Texas Winter 2025-2026

Winter Weather Discussion

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Wthrfan
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#341 Postby Wthrfan » Sun Nov 30, 2025 4:19 pm

Iceresistance wrote:Okay, this is the coldest CFS run I have ever seen, -21°F in OKC is WILD

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b9OLt.png
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b9OLt.png


That’s 3-4 weeks out. Just 7-10 days ago we were looking at some really cold weather into OKC with snow. Temps are decent, low to mid-30s but not expected to get much if any precip though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#342 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Nov 30, 2025 6:04 pm

GFS is a near dam bursting pattern , interesting, 588 mb alaskan ridge, thats insane!
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#343 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Nov 30, 2025 6:21 pm

Stratton23 wrote:GFS is a near dam bursting pattern , interesting

It overflexed the SE Ridge and made it more towards Texas. I think it's going to downtrend it somewhat to just a true SE Ridge
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#344 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Nov 30, 2025 6:37 pm

Iceresistance yeah its goong crazy with the SE ridge lol, that definitely is going to get squashed lol, especially with that strong of a ridge over alaska, thats an impressive cold pool on that run
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#345 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Nov 30, 2025 6:51 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Iceresistance yeah its goong crazy with the SE ridge lol, that definitely is going to get squashed lol, especially with that strong of a ridge over alaska, thats an impressive cold pool on that run

That's one very crazy -EPO ridge :eek:
Image
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b9Ons.png
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#346 Postby wxman22 » Sun Nov 30, 2025 6:52 pm

Been stuck in the 30's all day here. It looks like the official high today is going to be 37F degrees.Not bad for the beginning of Winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#347 Postby txtwister78 » Sun Nov 30, 2025 7:34 pm

Iceresistance wrote:Okay, this is the coldest CFS run I have ever seen, -21°F in OKC is WILD

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b9OLt.png
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b9OLt.png


And it will change about ten times between now and that time range that you posted my friend.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#348 Postby Brent » Sun Nov 30, 2025 7:39 pm

Wthrfan wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Okay, this is the coldest CFS run I have ever seen, -21°F in OKC is WILD

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b9OLt.png
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b9OLt.png


That’s 3-4 weeks out. Just 7-10 days ago we were looking at some really cold weather into OKC with snow. Temps are decent, low to mid-30s but not expected to get much if any precip though.


Yes I still remember when Mike Morgan said on live TV Wednesday night it will snow tomorrow in OKC

:spam: :lol:

I mean it still might up here maybe if we're lucky but it's fallen a long way
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#349 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Nov 30, 2025 7:55 pm

txtwister78 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Okay, this is the coldest CFS run I have ever seen, -21°F in OKC is WILD

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b9OLt.png
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b9OLt.png


And it will change about ten times between now and that time range that you posted my friend.

I know it's just the CFS Long range, but I had to post it here because it was the coldest and craziest I've seen from a CFS model
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#350 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 01, 2025 3:44 am

Trying to get some freezing drizzle and occasional sleet up here already but it's super light. I've seen a few flurry reports towards OKC

Still a window for a snow burst around evening rush hour maybe
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#351 Postby HockeyTx82 » Mon Dec 01, 2025 5:41 am

Happy Meteorological Winter!

:cold:
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#352 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 01, 2025 5:56 am

Black ice all over OKC already lol. Quite a start :spam:

On the day everyone goes back to work school from Thanksgiving
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#353 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 01, 2025 7:39 am

Our first accumulation of the winter :lol:

Image

There is allegedly a snow band this afternoon before it's over
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#354 Postby HockeyTx82 » Mon Dec 01, 2025 9:23 am

Brent wrote:Our first accumulation of the winter :lol:

https://i.ibb.co/HDWBDv2w/IMG-20251201-063059928-HDR.jpg

There is allegedly a snow band this afternoon before it's over


Shut down the city and declare a state of emergency!

:D
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#355 Postby Brent » Mon Dec 01, 2025 9:51 am

HockeyTx82 wrote:
Brent wrote:Our first accumulation of the winter :lol:

https://i.ibb.co/HDWBDv2w/IMG-20251201-063059928-HDR.jpg

There is allegedly a snow band this afternoon before it's over


Shut down the city and declare a state of emergency!

:D


Amazingly I've seen very few closings :lol: :lol:

I swear it's different up here. School isn't guaranteed to close
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#356 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Dec 01, 2025 10:07 am

It's icy outside, plus there was evidence of sleet that happened too
Told my professors of the current situation, I'm a commuter student

30°F
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#357 Postby Wthrfan » Mon Dec 01, 2025 10:52 am

There was some isolated icy on elevated overpasses and the obligatory 2-3 accidents! Nothing that looked serious fortunately.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#358 Postby Ralph's Weather » Mon Dec 01, 2025 11:40 am

35 and showery her win East Texas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#359 Postby Stratton23 » Mon Dec 01, 2025 11:50 am

45 here with light rain, give me this weather every day for the next 3-3.5 months and ill be happy! I wish lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#360 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Dec 01, 2025 1:11 pm

Models are showing MJO to be in Phases 7 and 8, yet they torch, makes no sense.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!


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