intensity pegged at 125 knots (10 minute sustained)

JMA - 105 knots / 915 hpa
1 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3204
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#90 Postby Teban54 » Thu Sep 05, 2024 8:29 pm

Image
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3715
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:
Contact mrbagyo

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#91 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:13 pm

EWRC is nearing completion

Image
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Top
shah83
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 302
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2016 4:55 pm

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#92 Postby shah83 » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:15 pm

This is really going to be worse than Rammasun.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3204
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#93 Postby Teban54 » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:27 pm

mrbagyo wrote:EWRC is nearing completion

https://s11.gifyu.com/images/S1vfO.gif

Probably the worst possible time for land impacts, just like Maria (the Atlantic one).
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3715
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:
Contact mrbagyo

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#94 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 05, 2024 11:01 pm

Wenchang 13-6 Oil platform 16 has already recorded average wind speed of 51.7 m/s gusting to 63.5 m/s
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3715
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:
Contact mrbagyo

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#95 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 05, 2024 11:10 pm

Reportedly, Air pressure at No. 2 buoy on the southern eyewall recorded 925.1 hpa
2 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3715
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:
Contact mrbagyo

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#96 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Sep 06, 2024 12:40 am

The buoy (Longlou buoy) measured 917.7 hPa.
Wow

Image from Tyboard.net - that weather forum is awesome
Image
Image
Last edited by mrbagyo on Fri Sep 06, 2024 12:51 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
doomhaMwx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2454
Age: 26
Joined: Tue Apr 18, 2017 4:01 am
Location: Baguio/Benguet, Philippines
Contact:
Contact doomhaMwx

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#97 Postby doomhaMwx » Fri Sep 06, 2024 12:41 am

The eye is about to pass near/over the Quizhou Islands off the coast of Hainan — the same islands that recorded 899.2 mb SLP in STY Rammasun a decade ago!

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
xtyphooncyclonex
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3861
Age: 23
Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
Location: Cebu City
Contact:
Contact xtyphooncyclonex

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#98 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Fri Sep 06, 2024 1:09 am

Rammasun was already a decade ago? :double:
0 likes   
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
Top
User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3715
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:
Contact mrbagyo

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#99 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Sep 06, 2024 1:12 am

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Rammasun was already a decade ago? :double:


feeling old? haha time flies so fast
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3715
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:
Contact mrbagyo

Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#100 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Sep 06, 2024 1:48 am

The 2 low lying islands of Haidian and Xinbu at the mount of Haidian River in Haikou might get some surge from Yagi (though probably not that high due to unfavorable angle of approach).
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2024”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests