Tropical Wave Inside Africa
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cycloneye
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Tropical Wave Inside Africa
I think is time that the wave the models are developing, (forget tracks) deserve it's own thread to post the model runs, satelite images etc. Wave as of 8/6/25 at 8 PM EDT or 00:00 UTC is around Chad and will emerge on the weekend.
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Category5Kaiju
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Re: Tropical Wave Inside Africa
At least per the most recent GFS run, what really catches my attention is how quickly this storm seems to form just after exiting Africa, becoming what appears to be a named system right next to the Cape Verde islands. Given its very high intensity down the line, somewhat reminds me of storms like Irma, Florence, and Lorenzo in that regard as well.
Really hope not, but if some of these model guidances are correct, then this could be a very long thread.
Really hope not, but if some of these model guidances are correct, then this could be a very long thread.
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Hurricaneman
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Re: Tropical Wave Inside Africa
I want what the GFS is having as it seems the GFS develops an area in between this and 96L sending it into the GOM and this is the area off the east coast on the 18z run
Seems a little overdone to me but it shows the pattern could be dangerous as we head to mid to late August
Seems a little overdone to me but it shows the pattern could be dangerous as we head to mid to late August
Last edited by Hurricaneman on Wed Aug 06, 2025 8:41 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave Inside Africa
Hurricaneman wrote:I want what the GFS is having
For clarification, what do you want? Edited= Now I saw your post that you added what it was.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave Inside Africa
00z ICON run has wave in that position at the end of it.
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Hurricaneman
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Re: Tropical Wave Inside Africa
The 0zGFS seems to send this through Haiti this run
And then strengthens it in the western Caribbean
And then strengthens it in the western Caribbean
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Re: Tropical Wave Inside Africa
Things picking up it seems, this one in particular could be a big ACE contributor if things align correctly
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Once I see the REDS and GREENS Converge on a Base Velocity. ... I'm There!!
This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave Inside Africa
The 00z European develops wave near the Leeward Islands and tracks thru PR and DR.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave Inside Africa
The euro run ends just north of Yucatán as a powerful hurricane.
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Re: Tropical Wave Inside Africa
Amazing, this far out how much EURO and GFS are in sync.
I have a bad feeling about this one.
I have a bad feeling about this one.
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