ATL: HELENE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Travorum]

Unfortunately it seems Helene has claimed its first US fatality as a sign fell on a driver on I4. My heart goes out to the nature coast and Perry in particular, this is pretty much a worst case scenario for them with two major hurricanes making landfall this past year from Idalia to Helene.

[TallyTracker]

Power is out at my house in north Tallahassee. My robot vacuum is no longer responding. That was my litmus test to see when power/internet went out. lol

[Travorum]

A thick band of 100-120kt+ FL winds in the NW eyewall from air force:

AF306 1809A HELENE HDOB 20 20240927
014400 2937N 08357W 6977 02693 9544 +103 +092 129095 099 089 026 00
014430 2938N 08355W 6971 02708 9551 +105 +081 128100 104 087 039 00
014500 2939N 08354W 6988 02694 9560 +105 +073 128103 107 087 043 00
014530 2940N 08353W 6963 02736 9570 +105 +066 126115 118 079 059 00
014600 2941N 08352W 6965 02739 9577 +106 +063 125119 120 082 056 00
014630 2942N 08351W 6967 02749 9591 +105 +061 128118 122 080 059 00
014700 2943N 08350W 6977 02749 9612 +098 +060 125103 113 071 065 00
014730 2944N 08348W 6961 02777 9630 +091 +058 126097 099 062 072 00
014800 2944N 08347W 6974 02772 9641 +092 +055 132104 104 066 072 00
014830 2945N 08346W 6968 02790 9650 +092 +052 138106 108 067 062 00
014900 2946N 08344W 6969 02795 9657 +095 +049 139108 109 075 057 00
014930 2948N 08344W 6964 02812 9664 +097 +049 138109 115 059 068 03
015000 2950N 08346W 6961 02823 9661 +111 +050 133122 122 072 018 00
015030 2951N 08348W 6970 02818 9669 +111 +051 128122 124 075 017 03
015100 2953N 08351W 6969 02835 9683 +107 +051 125115 121 064 020 00
015130 2954N 08353W 6964 02845 9693 +105 +051 125113 116 067 020 00
015200 2956N 08356W 6969 02852 9704 +106 +051 121113 115 062 020 00
015230 2957N 08359W 6962 02865 9711 +104 +052 115105 116 /// /// 03
015300 2957N 08401W 6959 02869 9711 +104 +052 106100 103 /// /// 03
015330 2956N 08403W 6970 02850 9705 +103 +053 105098 101 /// /// 03

[Hurricaneman]

Power is out at my house in north Tallahassee. My robot vacuum is no longer responding. That was my litmus test to see when power/internet went out. lol

It’s about to get quite ugly there in about an hour or so. 100mph winds or higher, good luck

[tolakram]

Watching a bunch of chasers out in the open near Perry. Can't help but wonder how many will get hurt with this, Perry is not that far inland.

[REDHurricane]

The core is going nuclear on visible, look at those gravity waves in the last half hour. Kinda reminds me of Delta 2020.

Hopefully the brief land interaction with the Yucatan will slow things down for a bit, but I'm guessing the effect will be marginal at best. Before it enters the Gulf, anyone want to guess at what Helene's' peak pressure/wind speed will be? I'm gonna go with with 915mb/160kt, though if I were setting an O/U line I'd probably put it around 935mb/130kt right now

Case in point why it's always better to be the oddsmaker than the gambler...

[sweetpea]

Power is out at my house in north Tallahassee. My robot vacuum is no longer responding. That was my litmus test to see when power/internet went out. lol

Yeah, it is starting to kick in pretty hard here on Tally
at the hotel. Pretty sure the hotel is running on generator.

[Powellrm]

What is going on with the eye on radar? Looking almost like it’s trying to wrap even tighter on the western side…

Mesos rotating and slamming into it. /dont see that every day

I think I’ve said “wow” out loud about 10 times tonight.

[Steve]

Unfortunately it seems Helene has claimed its first US fatality as a sign fell on a driver on I4. My heart goes out to the nature coast and Perry in particular, this is pretty much a worst case scenario for them with two major hurricanes making landfall this past year from Idalia to Helene.

Yeah. That’s a few pages back now but Hall’s site reported it. Copic is live in Taylor County.

[Hurricane2022]

I'm very sorry to hear this.
https://www.charlotteobserver.com/news/ ... 94159.html

[tolakram]

One more pass soon

[JaxGator]

Checking in from Valdosta, bracing for hurricane conditions (hopefully not the eastern eyewall). Winds are starting to pick up here. Family in Jacksonville will be in a better situation than I am lol (besides tornadoes). Praying for all in Helene's path. She is for sure intensifying up to landfall. Lots of lightning.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

It’s definitely jogged west, almost like it’s intentionally trying to maximize its time over the water.

[Steve]

Watching a bunch of chasers out in the open near Perry. Can't help but wonder how many will get hurt with this, Perry is not that far inland.

It wil get rocked but should be east and south of track. Not many towns or roads to Nw of Perry.

[Xyls]

It’s definitely jogged west, almost like it’s intentionally trying to maximize its time over the water.

Also may be becoming almost the worst case scenario for Tallahassee, only worse would've been had it come in to the west of the city. In this case though looks like many winds are lopsidded on the west anyways so Tallahassee may get blitzed. They maybe should extend the extreme wind warning into Leon county as well...

[ROCK]

9pm update was 939 at 140MPH I think she has top out with only a hour or less before landfall. Not that it makes any difference.

[Hugo1989]

One chaser just reported a 175mph gust

[tolakram]

[Hurricane2022]

It appears the crew doesn't want to test the plane's safety by venturing into the NW Eyewall

[Travorum]

Rainfall near Asheville NC is going to be catastrophic, they've already had 8in over the past 24hrs and are forecasted to get 12in+ over the next day. All that water running down the mountains is going to exacerbate flash flooding that's already taking place there.