Texas Winter 2024-2025

[Ralph's Weather]

Gulf lows almost always trend north and bring in more warm air than is modeled on NE side.

[Sambucol2024]

Mid 20’s on the nam12k 00z, nasty ice/ sleet storm in se texas, warm nose shows its ugly head, yuckkk

That would wreak havoc on ERCOT.

[txtwister78]

GEFS ensemble members precip type output.

[Stratton23]

GEFS mean increased to 3-5 inches

[ThunderSleetDreams]

ThunderSleetDreams for snow for se texas it is, stronger warm nose is the trend, thats not good

Again, you get hung up on that. That’s not going to come to fruition with this. Models don’t handle these well. Old school spider senses aren’t detecting that at all.

[jasons2k]

Gulf lows almost always trend north and bring in more warm air than is modeled on NE side.

Ralph knows.

[MississippiWx]

GEFS ensemble members precip type output.

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-ensemble-all-avg/tx/precip_6hr_ptype_multimember_panel/1737158400/1737460800-smtVdLQPrfY.png

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-ensemble-all-avg/tx/precip_6hr_ptype_multimember_panel/1737158400/1737482400-VI9G5wlLNO0.png

Wow. Looks like every GFS ensemble member is on board with a pretty amped solution.

[Ralph's Weather]

ThunderSleetDreams for snow for se texas it is, stronger warm nose is the trend, thats not good

Again, you get hung up on that. That’s not going to come to fruition with this. Models don’t handle these well. Old school spider senses aren’t detecting that at all.

I had your confidence last week and 1 degree turned Tyler from a potential heavy snow to barely even any sleet. Column was 32/33 all the way up. Front sauce of coastal lows are a precarious place to be. Better Arctic air this time but still a risky play.

[Ralph's Weather]

Gulf lows almost always trend north and bring in more warm air than is modeled on NE side.

Ralph knows.

Learned a hard lesson last week. All the way up here and still not a flake until flurries the day after. That back side always comes in quick and often before the column fully cools to snow.

[jasons2k]

Gulf lows almost always trend north and bring in more warm air than is modeled on NE side.

Ralph knows.

Learned a hard lesson last week. All the way up here and still not a flake until flurries the day after. That back side always comes in quick and often before the column fully cools to snow.

I've been preparing for an ice storm since Sunday. We have pine trees and live oaks everywhere. The snow on top will be a bonus.

[jasons2k]

I also would not be surprised to see a mixture of freezing rain, sleet, and snow falling at my location literally at the same time during the changeover. I've seen it a few times in my lifetime and this setup looks like one of them.

[Sambucol2024]

Ralph knows.

Learned a hard lesson last week. All the way up here and still not a flake until flurries the day after. That back side always comes in quick and often before the column fully cools to snow.

I've been preparing for an ice storm since Sunday. We have pine trees and live oaks everywhere. The snow on top will be a bonus.

That is what we have been preparing for this week. Ice storm but hoping it will only be snow.

[Stratton23]

Euro is an absolute mess for se texas, combination of 4-6 inches of snow on top of an inch of sleet and .10 to .25 of ice, definitely not getting close to freezing on tuesday and likely would struggle to reach freezing on wednesday, travel would be impossible

[captainbarbossa19]

Euro is an absolute mess for se texas, combination of 4-6 inches of snow on top of an inch of sleet and .10 to .25 of ice, definitely not getting close to freezing on tuesday and likely would struggle to reach freezing on wednesday, travel would be impossible

Euro has up to 10 inches of snow actually in Liberty County now.

[PTrackerLA]

00z Euro

[DW5522]

Euro is an absolute mess for se texas, combination of 4-6 inches of snow on top of an inch of sleet and .10 to .25 of ice, definitely not getting close to freezing on tuesday and likely would struggle to reach freezing on wednesday, travel would be impossible

Shoot bud that’s just what ya want! Throw down a little ice and then 4 to 6 on top and then a couple cold days to lock it in place! Now that’s a snow day that lingers for a while.

[Stratton23]

The euro has a 2nd system swinging through on late thursday- friday , bringing another round of mixed precipitation

[txtwister78]

Latest WPC total QPF. Notice the trends from previous run further north/west. Not a good sign when most of this will be frozen of some kind.

[TomballEd]

Difference in early morning temps Wednesday on the models is impressive.

[TropicalTundra]

Front through FW, heading through Dallas now.