Winter Weather Discussion
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Wthrfan
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#341 Postby Wthrfan » Sun Nov 30, 2025 4:19 pm
That’s 3-4 weeks out. Just 7-10 days ago we were looking at some really cold weather into OKC with snow. Temps are decent, low to mid-30s but not expected to get much if any precip though.
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Stratton23
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#342 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Nov 30, 2025 6:04 pm
GFS is a near dam bursting pattern , interesting, 588 mb alaskan ridge, thats insane!
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Iceresistance
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#343 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Nov 30, 2025 6:21 pm
Stratton23 wrote:GFS is a near dam bursting pattern , interesting
It overflexed the SE Ridge and made it more towards Texas. I think it's going to downtrend it somewhat to just a true SE Ridge
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021 
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say
Never with weather! Because
ANYTHING is possible!
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Stratton23
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#344 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Nov 30, 2025 6:37 pm
Iceresistance yeah its goong crazy with the SE ridge lol, that definitely is going to get squashed lol, especially with that strong of a ridge over alaska, thats an impressive cold pool on that run
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Iceresistance
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#345 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Nov 30, 2025 6:51 pm
Stratton23 wrote:Iceresistance yeah its goong crazy with the SE ridge lol, that definitely is going to get squashed lol, especially with that strong of a ridge over alaska, thats an impressive cold pool on that run
That's one very crazy -EPO ridge
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b9Ons.png
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021 All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say
Never with weather! Because
ANYTHING is possible!
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wxman22
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#346 Postby wxman22 » Sun Nov 30, 2025 6:52 pm
Been stuck in the 30's all day here. It looks like the official high today is going to be 37F degrees.Not bad for the beginning of Winter.
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txtwister78
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#347 Postby txtwister78 » Sun Nov 30, 2025 7:34 pm
And it will change about ten times between now and that time range that you posted my friend.
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Brent
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#348 Postby Brent » Sun Nov 30, 2025 7:39 pm
Wthrfan wrote:That’s 3-4 weeks out. Just 7-10 days ago we were looking at some really cold weather into OKC with snow. Temps are decent, low to mid-30s but not expected to get much if any precip though.
Yes I still remember when Mike Morgan said on live TV Wednesday night it will snow tomorrow in OKC
I mean it still might up here maybe if we're lucky but it's fallen a long way
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#neversummer
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Iceresistance
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#349 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Nov 30, 2025 7:55 pm
txtwister78 wrote:And it will change about ten times between now and that time range that you posted my friend.
I know it's just the CFS Long range, but I had to post it here because it was the coldest and craziest I've seen from a CFS model
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021 All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say
Never with weather! Because
ANYTHING is possible!
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Brent
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#350 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 01, 2025 3:44 am
Trying to get some freezing drizzle and occasional sleet up here already but it's super light. I've seen a few flurry reports towards OKC
Still a window for a snow burst around evening rush hour maybe
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HockeyTx82
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#351 Postby HockeyTx82 » Mon Dec 01, 2025 5:41 am
Happy Meteorological Winter!
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Brent
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#352 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 01, 2025 5:56 am
Black ice all over OKC already lol. Quite a start
On the day everyone goes back to work school from Thanksgiving
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#neversummer
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Brent
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#353 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 01, 2025 7:39 am
Our first accumulation of the winter
There is allegedly a snow band this afternoon before it's over
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HockeyTx82
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#354 Postby HockeyTx82 » Mon Dec 01, 2025 9:23 am
Shut down the city and declare a state of emergency!
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Brent
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#355 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 01, 2025 9:51 am
HockeyTx82 wrote:Shut down the city and declare a state of emergency!
Amazingly I've seen very few closings
I swear it's different up here. School isn't guaranteed to close
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#neversummer
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Iceresistance
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#356 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Dec 01, 2025 10:07 am
It's icy outside, plus there was evidence of sleet that happened too
Told my professors of the current situation, I'm a commuter student
30°F
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021 All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say
Never with weather! Because
ANYTHING is possible!
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Wthrfan
- Tropical Storm
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#357 Postby Wthrfan » Mon Dec 01, 2025 10:52 am
There was some isolated icy on elevated overpasses and the obligatory 2-3 accidents! Nothing that looked serious fortunately.
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Ralph's Weather
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#358 Postby Ralph's Weather » Mon Dec 01, 2025 11:40 am
35 and showery her win East Texas.
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Stratton23
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#359 Postby Stratton23 » Mon Dec 01, 2025 11:50 am
45 here with light rain, give me this weather every day for the next 3-3.5 months and ill be happy! I wish lol
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Iceresistance
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#360 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Dec 01, 2025 1:11 pm
Models are showing MJO to be in Phases 7 and 8, yet they torch, makes no sense.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021 All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say
Never with weather! Because
ANYTHING is possible!
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