Texas Winter 2024-2025

[Ntxw]

cajungal I do enjoy swimming, but thats the only thing the heat is somewhat useful for, other than that its just an inconvenience to me, and even then texas beaches are absolutely garbage, thats about it, other than that my AC is staying at 60 for the next 6 months, and the Yukon would be a perfect fit!

How about the Sierras? They measure their snow in feet. Forget measuring in inches over there lol

Too extreme probably, at some point all the snow will look the same . Maybe somewhere in the front range where chinook winds can get up to 70F even in winter and snow cover doesn't stick around forever until the next big storm. It can dump in a storm and be golfing in a few weeks.

[cajungal]

cajungal I do enjoy swimming, but thats the only thing the heat is somewhat useful for, other than that its just an inconvenience to me, and even then texas beaches are absolutely garbage, thats about it, other than that my AC is staying at 60 for the next 6 months, and the Yukon would be a perfect fit!

Go to Barrow and do the Arctic plunge! I wouldn’t do Texas beaches. But Alabama gulf shores has an amazing beach only 4 hour drive from me

[HockeyTx82]

FWD put the area under a Cold Weather Warning.......

Here we go

[txtwister78]

While surface temps are going to be cold overnight and into the early morning hours especially for those further north, it's the wind chill temps (feels like temp) that will make this dangerous for those who have to be outside for any extended length of time and so with that mind (even without the frozen precip threat), it will be interesting to see how schools approach this across the warned area.

[DallasAg]

cajungal I do enjoy swimming, but thats the only thing the heat is somewhat useful for, other than that its just an inconvenience to me, and even then texas beaches are absolutely garbage, thats about it, other than that my AC is staying at 60 for the next 6 months, and the Yukon would be a perfect fit!

How about the Sierras? They measure their snow in feet. Forget measuring in inches over there lol

Too extreme probably, at some point all the snow will look the same . Maybe somewhere in the front range where chinook winds can get up to 70F even in winter and snow cover doesn't stick around forever until the next big storm. It can dump in a storm and be golfing in a few weeks.

Don't be fooled, the front range can get into the high 90s and around 100 in the summer. Granted it's with dewpoints in the 20s so it doesn't feel so bad. Head up to the higher country - there are some beautiful places like Westcliffe, Salida, Gunnison, Buena Vista, Alamosa, etc. They're up closer to 7500', so the elevation keeps the heat in check. And although the snow sticks around a bit more than in the front range, it's never too long and you get plenty of sunshine too. Once you get much above that you're talking non-stop snow from Nov through May and it can be a real beatdown, even if you live in a ski resort town I think they tend to get sick of it by the end of ski season.

[orangeblood]

FWD put the area under a Cold Weather Warning.......

Here we go

With wind chills between 0F to minus 10F ....just your "normal" cold snap

[Brent]

Tulsa now saying a foot possible with blizzard conditions near the Kansas border

Yeah totally normal cold snap. Nothing to see here

I haven't seen a storm with this much potential here in 3 years at least

[Ntxw]

Tulsa now saying a foot possible with blizzard conditions near the Kansas border

Yeah totally normal cold snap. Nothing to see here

I haven't seen a storm with this much potential here in 3 years at least

As of right now, the ground zero for this event is your region to include adjacent Kansas, Missouri, and Arkansas in terms of cold and snow. Enjoy it my friend! The shortwave itself isn't anything spectacular, but the front will enhance precip and wind potential.

[Brent]

Tulsa now saying a foot possible with blizzard conditions near the Kansas border

Yeah totally normal cold snap. Nothing to see here

I haven't seen a storm with this much potential here in 3 years at least

As of right now, the ground zero for this event is your region to include adjacent Kansas, Missouri, and Arkansas in terms of cold and snow. Enjoy it my friend! The shortwave itself isn't anything spectacular, but the front will enhance precip and wind potential.

It's the long duration to me that has consistently shown up with possibly 18 hours of precip... Like that's more like when I went to KC and saw 10 inches tbh

Or January if it had accumulated better during the day and yet we still had 6 inches(should have been more if it was colder etc)

I mean I don't expect a foot in Tulsa but I definitely think 3-5 ain't happening either

[Ntxw]

Tulsa now saying a foot possible with blizzard conditions near the Kansas border

Yeah totally normal cold snap. Nothing to see here

I haven't seen a storm with this much potential here in 3 years at least

As of right now, the ground zero for this event is your region to include adjacent Kansas, Missouri, and Arkansas in terms of cold and snow. Enjoy it my friend! The shortwave itself isn't anything spectacular, but the front will enhance precip and wind potential.

It's the long duration to me that has consistently shown up with possibly 18 hours of precip... Like that's more like when I went to KC and saw 10 inches tbh

Or January if it had accumulated better during the day and yet we still had 6 inches(should have been more if it was colder etc)

I mean I don't expect a foot in Tulsa but I definitely think 3-5 ain't happening either

The only fail mode would be if the upper frontal boundary is further south due to the stronger surge of height rises for lesser totals, but it's getting pretty close to the event for that drastic of a shift. You've benefited from the southern shifts thus far. But disturbances riding W-E along any front is where it can be fun.

