Texas Summer 2025

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
wxman22
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1508
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2006 12:39 am
Location: Wichita Falls, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#701 Postby wxman22 » Tue Aug 12, 2025 8:33 am

I received over 3 inches of rain last night. And over 6 inches fell on the north side of WF near Burkburnett!
3 likes   

cstrunk
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 647
Joined: Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:38 am
Location: Longview, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#702 Postby cstrunk » Tue Aug 12, 2025 9:40 am

wxman22 wrote:I received over 3 inches of rain last night. And over 6 inches fell on the north side of WF near Burkburnett!


WFS has been a hot spot this year, for sure.
1 likes   

User avatar
txtwister78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1874
Joined: Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:56 pm
Location: San Antonio

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#703 Postby txtwister78 » Tue Aug 12, 2025 11:58 am

Need to watch another tropical disturbance that most models have been advertising moving into the southern gulf later this week.

At a minimum increased moisture/chances for precip could impact coastal areas possibly moving into SC TX Friday into Saturday assuming this doesn't become something stronger.

Currently tracking this south of the Yucantan and looks pretty impressive on visible this morning just off the coast of Honduras.
1 likes   

jaguars_22
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 605
Joined: Tue Jun 20, 2017 2:26 pm
Location: Victoria TX

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#704 Postby jaguars_22 » Tue Aug 12, 2025 12:03 pm

Twister- I created a topic on that in the tropical section… it does have that look and it’s coming straight where Harvey came from… not saying it’s going to be a system but it is something to keep an eye on!!
1 likes   

User avatar
txtwister78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1874
Joined: Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:56 pm
Location: San Antonio

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#705 Postby txtwister78 » Tue Aug 12, 2025 3:04 pm

jaguars_22 wrote:Twister- I created a topic on that in the tropical section… it does have that look and it’s coming straight where Harvey came from… not saying it’s going to be a system but it is something to keep an eye on!!


Definitely loooong way to go before anything resembling Harvey. That's doubtful. Lots of systems/activity can get generated down in that region of the carribean but due to land interaction or other factors (shear) never fully develop

Right now it's mid to upper level driven so until we get a low pressure at the surface it's basically just a blob of convection but no doubt it definitely should be watched over the next few days.
0 likes   

User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4235
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#706 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Aug 12, 2025 3:18 pm

txtwister78 wrote:
jaguars_22 wrote:Twister- I created a topic on that in the tropical section… it does have that look and it’s coming straight where Harvey came from… not saying it’s going to be a system but it is something to keep an eye on!!


Definitely loooong way to go before anything resembling Harvey. That's doubtful. Lots of systems/activity can get generated down in that region of the carribean but due to land interaction or other factors (shear) never fully develop

Right now it's mid to upper level driven so until we get a low pressure at the surface it's basically just a blob of convection but no doubt it definitely should be watched over the next few days.


While it does look fairly healthy on satellite imagery today, chances of tropical development look low. It should reach south TX Friday into Saturday bringing increasing rain chances to the region.
0 likes   

mmmmsnouts
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 165
Joined: Tue Sep 05, 2023 10:04 pm
Location: Arlington, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#707 Postby mmmmsnouts » Tue Aug 12, 2025 5:07 pm

DFW missing out on the rain so far today, but there’s a big outflow headed towards Fort Worth and Dallas. So maybe we still have a shot.
0 likes   

User avatar
txtwister78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1874
Joined: Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:56 pm
Location: San Antonio

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#708 Postby txtwister78 » Tue Aug 12, 2025 6:55 pm

Convection has now been tagged (X) by NHC in the SW Caribbean. They currently give it 20% odds of tropical cyclone development but they do acknowledge some development is possible as it emerges into the SW Gulf later this week (likely Thursday).
0 likes   

snownado
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 798
Joined: Sat Dec 09, 2023 7:00 pm
Location: Plano, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#709 Postby snownado » Tue Aug 12, 2025 8:37 pm

mmmmsnouts wrote:DFW missing out on the rain so far today, but there’s a big outflow headed towards Fort Worth and Dallas. So maybe we still have a shot.


The NE side of the Metroplex (the Collin County suburbs and NE Dallas County) got a decent hit today. Got grazed by a wind-driven downpour and with some pretty loud cracks of thunder here too.
0 likes   

Ralph's Weather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3270
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
Location: Lindale, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#710 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Aug 13, 2025 8:56 am

First significant rain in a long time for my area. SHV even hoisted a FFW.
2 likes   
Follow on Facebook at Ralph's Weather.

