Jr0d wrote:Sciencerocks wrote:This is the most impressive cat4 I've ever seen and most amazingly the recon says that is what it is.Can't argue with direct measurement but it is a puzzle of ones mind.
But I will stay up another 3-4 hours to catch at least a pass to see if current satellite trends finally catch up with surface realities.
I am definitely staying up to see what recon finds.
It does seem like low latitude storms are not as strong as the satellite suggests, where as higher lattitude storms can be stronger than the satellite estimates. Maybe that is my recency bias or maybe there is some mechanism like the Coriolis effect being stronger as latitude increases.
That said, I will be amazed if recon does not find a stronger storm if the eyewall holds together until they get a pass. I am thinking we will see the pressure down to the low 920s.
Maybe you're right and an added intensity factor might be tied to latitude?? One correlation that would seem to support that theory may simply be higher surface pressures in the sub-tropic higher latitudes than in the lower more equatorial latitudes. Only thing is, I would think that a much greater pressure gradient would result in a far larger wind field. Not necessarily stronger inner core wind speed
