ATL: HELENE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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caneman
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3021 Postby caneman » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:20 pm

43,000 without power in Tampa Bay
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3022 Postby SoupBone » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:20 pm

Hurrilurker wrote:On satellite, looks like it just took a big jog to the right (east).



Look to NDG for your heading needs. He's been tracking it for a while now.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3023 Postby chaser1 » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:20 pm

BIFF_THE_UNRULY wrote:
aspen wrote:
JBCycloneStan wrote:
lol and the eye is clearing out as we speak

Welp, does anyone have some spare crow?


I know its a figure of speech and you joke but crow is eaten round them parts' of Florida bout to get hit. Still something you see in the rural areas, not unheard of. Squirrels too.


Naw, I never heard of that. Mullet maybe, but crow??
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3024 Postby Stormgodess » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:21 pm

How crazy is it that the forecast has Helene at Cat 2 almost to Atlanta!

Are they prepared for this that far into Georgia?
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3025 Postby galaxy401 » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:23 pm

This could be one of the most destructive hurricanes to hit Georgia. And it's not even from a hurricane hitting from the southeast. People inland might be caught off guard with Helene. Hope for the best.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3026 Postby Pipelines182 » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:23 pm

chaser1 wrote:
BIFF_THE_UNRULY wrote:
aspen wrote:Welp, does anyone have some spare crow?


I know its a figure of speech and you joke but crow is eaten round them parts' of Florida bout to get hit. Still something you see in the rural areas, not unheard of. Squirrels too.


Naw, I never heard of that. Mullet maybe, but crow??


Me neither and I used to live near there. Dove sure, squirrel yeah, no crows or seagulls though, yuck.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3027 Postby MJGarrison » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:24 pm

tronbunny wrote:From what I see
https://zoom.earth/maps/radar/#view=28.0715,-82.3422,7.56z/date=2024-09-26,16:25,-4/overlays=wind,crosshair
Helene is east and slightly south of track center right now
Image

Based on the image you posted, the radar return looks to be right on the track. The ‘wind’ that is showing on that picture that is south and east is from a computer model.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3028 Postby canebeard » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:25 pm

Hurrilurker wrote:
BIFF_THE_UNRULY wrote:
Hurrilurker wrote:On satellite, looks like it just took a big jog to the right (east).

very slight. Big isn't the world i would use. Maybe 2 miles east

I dunno looks like a sudden lurch of 1/4 to 1/3 a line of longitude to me, which would be ~15-20 miles. Thing is, it might have bounced west-ish before that, making it look like it's diverting more from the track it was on.


Trochoidal looping of a rapidly intensifying center????
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3029 Postby Geno » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:25 pm

Stormgodess wrote:How crazy is it that the forecast has Helene at Cat 2 almost to Atlanta!

Are they prepared for this that far into Georgia?


Can someone post a link? I would very much like to forward this to my GA people.
Last edited by Geno on Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3030 Postby HurricaneBelle » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:25 pm

My barometer has leveled off at 993 here in Clearwater for the last hour or so, which tracks with the eye being just south of 110 miles due west of me.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3031 Postby LandoWill » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:26 pm

Irma was much worse than this in pasco inland and we were on the west side of the storm
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3032 Postby Hurricane2022 » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:26 pm

I'm guessing recon will find 126 kt FL/111 kt SFMR winds and 939 mb extrap pressure.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3033 Postby Beef Stew » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:27 pm

Stormgodess wrote:How crazy is it that the forecast has Helene at Cat 2 almost to Atlanta!

Are they prepared for this that far into Georgia?


Georgia is hardly prepared for a hurricane along the coast... much less inland. Michael did significant damage in SW GA, and absolutely leveled the pecan industry there. I fear Helene's impacts in parts of Georgia will very heavy.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3034 Postby grapealcoholic » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:28 pm

920 ceiling
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3035 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:29 pm

Intense lightning all over the eyewall. There is a mesoscale vortex feature in the western eyewall that looks like a legitimate supercell. It's huge.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3036 Postby Beef Stew » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:30 pm

Eye is rapidly clearing.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3037 Postby aspen » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:30 pm

Going to guess recon will find 945-949mb extrapolated, 120-125 kt FL, 105-110 kt SFMR. Winds (and especially SFMR) have been lagging behind pressure all day.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3038 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:31 pm

Hurricane2022 wrote:I'm guessing recon will find 126 kt FL/111 kt SFMR winds and 939 mb extrap pressure.


If we're gonna call our shots I'll say 943mb with a 120kt FL and 110 SFMR.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3039 Postby Ken711 » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:32 pm

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Helene is part of a massive circulation over the entire Southeast U.S.

We thought this would hold back the storm w/negative shear or dry air. Nope. Helene turned the tables to its advantage instead drawing baroclinic energy from the deep-layer trough. Really bad.

Image
Image
Last edited by Ken711 on Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3040 Postby WaveBreaking » Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:32 pm

horrifying.

Image
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