Texas Spring 2025
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
rwfromkansas wrote:And only .30 at my home station. Lol.
Well, that’s that.
i'll gladly take that over the severe flooding events in oklahoma last night...
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The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- txtwister78
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
A nice widespread 1-2 inches of rain fell across the SA metro early this morning. Bonus opportunity verified.
Hopefully we can cash in this week as our active pattern continues and shifts a little further south.
Happy Easter to all.
Hopefully we can cash in this week as our active pattern continues and shifts a little further south.
Happy Easter to all.
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- wxman22
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
Yesterday was very active here with that massive supercell. I also received about 1.5 inches of rain. While areas to my east in Clay county received up to 9 inches of rain! With more storms coming next week. The next system up here looks to be on Wednesday as a MCS moves through. Love to see it. 





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Re: Texas Spring 2025
rwfromkansas wrote:And only .30 at my home station. Lol.
Well, that’s that.
I have to remind myself, the seasan is still young.
Although historically, the climatological peak
for severe weather is late April / early May in DFW (May & June are also the wettest months), last season we were also literally getting missed in every which direction until the 2 week period in late May / early June where we seemingly got slammed by strong/severe t'storms daily.
That said, if not for 3/5, my patience would be a lot thinner.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
I got like, 2.75 inches of rain when it was all set and done
More active pattern later this week, hopefully that doesn't mean more tornadoes for me. Ada got hit last night by the 2nd tornado in just over a month
More active pattern later this week, hopefully that doesn't mean more tornadoes for me. Ada got hit last night by the 2nd tornado in just over a month
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Spring 2025
Got about a tenth of an inch of rain. Glad for those west and south who cashed in some. it was rather concentrated due to the dry-slot further east. The next couple of weeks will provide ample support for qpf however it will be chaotic in nature where it isn't as concentrated but different localities will see quite a bit on and off basis, especially near and east of I-35. This is typical climo, pretty well expected mid to late Spring.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- wxman22
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
OUN is expecting an additional 3-4 inches of rain this week (Tuesday-Friday). Hopefully more parts of the state can get in on the heavy rain next week. Expect potential changes in the forecast from day to day next week as the storms will be primarily mesoscale driven.




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Re: Texas Spring 2025
taking a look at some of the extended ensembles, and they all point to the pattern staying wet through the third week of may at the very least, im pretty optimistic the state isnt going to go into summer with pre existing drought conditions , well at least no significant drought issues
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
It came w/i 15 miles of raining in my yard. Until proven otherwise, days away rain threats won't happen.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
Brent wrote:Flooding deaths in Moore... Ugh people never learn
https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topst ... ngNewsSerp
It could have literally just been a flash flood where they were driving and all of a sudden the water just rose up.
Sounds like a child died. Very scary and very unfortunate.
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
It rained in my yard. I wanted more, but the two week dry spell has ended. Effective front has passed Houston and is slowing down.
Flood issues in the coastal plain?
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=0154&yr=2025
Flood issues in the coastal plain?
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=0154&yr=2025
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
Beautiful day for yardwork and afternoon beer. It's the time of year when mowing is a weekly chore but as long as the rain chances continue it's all good.
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- txtwister78
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
Well after a break today we start watching to our west/nw this week for some MCV's. Hopefully one or two of these hits.
The other thing to watch is old outflow boundaries from leftover storms to see if those can activate with the help from daytime heating.
Models may be hit or miss this week so daily updates likely in my opinion.
The other thing to watch is old outflow boundaries from leftover storms to see if those can activate with the help from daytime heating.
Models may be hit or miss this week so daily updates likely in my opinion.
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- South Texas Storms
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
txtwister78 wrote:Well after a break today we start watching to our west/nw this week for some MCV's. Hopefully one or two of these hits.
The other thing to watch is old outflow boundaries from leftover storms to see if those can activate with the help from daytime heating.
Models may be hit or miss this week so daily updates likely in my opinion.
Yep, the Euro is most bullish on this the next few days so rooting for it to verify.
In the longer range, latest ensembles are indicating lower pressure heights across the Southern U.S. in the 1-2 week time period so hopefully that will lead to more widespread rain chances.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
HockeyTx82 wrote:Brent wrote:Flooding deaths in Moore... Ugh people never learn
https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topst ... ngNewsSerp
It could have literally just been a flash flood where they were driving and all of a sudden the water just rose up.
Sounds like a child died. Very scary and very unfortunate.
Yeah unfortunately sounds like the same thing happened just south of here... Another mother and child swept away from an SUV on a dirt road
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- CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
This past weekend gave me about .50" of rain that mostly can in early Saturday morning. but most of the weekend was pretty much uneventful for northern FTW.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
CaptinCrunch wrote:This past weekend gave me about .50" of rain that mostly can in early Saturday morning. but most of the weekend was pretty much uneventful for northern FTW.
My part of Houston was the same, early yesterday morning, but triple and more rain amounts just SE of Houston as storms slowed.
HRRR suggests convergence along the coast will lead to scattered storms. Dryline action in West Texas, STP is low but VIL suggests a few hailers. Don't know if the one lone cell that gets feisty down near Waco early this evening happens, something to watch. W Texas action could survive to I-35.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
This is why you don’t look at things too early.
What looked promising is now mostly confined to far West TX this week.
What looked promising is now mostly confined to far West TX this week.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
rwfromkansas wrote:This is why you don’t look at things too early.
What looked promising is now mostly confined to far West TX this week.
It is looking warm either way though, which is fine with me.
Hopefully, we won't have to contend with a ton of cloud debris as well.
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