Texas Winter 2024-2025

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Cpv17
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#21 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Nov 12, 2024 6:59 pm

Sambucol wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
Wthrfan wrote:Winter has been a dud the last two years. This winter may be the worst (for us snow/cold lovers) in the last several.

Remember the past few La Nina Winters have been anything but boring, it all depends on the EPO


Was winter 2021 a la nina winter because we had the Winter Apocalypse in Texas in February 2021 that took down our grid. Statewide event.


It was a first year La Niña. First year La Niña’s can sometimes be quite interesting.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#22 Postby Brent » Wed Nov 13, 2024 2:06 pm

I have very low expectations for this winter but I mean the last two years have been among the worst winters ever here on record so I can't imagine how it gets any worse. I mean we literally had a total of like 6 hours of snow in two winters when we average 9 inches a year not to mention two snow holes where it snowed all around us and rained in the city because we were one degree too warm in back to back winters. Yeah it can't possibly be any worse. Like another winter like the last two I'm gonna question our climate

And yeah La Nina's can be very interesting here. Hopefully that holds up
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#23 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Nov 16, 2024 3:58 pm

hearing alot of 2016-2017 winter analogs being used for this winter, if thats the case, winter might be over before it even started
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#24 Postby Brent » Mon Nov 18, 2024 1:53 pm

Stratton23 wrote:hearing alot of 2016-2017 winter analogs being used for this winter, if thats the case, winter might be over before it even started


Good grief that's about the worst analog possible. :roll: Who said that

I mean I have snowy trips this winter but I really can't believe we won't do better than we've been doing here. Its been beyond pathetic for our climo and trips are never gonna replace snow at home either
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#25 Postby Stratton23 » Mon Nov 18, 2024 2:06 pm

Brent Pow Ponder is his youtube channel, but hes a very good and reliable met, lives up in Dallas, he belives the 2016-2017 winter analogs are the closest to what will happen this winter , then again their are others who say its gonna be different than that, specially Larry Cosgrove has more of an Enso neutral winter idea which would be better for cold and winter weather for most of the US
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#26 Postby Brent » Mon Nov 18, 2024 2:15 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Brent Pow Ponder is his youtube channel, but hes a very good and reliable met, lives up in Dallas, he belives the 2016-2017 winter analogs are the closest to what will happen this winter , then again their are others who say its gonna be different than that, specially Larry Cosgrove has more of an Enso neutral winter idea which would be better for cold and winter weather for most of the US


Anything but that analog. It's been pathetic enough here already
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#27 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 18, 2024 8:29 pm

Stratton23 wrote:hearing alot of 2016-2017 winter analogs being used for this winter, if thats the case, winter might be over before it even started

AKA, the winter that never existed
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#28 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Nov 18, 2024 8:45 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:hearing alot of 2016-2017 winter analogs being used for this winter, if thats the case, winter might be over before it even started

AKA, the winter that never existed



Ice,

Are you at OU this semester? Also, I still think December might be interesting
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#29 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 19, 2024 8:48 am

Tireman4 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:hearing alot of 2016-2017 winter analogs being used for this winter, if thats the case, winter might be over before it even started

AKA, the winter that never existed



Ice,

Are you at OU this semester? Also, I still think December might be interesting

Yes, I am in OU

Thanksgiving looks interesting
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#30 Postby Wthrfan » Wed Nov 20, 2024 4:22 pm

Latest first freeze on record for OKC is December 4th. Looking like we will get one in just before this.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#31 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 20, 2024 6:48 pm

Wthrfan wrote:Latest first freeze on record for OKC is December 4th. Looking like we will get one in just before this.

I had a freeze a few weeks ago, or was very close to one
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#32 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Nov 21, 2024 3:17 pm

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#33 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Nov 22, 2024 1:09 am

We got some SOLID years on this signal, being 2009, 1963, and 1976

Image
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SGT8c.jpg
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#34 Postby Golfisnteasy7575 » Fri Nov 22, 2024 4:56 pm

If we can get a decent pacific more than recent years, I believe we should have our opportunities for cold and snow. The wpo and epo are very important to help give us a decent cold air source.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#35 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 25, 2024 2:18 pm

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#36 Postby Golfisnteasy7575 » Mon Nov 25, 2024 5:38 pm


I personally don't believe it has any similarities to 2013 or even 2000, especially if we keep a +PNA. Back then if I recall, high pressure came down the spine of the rockies instead of it further east. It's still early so anything is possible but that's the way it seems like to me
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#37 Postby Stratton23 » Thu Nov 28, 2024 6:24 pm

Things are starting to look a bit interesting around the december 10th timeframe or so, GFS/ Euro have a system digging out in west texas with cold air pouring into the state, doesnt mean a whole lot at this range, but ensembles kinda starting to see it too, could be an interesting next couple of weeks
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#38 Postby Brent » Fri Nov 29, 2024 3:07 pm

Most snow in Denver in November since 1991... Ugh that winter sucked badly... Please no
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#39 Postby snownado » Sun Dec 01, 2024 8:34 am

It's looking remarkably seasonal temp-wise (which after our torch of a Fall is probably a welcome change) for the 1st half of December with an eastern trough / western ridge alignment.

Not seeing much in the way of siginificant precip (both rain & snow-wise) outside of possibly South Texas under this pattern though.

In other words, the boring time of year (when I semi-stop posting) with the most boring type of weather imaginable is here!
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#40 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun Dec 01, 2024 10:14 am

I guess at least I had a freeze IMBY. Barely got down to 32 Friday.
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