ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Beef Stew]

And is beyond crazy that those Cat 5 winds are on the SW quadrant!!!

Given the southeastern heading of the storm though, that's not unheard of.

[Chemmers]

I think we might see later the first sub 900 in the gulf of mexico since Rita

[GCANE]

Milton may end up being one of the strongest hurricanes in the Atlantic ever

Easily will be the highest ACE

[mpic]

There's going to be 200 miles of stopped northbound evacuees leaving Florida here shortly.

It gets really bad in these long lines of traffic. People get panicky and tempers flare. Gas runs out.

Best to evacuate early to beat the crowd. And while a riskier move have found waiting until 12 hours before landfall gives one a wide-open highway to escape because everyone has already left.

Every big hurricane in Florida you would see the stand-still traffic beginning just past Tallahassee all the way down.

Have seen the best and worst in people in these evacuation scenarios. You don't want to be one of the hundreds at a gas station waiting for a tanker truck that isn't going to be arriving.

Gas stations seem to be where people get the most worked-up with a Cat 5 coming.

Chuck

I was one who was stuck in the Rita evac before I found this site....24 hours to go 60 miles. I had an old truck and used a whole tank of gas. Besides the fact that it was all unnecessary, I will never wait until the last minute again.

[Xyls]

Milton may end up being one of the strongest hurricanes in the Atlantic ever

Easily will be the highest ACE

That's not how ACE works lol.

[Abdullah]

Have we ever even seen a 200mph SFMR in the Atlantic basin?? I know it’s overcooked but wow.

Dorian reported 200 mph a few times in 2019

https://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/reco ... oduct=hdob

[Pelicane]

Few days ago we were talking about whether this would be a strung out rain maker and now it's a Cat 5. Mother nature is truly something else.

[Beef Stew]

...MILTON RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...

10:55 AM CDT Mon Oct 7
Location: 21.7°N 91.6°W
Moving: ESE at 9 mph
Min pressure: 925 mb
Max sustained: 160 mph

And there it is, per the NHC. We have our operational category 5.

[chaser1]

000
URNT15 KNHC 071540
AF309 0814A MILTON HDOB 44 20241007
153200 2133N 09156W 6964 03043 9888 +125 +040 324071 071 063 002 00
153230 2134N 09157W 6963 03051 9899 +122 +039 327068 070 063 002 00
153300 2134N 09158W 6962 03057 9907 +119 +036 331066 068 061 005 00
153330 2135N 09200W 6961 03067 9911 +123 +037 333064 065 061 003 00
153400 2134N 09201W 6961 03073 9923 +120 +037 331065 066 /// /// 03
153430 2132N 09201W 6965 03073 9930 +117 +040 324064 066 /// /// 03
153500 2130N 09159W 6961 03075 9924 +121 +040 319061 062 057 001 03
153530 2131N 09157W 6962 03062 9908 +125 +038 316062 064 057 000 03
153600 2131N 09155W 6970 03043 9898 +124 +038 315066 068 060 003 00
153630 2132N 09153W 6961 03044 9889 +121 +038 316072 073 064 003 00
153700 2133N 09151W 6963 03027 9860 +134 +035 315074 076 067 003 00
153730 2134N 09150W 6951 03021 9841 +133 +038 313078 080 071 004 00
153800 2135N 09148W 6979 02966 9823 +126 +041 316083 084 077 005 00
153830 2136N 09146W 6956 02959 9803 +108 +042 312097 104 085 009 00
153900 2137N 09145W 6979 02871 9755 +092 +043 313115 123 105 021 00
153930 2138N 09143W 6949 02820 9663 +089 +040 311137 146 133 063 00
154000 2139N 09141W 6945 02667 9479 +101 +052 314142 158 176 042 00
154030 2140N 09139W 7095 02356 9292 +177 +064 296050 116 174 027 00
154100 2141N 09138W 6978 02468 9242 +188 +046 291015 037 101 008 03
154130 2142N 09137W 6946 02519 9257 +172 +042 050006 007 023 000 00
$$
;

Wow. 158kt FL and 176kt SFMR in the SW eyewall, extrap pressure down to at least 924.2mb.

Holy cow. That’s 9mb between passes.

150-155 kt and sub-915 in a few hours.

WTF is happening

[emeraldislenc]

Just hard to believe from 60 yesterday to 155 plus today never seen this !

[Soluna16]

Milton may end up being one of the strongest hurricanes in the Atlantic ever

Easily will be the highest ACE

This is not how ACE works.

[WaveBreaking]

WMG pixels in Milton’s eye. Completely speechless rn.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Officially upgraded to Category 5, first operationally assessed Gulf Category 5 since 2005? Michael and Ian were both post season upgrades

[UTSARoadrunner4]

It’s official. Cat 5. Jesus…

[ScottNAtlanta]

Have we ever even seen a 200mph SFMR in the Atlantic basin?? I know it’s overcooked but wow.

Irma, Dorian, and Maria

Camille

[CrazyC83]

Sub-900 seems reasonable now, and a crazy intensity of 160-165 kt or higher could certainly happen.

The scary thought is if it can close off a CDG ring...that's T8.0 if it has a warm eye.

[Teban54]

Have we ever even seen a 200mph SFMR in the Atlantic basin?? I know it’s overcooked but wow.

Irma, Dorian, and Maria

Camille

SFMR wasn't a thing back in the days of Camille, though...

[Zonacane]

Have we ever even seen a 200mph SFMR in the Atlantic basin?? I know it’s overcooked but wow.

Irma, Dorian, and Maria

Camille

Way before SFMR existed. The only other hurricane would maybe be Felix

[xironman]

The visibles from this one are going to be amazing, just wait until tomorrow when it is over the loop current.

[Beef Stew]

With that pass, the AF plane looks to be done with this mission. Looks like we'll have another plane in Milton in a few hours.