Texas Winter 2024-2025

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gpsnowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7881 Postby gpsnowman » Fri Feb 07, 2025 8:04 pm

A large portion on the northeast is about to get buried in snow the next couple weeks. :froze:
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7882 Postby Stratton23 » Fri Feb 07, 2025 8:47 pm

Interesting that the Euro AIFS 18z has dam nearly bursting in texas, seeing those barney colors showing up
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7883 Postby Sambucol2024 » Fri Feb 07, 2025 9:12 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Interesting that the Euro AIFS 18z has dam nearly bursting in texas, seeing those barney colors showing up

What’s the timing and would those cold temps make it to the Houston area? Travis Herzog did post on FB about freezing temps returning next week and doing it again around Presidents Day.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7884 Postby Stratton23 » Fri Feb 07, 2025 9:23 pm

Sambucol2024 if the AIFS is correct, timing would be the 15th/16th ish, at the very least. i do expect high temperatures in the upper 40’s to low 50’s next week, a much needed change from this dreadful warmth and insufferable mosquitoes lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7885 Postby txtwister78 » Fri Feb 07, 2025 10:53 pm

ICON continues to keep much of the state on a rollercoaster ride regarding temps next week but nothing terribly cold. In fact, it actually tries to warm up southern sections of the state back into the 80's Wednesday and Thursday.

NAM much cooler Sunday into Monday so clearly going to be a battle as to where the front stalls.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7886 Postby Stratton23 » Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:05 pm

GEFS has the EPO going negative again after the 20th , all this to say, probably the rest of february is going to have alot of volatility to it in terms of temperature swings if the EPO keeps going up and down
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7887 Postby wxman22 » Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:21 pm

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7888 Postby txtwister78 » Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:24 pm

Stratton23 wrote:GEFS has the EPO going negative again after the 20th , all this to say, probably the rest of february is going to have alot of volatility to it in terms of temperature swings if the EPO keeps going up and down


AO looks to be climbing back closer to neutral around the timeframe and then you add the PNA moving back to positive. That's all she wrote if that holds even with a slightly negative EPO. EPS still trending slightly positive so you're looking at something more neutral perhaps in the wash between the two.

Once we get passed mid-February however across our region of the state in particular, odds drop considerably for anything impactful in terms of winter weather/temps considering our temperature norms climatogically for that time period begin to rise considerably.

I'd' actually like to see a little temp clash to get some non-severe thunderstorms to put down some rain across SC TX where it's still very much needed.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7889 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sat Feb 08, 2025 9:07 am

I'm thinking a cold rain is all we're getting this time.

Between what I'm seeing on the National Weather Service and the lack of posts on here, this is it for winter and a cold rain will finish us off.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7890 Postby WacoWx » Sat Feb 08, 2025 9:07 am

Can anyone give me their best guess on the cold front timing in Dallas today? Ty!
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7891 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Feb 08, 2025 9:25 am

WacoWx wrote:Can anyone give me their best guess on the cold front timing in Dallas today? Ty!


Sometime this afternoon, likely between 2-4pm.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7892 Postby snownado » Sat Feb 08, 2025 9:27 am

Another beautiful day on tap for DFW with another record high! :ggreen:
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7893 Postby snownado » Sat Feb 08, 2025 9:28 am

HockeyTx82 wrote:I'm thinking a cold rain is all we're getting this time.

Between what I'm seeing on the National Weather Service and the lack of posts on here, this is it for winter and a cold rain will finish us off.


In other words, typical climo for our region...
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7894 Postby wxman22 » Sat Feb 08, 2025 9:41 am

OUN has increased the chance of freezing rain to 60% now and has us getting down to 19 degrees Wednesday night.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7895 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Feb 08, 2025 9:49 am

Any frozen precip next week will likely be located from the Red River northward into OK. Even the NAM which is the coldest model (and likely closest to reality) has temperatures near 40 in DFW when it's raining on Tuesday.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7896 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Feb 08, 2025 10:37 am

The quicker the warm sticky air gets pushed out the better. It's gross and needs to get to the Gulf where it belongs.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7897 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Feb 08, 2025 11:03 am

75 degrees here at 10 am with 90% Humidity, yeah im definitely buying a first class plane ticket to Siberia, absolutely disgusting
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7898 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 08, 2025 11:41 am

Cannot wait for this front to come through and get that northerly flow for awhile. This cedar pollen whiplash from the back and forth has been miserable for me.

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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7899 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Feb 08, 2025 11:53 am

The humidity % is irrelevant. It’s all about the dew point. I never pay attention to the humidity %.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7900 Postby wxman22 » Sat Feb 08, 2025 12:08 pm

The front just moved through here, winds gusting out of the north a up to 40 mph.
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