Texas Fall 2025

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HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#441 Postby HockeyTx82 » Wed Oct 22, 2025 6:02 am

Down to 43 IMBY this moring :cold:
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#442 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Oct 22, 2025 6:12 am

ETX is as low as 38 with low 40s generally outside of town and mid 40s in town. Borderline for isolated frost in cold spots.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#443 Postby Ntxw » Wed Oct 22, 2025 7:04 am

53F at DFW coolest since May. Next 7 days is magnificent!

Normal is mid 70s/50s so even that is a win.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#444 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 22, 2025 7:19 am

42 degrees in the city. :eek: That's more like October here

Seeing some 34-35s in the rural areas

I can't remember the last time we were colder than forecast :lol:

Loving the rain forecast this weekend. I mean I don't see any really cold air in the next two weeks but still even seasonal is way better than it's been
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#445 Postby wxman22 » Wed Oct 22, 2025 7:58 am

47 degrees here :). The WPC has a large slight risk for excessive rain.A moderate risk upgrade *may* be needed, per WPC's discussion.

Image
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#446 Postby Fifty Rock » Wed Oct 22, 2025 8:30 am

Man, I sure hate to worry about rain, especially out here in West Texas. question for you seasoned Meteorologist's, we are having a memorial service for our youngest son at our home property near Albany, Texas on Saturday at 11:30 am. Was hoping this will move out of our area by early Saturday morning or even Friday night. Any thought on this being East of us? this is outdoor and spreading of ashes...
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#447 Postby HockeyTx82 » Wed Oct 22, 2025 9:08 am

Fifty Rock wrote:Man, I sure hate to worry about rain, especially out here in West Texas. question for you seasoned Meteorologist's, we are having a memorial service for our youngest son at our home property near Albany, Texas on Saturday at 11:30 am. Was hoping this will move out of our area by early Saturday morning or even Friday night. Any thought on this being East of us? this is outdoor and spreading of ashes...


My condolences. :cry:
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#448 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Oct 22, 2025 10:43 am

Fifty Rock wrote:Man, I sure hate to worry about rain, especially out here in West Texas. question for you seasoned Meteorologist's, we are having a memorial service for our youngest son at our home property near Albany, Texas on Saturday at 11:30 am. Was hoping this will move out of our area by early Saturday morning or even Friday night. Any thought on this being East of us? this is outdoor and spreading of ashes...


My understanding as a non-professional is that I think the main core of this will be east by that point. But, not sure. I am so horribly sorry to hear about this loss. I can't imagine, and I am just so sorry. My prayers and condolences.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#449 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Oct 22, 2025 10:45 am

It got down to 43 IMBY. Crazy how much warmer DFW was than here in west-central Tarrant. Basically 10 degrees warmer!

SIDE NOTE: Will Melissa screw up anything for our pattern change, like bring the ridge back over us?
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#450 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Oct 22, 2025 10:57 am

Good grief, highs in the 50s next week?
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https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b3vlm.png
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#451 Postby gpsnowman » Wed Oct 22, 2025 12:20 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:
Ntxw wrote:At this point I just want some air mixing. Air quality days in October is taking a toll.

Allergy season for me is always Feb-April. This fall season my allergies have been everyday. Nothing but dust and dry, crispy leaves in the backyard. Dust Bowl in October. Luckily tomorrow I will be in New England for several days in 50 degree air visiting Boston and New Hampshire for a fall break with my daughter. Much needed. Lived there when I was a child. Might be time to move there after gpsnowdaughter graduates.


Jealous. Boston is my favorite city I have ever visited. If I could move there, I would, though I would miss severe weather. My wife and I both love it. And the subway doesn’t smell unlike NYC…

Got back Saturday. Not a temp higher than 62 the entire time. Lows were in the upper 30s and lower 40s every morning during our time in New Hampshire. The foliage was hit or miss but better than north Texas has to offer. Overall a great trip and the daughter enjoyed it so mission accomplished. Back to Texas weather. End of October looks promising after the rain chances this weekend. Finally.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#452 Postby mmmmsnouts » Wed Oct 22, 2025 1:09 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:SIDE NOTE: Will Melissa screw up anything for our pattern change, like bring the ridge back over us?


