Abdullah wrote:What situations are best and worst for storm surge in Tampa Bay? Is it worse if the storm comes in north, on Tampa, or to its south?
Way worse with a north landing. It’s the SW winds that drive surge.
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Abdullah wrote:What situations are best and worst for storm surge in Tampa Bay? Is it worse if the storm comes in north, on Tampa, or to its south?
Abdullah wrote:What situations are best and worst for storm surge in Tampa Bay? Is it worse if the storm comes in north, on Tampa, or to its south?
Flwxguy86 wrote:Abdullah wrote:What situations are best and worst for storm surge in Tampa Bay? Is it worse if the storm comes in north, on Tampa, or to its south?
Anything south of Tampa bay will bring significatly less surge than if it makes landfall in or north of Tampa bay. Best case scenario for Tampa is a landfall in sarasota and to the south. Northern it would have to be up near cedar key for the surge to not be a serious issue in the bay.
Flwxguy86 wrote:I have heard anything like that. Also anyone posting the CLIPER model seem dubious.
Isn't the cliper model actually designed for winter weather modeling and not so much tropical? I don't think I'd put much stock in it personally. Same thing with the GRAF model, It's decent in a very short term outlook but this far out, tends to be very wrong.
weeniepatrol wrote:FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 23.6N 86.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
Sanibel wrote:Shouldn't there be high altitude jet samplings happening right now...
norva13x wrote:And I literally just got a new roof this year too
aspen wrote:Looking pretty ragged all of a sudden, maybe it gulped a bit of dry air.
johngaltfla wrote:Fire Chief Paul Dezzi urges Longboat Key residents to “leave as soon as you can”
https://www.mysuncoast.com/2024/10/06/f ... n-you-can/
via WWSB, Sarasota
ConvergenceZone wrote:aspen wrote:Looking pretty ragged all of a sudden, maybe it gulped a bit of dry air.
That raggedness will be VERY temporary and short-lived if that's the case and then the monster will take off again.
underthwx wrote:The NHC 4 pm update is not good news....Milton's intensity predictions are significantly higher....and according to the NHC....may very likely be higher later on.....this cyclone has a very real potential to be a category 5 cyclone....absolutely a dangerous situation unfolding across Florida....and my heart is heavy for yall....
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