WPAC: RAGASA - Post-Tropical

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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#161 Postby doomhaMwx » Sun Sep 21, 2025 9:58 pm

Babuyan Island is now being hammered. It won't be long now before the island enters the eye!

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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#162 Postby doomhaMwx » Sun Sep 21, 2025 11:24 pm

Babuyan Island right inside the eye of an intense category 5 supertyphoon!

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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#163 Postby WaveBreaking » Mon Sep 22, 2025 12:52 am

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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#164 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Sep 22, 2025 2:03 am

24W RAGASA 250922 0600 19.3N 121.7E WPAC 140 916
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#165 Postby doomhaMwx » Mon Sep 22, 2025 2:43 am

Eye now passing over Calayan Island. The weather station (★ WMO 98133) on the south side of the island stopped transmitting obs after 21Z, unfortunately, so we'll have to wait for PAGASA to release the data.

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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#166 Postby Hayabusa » Mon Sep 22, 2025 4:01 am

Finally new data from 98133 Calayan to GTS at 0500z it recorded an MSLP of 954.3mb and 26mps(50kts) sustained wind
SNPH20 RPMM 220500 RRA

AAXX 22051

98133 41430 83226 10/// 20/// 39528 49543 5//// 76366

8572/ 333 5699/ 85717 88458=
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#167 Postby mrbagyo » Mon Sep 22, 2025 5:01 am

 https://x.com/cofrancisg/status/1970032094719164490

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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#168 Postby doomhaMwx » Mon Sep 22, 2025 6:02 am

Hayabusa wrote:Finally new data from 98133 Calayan to GTS at 0500z it recorded an MSLP of 954.3mb and 26mps(50kts) sustained wind
SNPH20 RPMM 220500 RRA

AAXX 22051

98133 41430 83226 10/// 20/// 39528 49543 5//// 76366

8572/ 333 5699/ 85717 88458=

The station at that time was ~25 nmi from the eye of Ragasa. Using RMW of 22-23 nmi (calculated by @JoshuaCAgar), Schloemer equation outputs central pressure estimates between 915-920 mb.
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#169 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 22, 2025 6:13 am

Wow, spectacular view from the ISS.

 https://x.com/WxNB_/status/1970040041968660833

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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#170 Postby mrbagyo » Mon Sep 22, 2025 10:43 am

Convection is starting flare again
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#171 Postby WaveBreaking » Mon Sep 22, 2025 10:59 am

 https://x.com/zeb199818/status/1970109292658483610

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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#172 Postby Teban54 » Mon Sep 22, 2025 12:12 pm

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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#173 Postby Teban54 » Mon Sep 22, 2025 2:18 pm

That escalated quickly...

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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#174 Postby sasha_B » Mon Sep 22, 2025 2:31 pm

It does seem like intensity has recovered a little since this morning, despite the JTWC best track indicating that pressure has filled in to 930 hPa as of the latest fix.
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#175 Postby sasha_B » Mon Sep 22, 2025 2:51 pm

The latest subjective fixes (at 18z) were T6.0 but ADT numbers over the past 2 hours have climbed back over 6.5. If the trend holds, I wonder if Ragasa might not regain super typhoon status this evening.
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#176 Postby Fancy1002 » Mon Sep 22, 2025 3:19 pm

How big is Ragasa compare to other typhoons?
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#177 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 22, 2025 3:50 pm

Hong Kong may get a good deal of bad weather.

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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#178 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Sep 22, 2025 5:14 pm

Microwave has an outer eyewall still. Hard to re-intensify with that structure.
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#179 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 22, 2025 7:01 pm

Josh to Guangzhou, China.

 https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1970268537878200521

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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

#180 Postby Travorum » Mon Sep 22, 2025 7:49 pm

As has been said before, an outer eyewall has been present on microwave imagery:

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