ATL: LESLIE - Remnants - Discussion

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kevin
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#161 Postby kevin » Wed Oct 09, 2024 10:26 am

We all forgot about Leslie, but she might be the most resilient storm of the season. I had written this TC off many times and every time it still made a comeback.
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#162 Postby Buck » Wed Oct 09, 2024 11:42 am

Rooting for Leslie to get a Category 3 peak at this point.
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#163 Postby aspen » Wed Oct 09, 2024 12:34 pm

Starting to shrimp out a bit. Will it persist and get Leslie to MH intensity? Only time will tell.

If Leslie becomes a major, this season will be at 13/9/5 — insanely quality-over-quantity.
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#164 Postby Beef Stew » Wed Oct 09, 2024 12:43 pm

Leslie just continues to over-perform.
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#165 Postby weeniepatrol » Wed Oct 09, 2024 12:55 pm

aspen wrote:Starting to shrimp out a bit. Will it persist and get Leslie to MH intensity? Only time will tell.

If Leslie becomes a major, this season will be at 13/9/5 — insanely quality-over-quantity.


Yeah we’re approaching 1996 ratios. Leslie looks fantastic atm, btw
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#166 Postby Travorum » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:05 pm

Wow, Leslie just refuses to quit. While i still believe that the first peak was at least a Cat 2 on October 6, Leslie now looks like its trying to do that operationally.
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#167 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:38 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#168 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:57 pm

Almost cat 2.

AL, 13, 2024100918, , BEST, 0, 219N, 488W, 80, 982, HU
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#169 Postby Buck » Wed Oct 09, 2024 2:06 pm

Our girl is already at an ACE of 11.3. She will realistically pass Ernesto and settle just under Beryl, Kirk & Milton for the year.
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#170 Postby Teban54 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 2:06 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#171 Postby Travorum » Wed Oct 09, 2024 2:27 pm

ImageImage
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#172 Postby WaveBreaking » Wed Oct 09, 2024 2:48 pm

Lightning showing up in the eyewall

Image
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#173 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 09, 2024 3:33 pm

The party will be over on thursday.

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132024
500 PM AST Wed Oct 09 2024

...LESLIE A LITTLE STRONGER BUT WILL REACH STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ON THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.2N 49.0W
ABOUT 955 MI...1535 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#174 Postby weeniepatrol » Wed Oct 09, 2024 4:00 pm

Image

Image

Subjective Dvorak numbers from TAFB and SAB are a unanimous T-4.5/77
kt, whereas recent objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS have
been averaging in the 78-85 kt range for the past several hours.
The initial intensity is bumped up to 80 kt, using a blend of the
subjective and objective estimates.


80 kt??? No comment.
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#175 Postby MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS » Wed Oct 09, 2024 4:21 pm

A death in Bermuda due to this storm: https://bernews.com/2024/10/crd-police- ... ing-death/
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#176 Postby WaveBreaking » Wed Oct 09, 2024 4:56 pm

I feel like we’re about to see something special happen in the next couple of hours

Image
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#177 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 09, 2024 6:19 pm

Yes!! Here is the eye.

Image
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#178 Postby MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS » Wed Oct 09, 2024 6:19 pm

Looks like an eye forming on IR last hour or so
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#179 Postby weeniepatrol » Wed Oct 09, 2024 6:30 pm

Image

Probably around 95 kt in reality, my posts are opinion only, etc.
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Hurricane - Discussion

#180 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Wed Oct 09, 2024 6:52 pm

Looking like Lingering Leslie won't let her time up just yet...
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