When will the first major hurricane be classified?

[cycloneye]

Here is another important question for the members to vote and is about when the first major hurricane of the 2025 season be classified. This poll has 14 options to vote and will close on July 31rst at 9:14 PM EDT.

[StormWeather]

Ima have to go with August 26-31, that time feels right to me.

[chaser1]

Hmmm, I get the damnest messages in my fortune cookies these days - "Things become intense on, or the day after Labor Day this year". That left me little choice but to guess the 1st week of Sept!

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

Can’t believe I’m the only vote for no MH this year!

[tolakram]

26 - 31st. I'm in the cool kids club.

[psyclone]

none. Seeason cancel. shut it down

[Category5Kaiju]

This may be extremely bold, but I'm going to say that we'll get a major, MDR-born hurricane in mid-August, around the timeframe the velocity potential has been predicted to be favorable for the Atlantic based on long-range modeling as well as rumblings that the MDR is trying to wake up somewhat.

[TomballEd]

Early September. Even if peak season is delayed this year something should form by the end of August and that or another storm become the first major.

[Beef Stew]

Despite my expectations for a backloaded year, my gut is telling me that we get our first major just before the end of August.

[cycloneye]

Poll will close for voting tommorow the 31rst at 9:14 PM EDT for those who have not voted yet.

[AtlanticWind]

August 27th

[StPeteMike]

Leaning towards mid to late August. Even if things are showing struggles currently in the models for the MDR, I think it’s a precursor of change in environment and waves coming through to help moisturize that area for something to form into a major.

[cycloneye]

Poll has closed for voting and the August 26-31 was the winner. Let's see in real time how things evolve and have the first major cane.

[cycloneye]

Only one vote for what has occured with Erin.

[Teban54]

2025 has really broken the streak of relatively inactive mid-Augusts, especially in terms of quality in the deep tropics, that started in at least 2016 if not arguably 2010.

[Category5Kaiju]

This may be extremely bold, but I'm going to say that we'll get a major, MDR-born hurricane in mid-August, around the timeframe the velocity potential has been predicted to be favorable for the Atlantic based on long-range modeling as well as rumblings that the MDR is trying to wake up somewhat.

Did I really say this? Dang....

[AnnularCane]

This may be extremely bold, but I'm going to say that we'll get a major, MDR-born hurricane in mid-August, around the timeframe the velocity potential has been predicted to be favorable for the Atlantic based on long-range modeling as well as rumblings that the MDR is trying to wake up somewhat.

Did I really say this? Dang....

Spooky.

[weeniepatrol]

This may be extremely bold, but I'm going to say that we'll get a major, MDR-born hurricane in mid-August, around the timeframe the velocity potential has been predicted to be favorable for the Atlantic based on long-range modeling as well as rumblings that the MDR is trying to wake up somewhat.

Hello yes this is a robbery and I'm stealing your lottery numbers

[Pas_Bon]

I’m going to guess August 16.