I think we’re about at the point of the year where hurricanes don’t really survive outside the Caribbean. The SSTs might be high enough further north, but the wind shear cranks up a lot higher and it tears them to pieces.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#453 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Oct 22, 2025 1:22 pm

mmmmsnouts wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:SIDE NOTE: Will Melissa screw up anything for our pattern change, like bring the ridge back over us?


I think we’re about at the point of the year where hurricanes don’t really survive outside the Caribbean. The SSTs might be high enough further north, but the wind shear cranks up a lot higher and it tears them to pieces.


That's what I was thinking, it seems like it won't come anywhere close to the Gulf to be an issue, but just in case, I thought I would ask, lol.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#454 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 22, 2025 4:23 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:
mmmmsnouts wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:SIDE NOTE: Will Melissa screw up anything for our pattern change, like bring the ridge back over us?


I think we’re about at the point of the year where hurricanes don’t really survive outside the Caribbean. The SSTs might be high enough further north, but the wind shear cranks up a lot higher and it tears them to pieces.


That's what I was thinking, it seems like it won't come anywhere close to the Gulf to be an issue, but just in case, I thought I would ask, lol.


I will say I did see Mike Morgan talking about record highs after Halloween yesterday(cool Halloween then it warms back up)

But it is Mike Morgan :lol: consider the source

I do see a slight warmup right now but it's not anywhere close to records

I just think it's too late now the fronts are too frequent for any crazy warmth. Not to mention just beyond that I've been hearing talk of really cold air for awhile now. If it is it's probably a couple days before temps crash?

The Euro has nothing over 71 here in that timeframe
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#455 Postby Stratton23 » Wed Oct 22, 2025 5:35 pm

GFS has highs in the mid 60’s all the way down to SE texas on halloween, love to see it !
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#456 Postby Ntxw » Wed Oct 22, 2025 7:16 pm

See some decent signs from the ENS the first part of November may feature an Aleutian trough, which is against typical Nina Aleutian ridge. Aleutian troughs is often a precursor to some cold moving southward, tied with a good +PNA. Eastern trough may prevail in the new month.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#457 Postby Stratton23 » Wed Oct 22, 2025 7:38 pm

Ntxw but wouldn’t Aleutian troughing just flood the US with pacific air?
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#458 Postby Brent » Thu Oct 23, 2025 12:14 am

I'm still not seeing any cold air to get excited about even up here

Honestly maybe we'll save it for when it really matters though
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#459 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Thu Oct 23, 2025 3:02 am

I was just looking at the historicals and a year ago this time it was 90 degrees and the record was 91, I guess this isn't that far off of the new normal as we thought.

Even I, a Summer girl to my core, am ready for some cozy weather, but not too cold, unless I am promised snow.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025

#460 Postby Brent » Thu Oct 23, 2025 6:36 am

Lagreeneyes03 wrote:I was just looking at the historicals and a year ago this time it was 90 degrees and the record was 91, I guess this isn't that far off of the new normal as we thought.

Even I, a Summer girl to my core, am ready for some cozy weather, but not too cold, unless I am promised snow.


Amazingly our hottest Halloween ever was in 1950 at 87 degrees. Always makes me laugh when people talk about how it was never hot before.... And I've seen it a lot this month because it's been so warm relatively speaking(even this week the afternoons are a torch still). People act like it snows every Halloween here or something... I think we've had exactly one measure snow(1993) and someone said everything was basically cancelled that year anyway :lol: something else I found interesting about that winter was it never snowed again til March!! I think I'd rather take my chances later...

It's looking like we stay in the 60s this year with no rain or wind which ain't bad
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