Texas Winter 2025-2026
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.-
Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Merry Christmas everyone! Heres to hoping for big cold and snow chances in the new years!
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- txtwister78
- Category 5

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Stratton did you have look at the EPS. Merry Christmas my friend. At least that's something to get a little excited about finally.
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
txtwister78 merry christmas to you and you’re family! I do love the look of a trough setting up to our west on the EPS, though would that be cold because it has the trough extending into alaska?
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
That's the first EPS run where I've actually seen some legit snowstorms here. Just maybe there's hope 
Needless to say we blew away the record for the hottest Christmas ever here
Needless to say we blew away the record for the hottest Christmas ever here
Last edited by Brent on Thu Dec 25, 2025 4:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#neversummer
- txtwister78
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- Posts: 1926
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- Location: San Antonio
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Stratton23 wrote:txtwister78 merry christmas to you and you’re family! I do love the look of a trough setting up to our west on the EPS, though would that be cold because it has the trough extending into alaska?
Thank you and to yours as well! When I see that look I think of a more active pattern with perhaps a little "fun and games" mixed in if things go our way
At least it's a better signal (cross polar flow) to be sure now that we've got the Pacific "right" on the EPS. A more active storm track and you don't need overwhelming cold to deliver in January. Something to track.
Last edited by txtwister78 on Thu Dec 25, 2025 4:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Golfisnoteasy75
- Tropical Depression

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Brent wrote:That's the first EPS run where I've actually seen some legit snowstorms here. Just maybe there's hope
Merry Christmas everyone!! Mid January should be our chances if mjo stays active and the pacific realigns to mjo propagation imo
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Golfisnoteasy75
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
txtwister78 wrote:Stratton23 wrote:txtwister78 merry christmas to you and you’re family! I do love the look of a trough setting up to our west on the EPS, though would that be cold because it has the trough extending into alaska?
Thank you and to yours as well! When I see that look I think of a more active pattern with perhaps a little "fun and games" mixed in perhaps if things go our way
At least it's a better signal (cross polar flow) to be sure now that we've got the Pacific "right" on the EPS. A more active storm track and you don't need overwhelming cold to deliver in January. Something to track.
I hope gefs goes towards eps but it will take time I suppose
Last edited by Golfisnoteasy75 on Thu Dec 25, 2025 4:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- txtwister78
- Category 5

- Posts: 1926
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- Location: San Antonio
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Golfisnoteasy75 wrote:txtwister78 wrote:Stratton23 wrote:txtwister78 merry christmas to you and you’re family! I do love the look of a trough setting up to our west on the EPS, though would that be cold because it has the trough extending into alaska?
Thank you and to yours as well! When I see that look I think of a more active pattern with perhaps a little "fun and games" mixed in perhaps if things go our way
At least it's a better signal (cross polar flow) to be sure now that we've got the Pacific "right" on the EPS. A more active storm track and you don't need overwhelming cold to deliver in January. Something to track.
I hope gefs goes towards eps but it will take time I suppose with how unfavorable it's been
Good sign to see the Euro going to it first. Sometimes Euro likes to put troughs too far west so need to watch trend but things could trend even better with time.
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
I do like seeing some se ridging on the EPS, if the euro is right about the trough in the west, some resistance from the se ridge ( not too much though) would be a good thing as it usually leads to any overrunning pattern
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
txtwister78 wrote:Golfisnoteasy75 wrote:txtwister78 wrote:
Thank you and to yours as well! When I see that look I think of a more active pattern with perhaps a little "fun and games" mixed in perhaps if things go our way
At least it's a better signal (cross polar flow) to be sure now that we've got the Pacific "right" on the EPS. A more active storm track and you don't need overwhelming cold to deliver in January. Something to track.
I hope gefs goes towards eps but it will take time I suppose with how unfavorable it's been
Good sign to see the Euro going to it first. Sometimes Euro likes to put troughs too far west so need to watch trend but things could trend even better with time.
Exactly believe me I'd always rather have the EPS on my side
Not that I'm expecting this to be a very quick process but anyway
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#neversummer
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Stratton23
- Category 5

