NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

Current storms and invests:

Moderators: hurricanetrack, S2k Moderators


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10236
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#801 Postby Blown Away » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:07 pm

weeniepatrol wrote:13/5/4.


17/7/4 for me.

Hard to predict 4/5 total hurricanes are Major… :double:
Last edited by Blown Away on Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
1 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Top
User avatar
ScottNAtlanta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2493
Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#802 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:07 pm

ACE points should really start accumulating now
4 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
ScottNAtlanta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2493
Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#803 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:09 pm

Eye is out
Image
9 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3589
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#804 Postby Teban54 » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:12 pm

:double:

Image
6 likes   
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10236
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#805 Postby Blown Away » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:14 pm

It seems if Melissa continues moving slightly S of W the trough will catch her farther E and the angle of the NE turn would be closer the E end of Jamaica…
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Top
User avatar
sasha_B
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 221
Age: 24
Joined: Sun Jun 30, 2024 4:32 pm
Location: Charleston, SC

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#806 Postby sasha_B » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:15 pm

Raw ADT# just jumped to 7.5 :double:
Alas, the microwave adjustment is on, so final T# remains stuck at 4.4.
3 likes   
Top
BobHarlem
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2543
Joined: Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:11 pm

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#807 Postby BobHarlem » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:15 pm

Long duration radar loop of Melissa (since eye was discernible on radar) until now.

Image
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10236
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#808 Postby Blown Away » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:17 pm

BobHarlem wrote:Long duration radar loop of Melissa (since eye was discernible on radar) until now.

https://i.postimg.cc/qvKw9sDy/Jamaica-Radar-Melissa-10.gif


Bob can you provide the radar link? Thanks..
1 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Top
User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3954
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#809 Postby eastcoastFL » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:18 pm

BobHarlem wrote:Long duration radar loop of Melissa (since eye was discernible on radar) until now.

https://i.postimg.cc/qvKw9sDy/Jamaica-Radar-Melissa-10.gif


Where were you able to access the radar? The Jamaican radar site hasn't been working for me.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Fancy1002
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 279
Joined: Sun Dec 25, 2022 3:47 pm

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#810 Postby Fancy1002 » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:19 pm

Unless something goes wrong overnight, Melissa is going to be a terrifying beauty in the morning.
5 likes   
Top
User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3954
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#811 Postby eastcoastFL » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:22 pm

Such a horrific and beautiful storm. Nature can be such an amazing beast.


Image
3 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34160
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#812 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:23 pm

Fancy1002 wrote:Unless something goes wrong overnight, Melissa is going to be a terrifying beauty in the morning.


Wouldn't be surprised to see it reach category 5 sometime tomorrow, possibly fairly early if the rate picks up (and if the eye opens up it just might).
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
Stormybajan
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 450
Joined: Thu May 20, 2021 3:21 pm
Location: Windward Islands

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#813 Postby Stormybajan » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:23 pm

Major Hurricane Melissa currently has a heart shaped eye, however this potentially catastrophic situation with my fellow caribbean island in Jamaica is nothing to show love about right now. The rainfall is what worries me most plus the prolonged effects of extremely powerful winds. This could take months to recover from if that nhc forecast goes as expected! A slow moving cat 5??? No one ever wants to be in the middle of that :(
Image
Last edited by Stormybajan on Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:25 pm, edited 3 times in total.
3 likes   
Sad West Indies and Manchester United fan ⚽️
Top
User avatar
blp
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2878
Age: 46
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:51 pm
Location: Miami, FL
Contact:
Contact blp

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#814 Postby blp » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:23 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:
BobHarlem wrote:Long duration radar loop of Melissa (since eye was discernible on radar) until now.

https://i.postimg.cc/qvKw9sDy/Jamaica-Radar-Melissa-10.gif


Where were you able to access the radar? The Jamaican radar site hasn't been working for me.


Brian Mcnoldy Radar site:

https://bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/radar/
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Hurricane Mike
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 661
Joined: Tue Apr 10, 2018 7:44 am

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#815 Postby Hurricane Mike » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:24 pm

11pm Video on Melissa
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7PbuuUafBk
0 likes   
Top
BobHarlem
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2543
Joined: Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:11 pm

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#816 Postby BobHarlem » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:24 pm

Blown Away wrote:
BobHarlem wrote:Long duration radar loop of Melissa (since eye was discernible on radar) until now.

https://i.postimg.cc/qvKw9sDy/Jamaica-Radar-Melissa-10.gif


Bob can you provide the radar link? Thanks..


https://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?961
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
weeniepatrol
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1324
Joined: Sat Aug 22, 2020 5:30 pm
Location: WA State

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#817 Postby weeniepatrol » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:26 pm

Image
5 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3427
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#818 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:27 pm

Absolutely horrific situation unfolding tonight.
3 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Top
User avatar
WaveBreaking
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 658
Joined: Sun Jun 30, 2024 11:33 am
Location: US

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#819 Postby WaveBreaking » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:29 pm

Travorum wrote:
Also an interesting note from the last VDM, I'm not sure if this has any implication on intensification as I've never seen it before:

EYEWALL APPEARS SQUARE ON RADAR SIGNATURE


Probably means that there's strong mesovorticies in the eye that are making it polygonal in shape. When their winds mix w the rest of the eyewall, the eye becomes round again and the windspeed goes up.

I remember seeing this happen with hurricanes Idalia and Helene.
Image
6 likes   
I am NOT a professional meteorologist, so take all of my posts with a grain of salt. My opinions are mine and mine alone.
Top
hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2908
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Trinidad and Tobago

Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#820 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sat Oct 25, 2025 10:29 pm

Close-up of the heart-shaped eye with abundant lightning :eek:

Image
16 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Active Storms/Invests - Atlantic/EastPAC/CentralPAC/MED”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: kevin, ScottNAtlanta and 219 guests