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22796
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#711 Postby Ntxw » Wed Aug 13, 2025 9:34 am

It appears the best that summer can throw is behind us. Looks seasonal if not slightly below, especially week 2 when models are hinting at 500mb weakness.
7 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

gpsnowman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3193
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 10:35 am
Location: Grand Prairie Tx

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#712 Postby gpsnowman » Wed Aug 13, 2025 12:55 pm

Ntxw wrote:It appears the best that summer can throw is behind us. Looks seasonal if not slightly below, especially week 2 when models are hinting at 500mb weakness.

Earlier this season, when I was dreading another brutal summer, I mentioned that some of my posts would be on the negative side. Nothing could be further from the truth. It's been hot of course but man, what an amazing summer here in North Texas. HPs meandering, rain and clouds some days, and finally a normal to below normal summer for a change. Remember this folks, it could be many years before we see this again. Loving the forecast for later this month. I agree with NTWX, summer has probably peaked and averages start falling Friday. The morning average has already dropped one degree. Fall will be here soon and that makes me energetic for the cooler months.
5 likes   

User avatar
wxman22
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1508
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2006 12:39 am
Location: Wichita Falls, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#713 Postby wxman22 » Wed Aug 13, 2025 1:52 pm

Yep the EURO AI has been consistently showing multiple cool fronts moving through during the later half of the month starting around the 21st.FWIW
2 likes   

mmmmsnouts
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 165
Joined: Tue Sep 05, 2023 10:04 pm
Location: Arlington, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#714 Postby mmmmsnouts » Wed Aug 13, 2025 5:49 pm

We’re sitting on a total of three 100+ days in DFW. That would be the fewest in a season since 2004, which was also very rainy early on. This has been a very manageable summer. (I won’t say enjoyable because it’s still hot.)
3 likes   

User avatar
txtwister78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1874
Joined: Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:56 pm
Location: San Antonio

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#715 Postby txtwister78 » Wed Aug 13, 2025 5:59 pm

We have invest 98L now per NHC for the disturbance about to enter the SW gulf. Euro ENS have a few members showing some weak development before making landfall either in NE Mexico or South Texas late Friday.

Regardless could see some increased rain chances late Friday into Saturday for coastal areas into SC TX
1 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38115
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#716 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 14, 2025 7:51 am

mmmmsnouts wrote:We’re sitting on a total of three 100+ days in DFW. That would be the fewest in a season since 2004, which was also very rainy early on. This has been a very manageable summer. (I won’t say enjoyable because it’s still hot.)


Yup only one here... And I'm not sure there's gonna be another one. Odds start decreasing rapidly soon especially with fronts already showing up. September doesn't even average one here

Also interestingly we haven't even seen a low above 80 yet which is maybe even crazier. Most mornings it's really not that miserable honestly

The last 8pm sunset is the 25th :eek:
Last edited by Brent on Fri Aug 15, 2025 7:41 am, edited 1 time in total.
3 likes   
#neversummer

Stratton23
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2635
Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
Location: Katy, Tx

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#717 Postby Stratton23 » Thu Aug 14, 2025 11:41 pm

Not seeing a signal for any major heat to come back to texas , in fact all i see is rain/ average to cooler temps in the extended range on the global models, keep it coming! We have been very lucky this summer
1 likes   

lukem
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 124
Joined: Wed Feb 17, 2010 2:53 pm

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#718 Postby lukem » Sat Aug 16, 2025 8:10 am

GFS has been hinting at a gulf storm at the end of the month. Most runs take it to Louisiana, but the 6z has a pretty big storm hitting around Houston. Something to watch over the next two weeks.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38115
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#719 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 16, 2025 10:32 am

I dunno about the tropics but there's a lot of hype about some massive cold front around the end of the month. Personally I'll believe it when I see it. Can't expect anything too crazy when it's still August but I mean it hasnt been a bad summer so maybe we do a little better? It's all the talk here
1 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
wxman22
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1508
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2006 12:39 am
Location: Wichita Falls, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer 2025

#720 Postby wxman22 » Sat Aug 16, 2025 3:43 pm

Brent wrote:I dunno about the tropics but there's a lot of hype about some massive cold front around the end of the month. Personally I'll believe it when I see it. Can't expect anything too crazy when it's still August but I mean it hasnt been a bad summer so maybe we do a little better? It's all the talk here


LOL yep i noticed that.Would be the first true Fall storm system/front of the season if it were to verify.Right on time for the start of Meteorological Fall. With a decent amount of rain also to boot. But like you said I'll believe it when i see it. Interesting scenario though if it did pan out.

:spam:
1 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 11 guests