[Brent]

As of right now, the ground zero for this event is your region to include adjacent Kansas, Missouri, and Arkansas in terms of cold and snow. Enjoy it my friend! The shortwave itself isn't anything spectacular, but the front will enhance precip and wind potential.

It's the long duration to me that has consistently shown up with possibly 18 hours of precip... Like that's more like when I went to KC and saw 10 inches tbh

Or January if it had accumulated better during the day and yet we still had 6 inches(should have been more if it was colder etc)

I mean I don't expect a foot in Tulsa but I definitely think 3-5 ain't happening either

The only fail mode would be if the upper frontal boundary is further south due to the stronger surge of height rises for lesser totals, but it's getting pretty close to the event for that drastic of a shift. You've benefited from the southern shifts thus far. But disturbances riding W-E along any front is where it can be fun.

Yeah tbh I've been waiting for the precip to dry out like last year but I mean we're inside 12 hours now... I think the window on fail modes is closing unless we just somehow stay sleet for way longer than we're supposed to but even that doesn't sound correct to me. I'm honestly not even sure we'll see any sleet

From the AFD

Of particular note with this system will be the SWE ratios well
above climatology for this area, especially points farther north.
The result will be a dry snow that will easily be blown by gusty
north winds, with significant drifting and reductions to
visibility likely. In fact conditions may be close to blizzard in
some areas, particularly over the more open country northwest of
Tulsa as wind gusts approach 30 mph.

[HockeyTx82]

FWD put the area under a Cold Weather Warning.......

Here we go

With wind chills between 0F to minus 10F ....just your "normal" cold snap

Nothing to see here, winter cancel.

I've got my shorts, flip flops and t-shirts ready. I'm filling the pool tonight!

[Quixotic]

Nothing could go wrong.

I think the biggest fail I ever saw was in Pennsylvania. The prediction was blizzard conditions. 1-2’ of snow. They were shutting down the freeway I was on at 11 pm. I got off the ramp just at 11 and checked into the hotel. Turns out it cut up and moved much faster and the result was 5” of snow which was mostly on the ground while I got my bags out of the car. lol

[Fifty Rock]

It's the long duration to me that has consistently shown up with possibly 18 hours of precip... Like that's more like when I went to KC and saw 10 inches tbh

Or January if it had accumulated better during the day and yet we still had 6 inches(should have been more if it was colder etc)

I mean I don't expect a foot in Tulsa but I definitely think 3-5 ain't happening either

The only fail mode would be if the upper frontal boundary is further south due to the stronger surge of height rises for lesser totals, but it's getting pretty close to the event for that drastic of a shift. You've benefited from the southern shifts thus far. But disturbances riding W-E along any front is where it can be fun.

Yeah tbh I've been waiting for the precip to dry out like last year but I mean we're inside 12 hours now... I think the window on fail modes is closing unless we just somehow stay sleet for way longer than we're supposed to but even that doesn't sound correct to me. I'm honestly not even sure we'll see any sleet

From the AFD

Of particular note with this system will be the SWE ratios well
above climatology for this area, especially points farther north.
The result will be a dry snow that will easily be blown by gusty
north winds, with significant drifting and reductions to
visibility likely. In fact conditions may be close to blizzard in
some areas, particularly over the more open country northwest of
Tulsa as wind gusts approach 30 mph.

Ok, I will be picking up some Beer and Pizza, who want’s to head up that way? I’m sure Brent has room for a few people.

[wxman22]

The mesoscale models are trending quicker with the front. And it now looks like we may transition to freezing rain/sleet here during the peak of the precip instead of the tail end of the event.

[GeauxTigers]

The mesoscale models are trending quicker with the front. And it now looks like we may transition to freezing rain/sleet here during the peak of the precip instead of the tail end of the event.

What’s the timing? School is gonna be a nightmare if this comes in during day. Granted, I’m a little farther east by 2 counties, but don’t wanna get stuck being on roads.

[wxman22]

The mesoscale models are trending quicker with the front. And it now looks like we may transition to freezing rain/sleet here during the peak of the precip instead of the tail end of the event.

What’s the timing? School is gonna be a nightmare if this comes in during day. Granted, I’m a little farther east by 2 counties, but don’t wanna get stuck being on roads.

The NAM doesn't show frozen precip for your area until after 6 pm tomorrow, but worth keeping an eye on just in case the freezing line moves in faster than anticipated.

[Ntxw]

Front coming into the picture in southern Kansas.

[Brent]

also it's gotten noticeably darker here

[gpsnowman]

Front coming into the picture in southern Kansas.

https://i.imgur.com/92jhzHv.png

I keep reading 3pm for fropa here. Does it look like it could come in earlier than that? Southern Kansas isn't that far.