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
GFS looks like its starting to move torward the euros idea somewhat, this 18z run has a much improved pacific pattern with the aleutian ridge getting crushed , new ridge popping off the west coast
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- txtwister78
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- Posts: 1926
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- Location: San Antonio
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
I mentioned 84/85 analog as one to watch a few weeks back and low and behold Bastardi posted it earlier today. That was a very warm December for Texas in particular during this timeframe but January turned quite cold.
In fact for those that remember Jan 85 was a winter to remember for Texas in particular SC TX and SA when we saw our highest snowfall on record. In fact we had two snow events in early Jan and then the big thump came mid January..
I know Bastardi chases analogs routinely but at least it's in the mix.
In fact for those that remember Jan 85 was a winter to remember for Texas in particular SC TX and SA when we saw our highest snowfall on record. In fact we had two snow events in early Jan and then the big thump came mid January..
I know Bastardi chases analogs routinely but at least it's in the mix.
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
txtwister78 that must have been quite the snowfall event, id love something similar to last january, big snow event thats fun for most people and not nearly as disruptive travel wise compared to sleet or ice
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- txtwister78
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Stratton23 wrote:txtwister78 that must have been quite the snowfall event, id love something similar to last january, big snow event thats fun for most people and not nearly as disruptive travel wise compared to sleet or ice
This is the video created by the NWS office in Austin/San Antonio pertaining to the monster snowfall event but the smaller snowfall event came on January 2nd. As bad as Feb 2021 was, the Jan 1985 still stands as the highest snowfall ever recorded to impact San Antonio. I was 7 years old but what a month!
Link: https://youtube.com/watch?v=ID_JLO1ad2s
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Brent wrote:That's the first EPS run where I've actually seen some legit snowstorms here. Just maybe there's hope
Needless to say we blew away the record for the hottest Christmas ever here
Yep, absolutely blew it away in OKC as well. I’m
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Wthrfan wrote::(![]()
Brent wrote:That's the first EPS run where I've actually seen some legit snowstorms here. Just maybe there's hope
Needless to say we blew away the record for the hottest Christmas ever here![]()
Yep, absolutely blew it away in OKC as well. I’m
Don't even bother with Facebook haha
People are full on canceling winter still. One of them actually sort of knows his stuff too
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Sorry, but I think Bastardi is more blowhard and chases views on social media.txtwister78 wrote:I mentioned 84/85 analog as one to watch a few weeks back and low and behold Bastardi posted it earlier today. That was a very warm December for Texas in particular during this timeframe but January turned quite cold.
In fact for those that remember Jan 85 was a winter to remember for Texas in particular SC TX and SA when we saw our highest snowfall on record. In fact we had two snow events in early Jan and then the big thump came mid January..
I know Bastardi chases analogs routinely but at least it's in the mix.
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- txtwister78
- Category 5

- Posts: 1926
- Joined: Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:56 pm
- Location: San Antonio
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Wthrfan wrote:Sorry, but I think Bastardi is more blowhard and chases views on social media.txtwister78 wrote:I mentioned 84/85 analog as one to watch a few weeks back and low and behold Bastardi posted it earlier today. That was a very warm December for Texas in particular during this timeframe but January turned quite cold.
In fact for those that remember Jan 85 was a winter to remember for Texas in particular SC TX and SA when we saw our highest snowfall on record. In fact we had two snow events in early Jan and then the big thump came mid January..
I know Bastardi chases analogs routinely but at least it's in the mix.
Yeah I get he may not be for everyone but I respect anyone who makes a call (wrong or not) and defends it. Yes, like many in this industry everyone misses now and then. He definitely has his biases to be sure and sometimes I think that hurts his credibility a bit.
I don't know about "blowhard" but in terms of "chasing views" he does help run a weather platform so not unusual for folks who make a living off that to market/push their companies in such a competitive industry that now requires it.
My personal view is to each their own. If you don't like it, you can always go elsewhere.
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Golfisnoteasy75
- Tropical Depression

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
txtwister78 wrote:Wthrfan wrote:Sorry, but I think Bastardi is more blowhard and chases views on social media.txtwister78 wrote:I mentioned 84/85 analog as one to watch a few weeks back and low and behold Bastardi posted it earlier today. That was a very warm December for Texas in particular during this timeframe but January turned quite cold.
In fact for those that remember Jan 85 was a winter to remember for Texas in particular SC TX and SA when we saw our highest snowfall on record. In fact we had two snow events in early Jan and then the big thump came mid January..
I know Bastardi chases analogs routinely but at least it's in the mix.
Yeah I get he may not be for everyone but I respect anyone who makes a call (wrong or not) and defends it. Yes, like many in this industry everyone misses now and then. He definitely has his biases to be sure and sometimes I think that hurts his credibility a bit.
I don't know about "blowhard" but in terms of "chasing views" he does help run a weather platform so not unusual for folks who make a living off that to market/push their companies in such a competitive industry that now requires it.
My personal view is to each their own. If you don't like it, you can always go elsewhere.
I agree. To each is own but bastardi is smart. He has a weather company and has to hype to an extent. It would be nice to have anything remote to 84 85
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