ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hurricane Mike]

2:30pm video update
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tup_70il8UA

[tronbunny]

I think there needs to be a new term.
Accelerated Intensification.

OR ARI?
Accelerated Rapid Intensification

NHC used the actual term, "Explosive Intensification"

[WaveBreaking]

[cheezyWXguy]

I wonder what the pressure actually is at this point. I see the nhc has further dropped it to 909mb but it was dropping near 10mb an hour when recon left and I see no reason that would stop. It could conceivably be approaching Katrina’s pressure right now

[BIFF_THE_UNRULY]

When people wake up in FL and see this, there is going to be panic to get out

There is. Gas stations empty. Roads bumper to bumper going north or east....

WAWA always has gas fyi

[tropicwatch]

Yucatan might dodge a bullet. Looking like Milton might have stopped its southward progression.

https://tropicwatch.info/1007241845z.mp4

[aspen]

I wonder what the pressure actually is at this point. I see the nhc has further dropped it to 909mb but it was dropping near 10mb an hour when recon left and I see no reason that would stop. It could conceivably be approaching Katrina’s pressure right now

For now I think it’s safe to put it in the mid 900s because while it was in the middle of ERI, we can’t tell if it’s slowing down until recon gets back there in a few hours.

[NC George]

When people wake up in FL and see this, there is going to be panic to get out

There is. Gas stations empty. Roads bumper to bumper going north or east....

WAWA always has gas fyi

Do they have magical unlimited storage tanks?

[dukeblue219]

I wonder what the pressure actually is at this point. I see the nhc has further dropped it to 909mb but it was dropping near 10mb an hour when recon left and I see no reason that would stop. It could conceivably be approaching Katrina’s pressure right now

Where did you see 909?

[Teban54]

At which point will Milton hit the MPI? And do we know what it even is?

This map suggests the minimum potential pressure is in the 890s (higher towards Mexico coast, a bit lower further north). However, Beryl did outperform the wind MPI, though I'm not sure if there are any instances of storms outperforming pressure MPI.

[BIFF_THE_UNRULY]

There is. Gas stations empty. Roads bumper to bumper going north or east....

WAWA always has gas fyi

Do they have magical unlimited storage tanks?

They get priority fueling status and recieve a Truck everyday. Trust me they never run out, on the off chance they do another truck is always en route within 30 minutes

The state has strategic reserves ready for this sort of thing and WaWa gets them

[FireRat]

Milton the Monster... what an unbelievable day!

[ChrisH-UK]

GOES-19 Imagery

 https://twitter.com/CIRA_CSU/status/1843357734856733156

[bob rulz]

This is jaw-dropping and heartbreaking. A good friend has 2 sisters who live in Bradenton, luckily I heard today that they are evacuating, though not sure to where they are going.

Everyone stay safe! I definitely worry about what the west coast of Florida is going to look like in 3 days...

[chaser1]

Will the Plant City/Lakeland area be sufficiently far to evacuate? Have an option closer to Orlando, but not sure any safer or worth the extra driving.

I would appreciate advice on best routes, times for driving or better evacuation options from south Pinellas.

Would it make sense to go south over sunshine bridge then somehow work our way north and east?
Than you

Lakeland should be fine.

If you're in a mobile home in Lakeland I would still evacuate.

A mobile home in Orlando wouldn't make me feel that much more warm and fuzzy

[zzzh]

At which point will Milton hit the MPI? And do we know what it even is?

This map suggests the minimum potential pressure is in the 890s (higher towards Mexico coast, a bit lower further north). However, Beryl did outperform the wind MPI, though I'm not sure if there are any instances of storms outperforming pressure MPI.

[url]https://i.postimg.cc/KcTDb1jj/atlpot.png [/url]

I wouldn't really trust that MPI map, it's pretty much useless

[snownado]

When people wake up in FL and see this, there is going to be panic to get out

There is. Gas stations empty. Roads bumper to bumper going north or east....

Miami is not a bad alternative. Should be TS gusts correct?

There's arguably a heightened flash flood risk for SE Florida.

[HurricaneBelle]

I think there needs to be a new term.
Accelerated Intensification.

OR ARI?
Accelerated Rapid Intensification

NHC used the actual term, "Explosive Intensification"

This storm is giving me a different kind of explosive intensification.

[cheezyWXguy]

I wonder what the pressure actually is at this point. I see the nhc has further dropped it to 909mb but it was dropping near 10mb an hour when recon left and I see no reason that would stop. It could conceivably be approaching Katrina’s pressure right now

Where did you see 909?

Latest BT update, can be found on page 98

[HurricaneAndre2008]

What yall thinking next advisory? I'm thinking 180 something with pressure in the 900s