WPAC: YAGI - Post-Tropical

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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#81 Postby Subtrop » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:21 am

TPPN11 PGTW 051516
A. SUPER TYPHOON 12W (YAGI)
B. 05/1430Z
C. 19.23N
D. 113.68E
E. ONE/GK2A
F. T7.0/7.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS AN E#
OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG, TO YIELD A DT OF 7.0. MET
AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
05/1031Z 19.25N 114.42E WSFM
05/1046Z 19.23N 114.38E SSMS
RAE
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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#82 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:22 am

Wow.

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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#83 Postby Hayabusa » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:26 am

Subtrop wrote:
TPPN11 PGTW 051516
A. SUPER TYPHOON 12W (YAGI)
B. 05/1430Z
C. 19.23N
D. 113.68E
E. ONE/GK2A
F. T7.0/7.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS AN E#
OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG, TO YIELD A DT OF 7.0. MET
AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
05/1031Z 19.25N 114.42E WSFM
05/1046Z 19.23N 114.38E SSMS
RAE

Can still use CMG if it's broken? Though even if W is used the eye adjustment would still be +1.0
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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#84 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:45 am

She's not done yet...

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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#85 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:47 am

Here's more radar loop cuz why not

Zhangjiang radar
Image




Southern China radar mosaic loop
Image

updated Paracel loop
Image
Last edited by mrbagyo on Thu Sep 05, 2024 11:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#86 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:53 am

CMA has upped their peak intensity projection to 65 mps or 235 kph - they expect the pressure expected to drop to 910 hpa
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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#87 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 05, 2024 11:34 am

The convective recovery from ERC by Typhoon Yagi is reminiscent of the one displayed by Typhoon Mangkhut before it made landfall over the North Eastern Part of Luzon
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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#88 Postby WaveBreaking » Thu Sep 05, 2024 4:33 pm

 https://x.com/tomorrowio_/status/1831690367391166902

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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#89 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 05, 2024 6:29 pm

wow,
CMA's wind estimate is now at 68 mps (245 kph) / pressure now down to 905 hpa

HKO with even lower pressure at 900 hpa, intensity pegged at 125 knots (10 minute sustained)

JMA - 105 knots / 915 hpa
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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#90 Postby Teban54 » Thu Sep 05, 2024 8:29 pm

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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#91 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:13 pm

EWRC is nearing completion

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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#92 Postby shah83 » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:15 pm

This is really going to be worse than Rammasun.
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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#93 Postby Teban54 » Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:27 pm

mrbagyo wrote:EWRC is nearing completion

https://s11.gifyu.com/images/S1vfO.gif

Probably the worst possible time for land impacts, just like Maria (the Atlantic one).
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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#94 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 05, 2024 11:01 pm

Wenchang 13-6 Oil platform 16 has already recorded average wind speed of 51.7 m/s gusting to 63.5 m/s
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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#95 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 05, 2024 11:10 pm

Reportedly, Air pressure at No. 2 buoy on the southern eyewall recorded 925.1 hpa
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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#96 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Sep 06, 2024 12:40 am

The buoy (Longlou buoy) measured 917.7 hPa.
Wow

Image from Tyboard.net - that weather forum is awesome
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Last edited by mrbagyo on Fri Sep 06, 2024 12:51 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#97 Postby doomhaMwx » Fri Sep 06, 2024 12:41 am

The eye is about to pass near/over the Quizhou Islands off the coast of Hainan — the same islands that recorded 899.2 mb SLP in STY Rammasun a decade ago!

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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#98 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Fri Sep 06, 2024 1:09 am

Rammasun was already a decade ago? :double:
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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#99 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Sep 06, 2024 1:12 am

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Rammasun was already a decade ago? :double:


feeling old? haha time flies so fast
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Re: WPAC: YAGI - Typhoon

#100 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Sep 06, 2024 1:48 am

The 2 low lying islands of Haidian and Xinbu at the mount of Haidian River in Haikou might get some surge from Yagi (though probably not that high due to unfavorable angle of approach).
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