ATL: HELENE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Stormgodess
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2901 Postby Stormgodess » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:53 pm

Teban54 wrote:So within a span of 3-4 hours, the memo went from "may not even be a major at landfall" to "high-end Cat 4 possible if this keeps up".


THIS^ Is why after 52 yrs of living on the Gulf Coast, and watching Katrina blow up overnight... The one thing I'm sure of, is never underestimate these storms.

If something happens to weaken one, then Thank God!

Just don't take the chance, get the heck out of dodge and enjoy the change of scenery.

I've NEVER heard anyone stay to ride out a bad one and say afterward they don't regret it.

Things hit harder, and an extra terror sets in when you are sitting there hearing, FEELING, the winds and pressure rip your roof off. Or when the water just keeps rising, the attic is no longer an option and your only choice is the roof
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2902 Postby galaxy401 » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:53 pm

Quick question regarding storm surge. Does a faster storm mean stronger surge? I know the larger the hurricane, the higher the waves but does speed play a role as well? I imagine it probably does.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2903 Postby BIFF_THE_UNRULY » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:53 pm

Just clocked a 60mph Gust in Hudson

WOW

This wind is hot and uncomfortable. Still zero rain
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2904 Postby Pipelines182 » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:53 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Glad to see folks in Tampa are taking this seriously and don't have a complacent attitude towards hurricanes.

 https://x.com/WPBF_BROOKE/status/1839323134895534329




I mean...who on here wouldn't go out there and take a look at the ocean? lol
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2905 Postby toad strangler » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:54 pm

Kazmit wrote:Just realized Helene is pronounced "Heh-LEAN" and not like "Helen" :oops:


More like HELLene to those in her direct path :eek:
Best of luck to all!
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2906 Postby weeniepatrol » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:54 pm

Image

:eek:
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2907 Postby Pelicane » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:55 pm

8 mb drop in an hour :eek:
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2908 Postby kevin » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:55 pm



Yep the 951 is legit. If it keeps this up it will landfall in the low 930s or upper 920s.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2909 Postby BIFF_THE_UNRULY » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:56 pm

Pipelines182 wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Glad to see folks in Tampa are taking this seriously and don't have a complacent attitude towards hurricanes.

 https://x.com/WPBF_BROOKE/status/1839323134895534329




I mean...who on here wouldn't go out there and take a look at the ocean? lol


Most people i know wouldnt care
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2910 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:56 pm



Dropping 7 millbars in only one hour.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2911 Postby caneman » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:57 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Glad to see folks in Tampa are taking this seriously and don't have a complacent attitude towards hurricanes.

 https://x.com/WPBF_BROOKE/status/1839323134895534329




A couple of people doesn't equal whole population. There's are always going to be some no matter where.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2912 Postby galaxy401 » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:58 pm

Always the ugly side whenever we critique a storm is underperforming. The longer it takes to struggle, then the closer to landfall it will inevitably bomb out. Which means those in its path will face a strengthening hurricane instead of one that peaked earlier and is likely weakening.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2913 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:58 pm

I think we're probably going to get our cat4 landfall. Pressure could drop another 10-15 mb's or more in the next 8-12 hours as it makes landfall...Nasty.
Last edited by Sciencerocks on Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2914 Postby NDG » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:59 pm

Crazy that the pressure dropped 7 mb in just one and half hours. Just crazy!
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2915 Postby FLLurker32 » Thu Sep 26, 2024 2:59 pm

Maybe the HAFS models weren’t so crazy when they started throwing around the 900-920mb runs.

How low can she go? :double:
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2916 Postby zal0phus » Thu Sep 26, 2024 3:01 pm

FLLurker32 wrote:Maybe the HAFS models weren’t so crazy when they started throwing around the 900-920mb runs.

How low can she go? :double:


I'm guessing she either nears or just exceeds Michael in pressure at landfall, not wind. Hopefully everyone's fled by then.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2917 Postby PDKlikatino » Thu Sep 26, 2024 3:02 pm

Looks like she could finally be "off to the races" after all...
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2918 Postby Powellrm » Thu Sep 26, 2024 3:02 pm

We'll see how much she intensifies. Again, I was not concerned about the slot of dry air. With a storm like this in an environment like this, was never really a problem. More to come in the next several hours. Stay safe everyone.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2919 Postby Hurrilurker » Thu Sep 26, 2024 3:02 pm

NDG wrote:Crazy that the pressure dropped 7 mb in just one and half hours. Just crazy!

To be fair, this is what it's supposed to do in this kind of environment. It has had some issues with dry air and structure that delayed/impeded intensification for 12 hours or so, but those seem to be mostly resolved. And sat imagery doesn't even show a clean eye yet, it's got headroom to get better.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2920 Postby Travorum » Thu Sep 26, 2024 3:02 pm

Interestingly they are reporting the eyewall as ragged:
Image
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