ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Ubuntwo
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5021 Postby Ubuntwo » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:44 pm

101kt SFMR. Data integrity issues aside (this is the AF plane, not NOAA) this is still a major hurricane.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5022 Postby Steve » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:45 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:
TomballEd wrote:

per Ryan Hall Youtube's pro-met, correlation coefficient shows a lot on non-rain objects, he speculates birds, in the E eyewall.


To correct your statement Ryan Hall isn't a meteorologist, but I think he did get a degree in "broadcast" meteorology I think but that's a big difference. I googled him awhile back. His sidekick Andy is a meteorologist though.


It was singular possessive. Think Ed was talking about Andy Hill.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5023 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:47 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:Destruction all over the treasure coast from palm city to Stuart and hobe sound to ft Pierce. Just brutal tornadoes all day long here. Looks to be finally winding down.


Wow was insane there for 4 hrs. Martin county had a minimum of 5 confirmed touch downs with extensive damage. Never in my life have I seen or been in anything like that before.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5024 Postby Teban54 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:48 pm

The banding may make the eye seem huge on some radar loops, but high-res Tampa Bay radar shows it's actually not:

Image

National radar at the same time:

Image
Last edited by Teban54 on Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5025 Postby loon » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:49 pm

i know radar can play tricks on the eyes, but these last 30 mins of frames sure looks like there is a tighter low in the NNW section of the big eye formation and it and the convection seem to have a more northernly component to them.

Image
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5026 Postby jdjaguar » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:50 pm

TR772 wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:


Sorry but I’m not touching random links


I'm sending you a picture of the damage, c'mon...

thanks. I clicked on it. the car leaning head to toe on the house wow
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5027 Postby jdjaguar » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:51 pm

TR772 wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:


Sorry but I’m not touching random links


I'm sending you a picture of the damage, c'mon...

thanks. I clicked on it. the car leaning head to toe on the house wow
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5028 Postby DunedinNate » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:51 pm

Can someone explain why the surge projections, on the surge inundation map, dropped so drastically?
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5029 Postby Full8s » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:52 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:Seems my father in laws home may have taken a direct hit from the large tornado that moved through The Acreage in Palm Beach County.


So sorry to hear that. I hope all parties are safe though. :(
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5030 Postby TheFort2018 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:53 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:
TR772 wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:
Sorry but I’m not touching random links[/ :( quote]

I'm sending you a picture of the damage, c'mon...


At least a dozen homes damaged in Wellington. There’s a business in Ft Pierce that just had the metal ripped off the building an a concrete poll snapped in half


That might have been the St Lucie County Sheriff’s Department. It sustained heavy damage. We live in south Fort Pierce and have had more tornado warnings than you can shake a stick at. Calm at the moment though, but no power. Way more fortunate than others, though.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5031 Postby kevin » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:53 pm

118 kt FL wind measured by recon, sufficient to keep the intensity at 105 kt instead of a decrease to 100 kt.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5032 Postby StormPyrate » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:53 pm

DunedinNate wrote:Can someone explain why the surge projections, on the surge inundation map, dropped so drastically?

Great question, storm surge should not have gone away even if it weakened, but how then do you explain that
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5033 Postby Steve » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:54 pm

DunedinNate wrote:Can someone explain why the surge projections, on the surge inundation map, dropped so drastically?


Surge is going to come in south and down to Naples as that western eyewall stuff rotates back around. Then after it pulls away continued SW flow so look down that way
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5034 Postby Nimbus » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:54 pm

DunedinNate wrote:Can someone explain why the surge projections, on the surge inundation map, dropped so drastically?


Wind is blowing from the east out of Tampa bay.


https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=mtbf1
Last edited by Nimbus on Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5035 Postby DunedinNate » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:54 pm

Nimbus wrote:
DunedinNate wrote:Can someone explain why the surge projections, on the surge inundation map, dropped so drastically?


Wind is blowing east out of Tampa bay.


https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=mtbf1

I understand why Tampa Bay won’t get it. Why did it drop so drastically for Sarasota County and Charolette Harbor?
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5036 Postby HurricaneBelle » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:55 pm

It's your standard sheared halfacane, but unfortunately south Pinellas and Tampa are getting the wrong half.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5037 Postby TheFort2018 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:55 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:Destruction all over the treasure coast from palm city to Stuart and hobe sound to ft Pierce. Just brutal tornadoes all day long here. Looks to be finally winding down.


Wow was insane there for 4 hrs. Martin county had a minimum of 5 confirmed touch downs with extensive damage. Never in my life have I seen or been in anything like that before.


Crazy stuff for sure here in The Fort. A friend in Palm City said it was really hairy over there.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5038 Postby Nimbus » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:56 pm

DunedinNate wrote:
Nimbus wrote:
DunedinNate wrote:Can someone explain why the surge projections, on the surge inundation map, dropped so drastically?


Wind is blowing east out of Tampa bay.


https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=mtbf1

I understand why Tampa Bay won’t get it. Why did it drop so drastically for Sarasota County and Charolette Harbor?


Lower wind velocities occurred in time but there is still some surge.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5039 Postby HurricaneBelle » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:57 pm

The eye of the storm also seems to have a detached retina as the eyewall has been sheared out to north except for the NW side.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5040 Postby gailwarning » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:57 pm

skillz305 wrote:
johngaltfla wrote:
Abdullah wrote:99% of Indian River County residents have lost power

https://i.imgur.com/26hhWvr.png


Holy smokes!!!!



Not true. My whole neighborhood still has power…Vero


Not sure one neighborhood is an adequate sample size.
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