Texas Winter 2025-2026

Winter Weather Discussion

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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2021 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jan 15, 2026 11:22 pm

00z GFS takes away the beach snow but gives snow to North Texas! Now, this I can belive in lol

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2022 Postby Brent » Fri Jan 16, 2026 1:11 am

GFS winter storm on the 26th. Very similar to the Euro from the past couple days

Euro has a 1050 mb high near Kansas City :double: :froze:

Definitely a very cold look regardless of precip
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2023 Postby Stratton23 » Fri Jan 16, 2026 1:25 am

Yup things look colder, this GEFS run is actually colder than the operational run, so thats tell you all you need to know lol, with so much cold air just building up, i wouldnt be surprised to see the global models really bust with this setup , a 1050+ high moving south out of canada into Montana and then nebraska, that arctic air is going to come smashing into texas like a battle ram regardless of what the operational models try to show otherwise
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2024 Postby Stratton23 » Fri Jan 16, 2026 1:37 am

watching the AIFS ensemble, that is is look for a potentially big arctic outbreak down to texas, barney colors showing up on an ensemble is impressive, but what catches my attention the most is the “ V” like shape of the cold air, its centered in such a way that would send the cold air directly due south into texas
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2025 Postby Brent » Fri Jan 16, 2026 3:11 am

Stratton23 wrote:Yup things look colder, this GEFS run is actually colder than the operational run, so thats tell you all you need to know lol, with so much cold air just building up, i wouldnt be surprised to see the global models really bust with this setup , a 1050+ high moving south out of canada into Montana and then nebraska, that arctic air is going to come smashing into texas like a battle ram regardless of what the operational models try to show otherwise


Yup the globals will be lost like usual if this is legit. Nothing new there haha

Even the Euro had a moment in 2021 just saying :lol:

And the 6z GFS is even faster with the cold air and winter storm almost in a week here basically next Friday and Saturday
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2026 Postby gpsnowman » Fri Jan 16, 2026 7:46 am

Brent wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:Yup things look colder, this GEFS run is actually colder than the operational run, so thats tell you all you need to know lol, with so much cold air just building up, i wouldnt be surprised to see the global models really bust with this setup , a 1050+ high moving south out of canada into Montana and then nebraska, that arctic air is going to come smashing into texas like a battle ram regardless of what the operational models try to show otherwise


Yup the globals will be lost like usual if this is legit. Nothing new there haha

Even the Euro had a moment in 2021 just saying :lol:

And the 6z GFS is even faster with the cold air and winter storm almost in a week here basically next Friday and Saturday

Let's keep the good news rolling today. I would love a big rain first off, my allergies are winning this morning big time.
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orangeblood
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2027 Postby orangeblood » Fri Jan 16, 2026 8:23 am

Need to cash in next weekend, another big warmup on the horizon towards the end of the month/early Feb. This winter has been abysmal!! :grrr: :grrr:
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2028 Postby Brent » Fri Jan 16, 2026 8:36 am

gpsnowman wrote:
Brent wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:Yup things look colder, this GEFS run is actually colder than the operational run, so thats tell you all you need to know lol, with so much cold air just building up, i wouldnt be surprised to see the global models really bust with this setup , a 1050+ high moving south out of canada into Montana and then nebraska, that arctic air is going to come smashing into texas like a battle ram regardless of what the operational models try to show otherwise


Yup the globals will be lost like usual if this is legit. Nothing new there haha

Even the Euro had a moment in 2021 just saying :lol:

And the 6z GFS is even faster with the cold air and winter storm almost in a week here basically next Friday and Saturday

Let's keep the good news rolling today. I would love a big rain first off, my allergies are winning this morning big time.


Yeah I'm about over mine... Searching the Internet for any new remedies. Nothing ever helps for more than a few minutes ugh

All because we were 85 degrees on Christmas I'm sure :roll:

And yeah I'm not sure how the winter can escape an F at this point unless something historic like 2021 happens. It's pretty bad everywhere. Some of the stories I've heard from Colorado is yikes. Stuff I thought I'd never hear in the middle of winter

There's still a part of me that despite the models maybe showing something wondering if it will really snow here this year or be another year where we're lucky to get a glorified dusting. Already been two of those in my 5 years here basically. Not great
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2029 Postby Gotwood » Fri Jan 16, 2026 8:57 am

orangeblood wrote:Need to cash in next weekend, another big warmup on the horizon towards the end of the month/early Feb. This winter has been abysmal!! :grrr: :grrr:

I don’t think my area has received any measurable rainfall since November. If it has I don’t remember it.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2030 Postby Brent » Fri Jan 16, 2026 9:02 am

We technically had about an hour of rain and storms last week with 5 tornadoes reported and yet by 10am the sun was out like nothing ever happened and it was still 70 degrees after!!! It didn't even turn cold like normal

About sums up this excuse of a winter so far...

OKC was running hottest January yesterday
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