2024 EPAC Season

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Pasmorade
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#281 Postby Pasmorade » Mon Oct 14, 2024 11:17 pm

I wonder...what would have to occur in the EPAC for ACE to scrape normal levels. :lol:
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#282 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 20, 2024 12:45 pm

Looks like this will be a powerful hurricane as the models agree.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Oct 20 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southwestern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure has developed in the Gulf of Tehuantepec
this morning, which is due in part to the remnants of Nadine.
Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and
a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of
days, while the system moves westward at around 15 mph away from the
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.


Forecaster Landsea
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#283 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Oct 20, 2024 4:48 pm

Looks like it's ex Nadine.
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#284 Postby MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS » Sun Oct 20, 2024 6:31 pm

Will this keep the name Nadine?
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#285 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 20, 2024 7:06 pm

They don't mention the remnants of Nadine.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Oct 20 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southwestern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure over the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are
conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form within the next couple of days, while the system
moves westward at around 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.


Forecaster Bucci
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#286 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 20, 2024 7:47 pm

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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#287 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 21, 2024 6:30 pm

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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#288 Postby Cyclenall » Thu Oct 24, 2024 7:26 pm

Now that the Epac bagged a cat5, I thought about the last time both the Atlantic and Epac had a cat5 during the season, well it wasn't long ago: 2023!
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#289 Postby Category5Kaiju » Thu Oct 24, 2024 8:03 pm

Cyclenall wrote:Now that the Epac bagged a cat5, I thought about the last time both the Atlantic and Epac had a cat5 during the season, well it wasn't long ago: 2023!


And before that, 2018. And before that, never.

I wonder if with warmer oceans we may see more cases in the future with the EPAC and Atlantic featuring Category 5s during the same year
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#290 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 25, 2024 1:26 pm

Models in agreement on a weak TC developing near 130W and crossing over into the CPAC.
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#291 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 26, 2024 6:55 am

Western East Pacific:
A large area of showers and thunderstorms is currently located well
to the southwest of the southwestern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of
next week while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at
about 15 mph. This system is expected to move into the central
Pacific basin on Wednesday or Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#292 Postby Pasmorade » Wed Oct 30, 2024 6:41 am

About 1300 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii:
An area of low pressure is producing disorganized shower activity.
Environmental conditions appear to be favorable for some slow
development over the next day or so as the system moves
northwestward around 15 mph. The system is expected to cross into
the Western Pacific Basin Wednesday night.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

What are the chances this could develop prior to a crossover?
Last edited by Pasmorade on Wed Oct 30, 2024 6:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#293 Postby Pasmorade » Wed Oct 30, 2024 6:53 am

Oh. :(
About 1300 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii:
An area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Development of this system is not expected while it
moves northwestward around 15 mph. The system is expected to cross
into the Western Pacific Basin tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#294 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Thu Oct 31, 2024 9:58 am

Latest GFS run is bonkers: shows quite an incredible burst of activity... Two hurricanes, one major.
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#295 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Oct 31, 2024 5:41 pm

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Latest GFS run is bonkers: shows quite an incredible burst of activity... Two hurricanes, one major.

It has a pretty strong EPAC WWB.
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#296 Postby cycloneye » Sun Dec 01, 2024 6:37 am

It was a below average season with 13/5/3 and the only big impact from a hurricane to Mexico was John. Also the ACE was well below average with 82.
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#297 Postby cycloneye » Mon Dec 02, 2024 11:36 am

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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#298 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Dec 02, 2024 11:49 am

Slowest since 2010?
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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#299 Postby cycloneye » Fri Feb 28, 2025 1:00 pm

The final tracks and summary table are up from the 2024 season.

 https://x.com/NHC_Pacific/status/1895527989926117566


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Re: 2024 EPAC Season

#300 Postby Hurricanehink » Fri Feb 28, 2025 3:25 pm

cycloneye wrote:The final tracks and summary table are up from the 2024 season.

 https://x.com/NHC_Pacific/status/1895527989926117566




https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/2024_East_Pacific_Hurricane_Season_Summary_Table.pdf - as I try to avoid the platform formerly known as Twitter, here's the direct NHC link.
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