Texas Winter 2025-2026

[bubba hotep]

00z GFS takes away the beach snow but gives snow to North Texas! Now, this I can belive in lol

[Brent]

GFS winter storm on the 26th. Very similar to the Euro from the past couple days

Euro has a 1050 mb high near Kansas City

Definitely a very cold look regardless of precip

[Stratton23]

Yup things look colder, this GEFS run is actually colder than the operational run, so thats tell you all you need to know lol, with so much cold air just building up, i wouldnt be surprised to see the global models really bust with this setup , a 1050+ high moving south out of canada into Montana and then nebraska, that arctic air is going to come smashing into texas like a battle ram regardless of what the operational models try to show otherwise

[Stratton23]

watching the AIFS ensemble, that is is look for a potentially big arctic outbreak down to texas, barney colors showing up on an ensemble is impressive, but what catches my attention the most is the “ V” like shape of the cold air, its centered in such a way that would send the cold air directly due south into texas

[Brent]

Yup things look colder, this GEFS run is actually colder than the operational run, so thats tell you all you need to know lol, with so much cold air just building up, i wouldnt be surprised to see the global models really bust with this setup , a 1050+ high moving south out of canada into Montana and then nebraska, that arctic air is going to come smashing into texas like a battle ram regardless of what the operational models try to show otherwise

Yup the globals will be lost like usual if this is legit. Nothing new there haha

Even the Euro had a moment in 2021 just saying

And the 6z GFS is even faster with the cold air and winter storm almost in a week here basically next Friday and Saturday

[gpsnowman]

Yup things look colder, this GEFS run is actually colder than the operational run, so thats tell you all you need to know lol, with so much cold air just building up, i wouldnt be surprised to see the global models really bust with this setup , a 1050+ high moving south out of canada into Montana and then nebraska, that arctic air is going to come smashing into texas like a battle ram regardless of what the operational models try to show otherwise

Yup the globals will be lost like usual if this is legit. Nothing new there haha

Even the Euro had a moment in 2021 just saying

And the 6z GFS is even faster with the cold air and winter storm almost in a week here basically next Friday and Saturday

Let's keep the good news rolling today. I would love a big rain first off, my allergies are winning this morning big time.

[orangeblood]

Need to cash in next weekend, another big warmup on the horizon towards the end of the month/early Feb. This winter has been abysmal!!

[Brent]

Yup things look colder, this GEFS run is actually colder than the operational run, so thats tell you all you need to know lol, with so much cold air just building up, i wouldnt be surprised to see the global models really bust with this setup , a 1050+ high moving south out of canada into Montana and then nebraska, that arctic air is going to come smashing into texas like a battle ram regardless of what the operational models try to show otherwise

Yup the globals will be lost like usual if this is legit. Nothing new there haha

Even the Euro had a moment in 2021 just saying

And the 6z GFS is even faster with the cold air and winter storm almost in a week here basically next Friday and Saturday

Let's keep the good news rolling today. I would love a big rain first off, my allergies are winning this morning big time.

Yeah I'm about over mine... Searching the Internet for any new remedies. Nothing ever helps for more than a few minutes ugh

All because we were 85 degrees on Christmas I'm sure

And yeah I'm not sure how the winter can escape an F at this point unless something historic like 2021 happens. It's pretty bad everywhere. Some of the stories I've heard from Colorado is yikes. Stuff I thought I'd never hear in the middle of winter

There's still a part of me that despite the models maybe showing something wondering if it will really snow here this year or be another year where we're lucky to get a glorified dusting. Already been two of those in my 5 years here basically. Not great

[Gotwood]

Need to cash in next weekend, another big warmup on the horizon towards the end of the month/early Feb. This winter has been abysmal!!

I don’t think my area has received any measurable rainfall since November. If it has I don’t remember it.

[Brent]

We technically had about an hour of rain and storms last week with 5 tornadoes reported and yet by 10am the sun was out like nothing ever happened and it was still 70 degrees after!!! It didn't even turn cold like normal. I mean really

About sums up this excuse of a winter so far...

OKC was running hottest January yesterday

[TomballEd]

HGX forecast disco mentioned enhanced fire danger. Dry cold front after dry cold front, with freezes every now and then to kill vegetation, will eventually lead to some issues with wildfires.

[orangeblood]

Need to cash in next weekend, another big warmup on the horizon towards the end of the month/early Feb. This winter has been abysmal!!

I don’t think my area has received any measurable rainfall since November. If it has I don’t remember it.

Yeah, there is something extraordinary going on with the Northern Hemisphere pattern...Russia/Siberia are getting bombarded with record cold and snow, check this out
 https://x.com/Electroversenet/status/2011830747607519390



The Western and Central US just happens to be on the wrong side of this pattern right now

[HockeyTx82]

Need to cash in next weekend, another big warmup on the horizon towards the end of the month/early Feb. This winter has been abysmal!!

I don’t think my area has received any measurable rainfall since November. If it has I don’t remember it.

Yeah, there is something extraordinary going on with the Northern Hemisphere pattern...Russia/Siberia are getting bombarded with record cold and snow, check this out
 https://x.com/Electroversenet/status/2011830747607519390



The Western and Central US just happens to be on the wrong side of this pattern right now

Nothing about that looks or sounds fun.

[Ntxw]

Yup the globals will be lost like usual if this is legit. Nothing new there haha

Even the Euro had a moment in 2021 just saying

And the 6z GFS is even faster with the cold air and winter storm almost in a week here basically next Friday and Saturday

Let's keep the good news rolling today. I would love a big rain first off, my allergies are winning this morning big time.

Yeah I'm about over mine... Searching the Internet for any new remedies. Nothing ever helps for more than a few minutes ugh

All because we were 85 degrees on Christmas I'm sure

The only active pollen this time of year is mountain cedar. And the more southerly your winds are the more gets transported further north from the hill country. Typically there is precip and frequent fronts to keep it in check but continuous south, warm winds it's just a big buildup without any control more and more further north than usual. Likely what it is. To make it worse the pollen has a lot of spikes so it clings and you can get very reactive once you become sensitive to it.

[Brent]

Let's keep the good news rolling today. I would love a big rain first off, my allergies are winning this morning big time.

Yeah I'm about over mine... Searching the Internet for any new remedies. Nothing ever helps for more than a few minutes ugh

All because we were 85 degrees on Christmas I'm sure

The only active pollen this time of year is mountain cedar. And the more southerly your winds are the more gets transported further north from the hill country. Typically there is precip and frequent fronts to keep it in check but continuous south, warm winds it's just a big buildup without any control more and more further north than usual. Likely what it is. To make it worse the pollen has a lot of spikes so it clings and you can get very reactive once you become sensitive to it.

Yeah it's been weird... It wasn't like my normal allergy process at first(sore throat for days first is usually always the warning sign for me) but the last couple days have been ridiculous just constant drip and feeling blocked

[opticsguy]

My cat has started sneezing whenever I feel the cedar pollen getting bad. Poor guy can't take anything for it. I find the Cedar Fever drops work well. Used to get it online but HEB carries it now.

[gpsnowman]

My cat has started sneezing whenever I feel the cedar pollen getting bad. Poor guy can't take anything for it. I find the Cedar Fever drops work well. Used to get it online but HEB carries it now.

The daily Claritin has worked well but sometimes the pollen wins out. I'll have to check out the drops.

[gpsnowman]

Let's keep the good news rolling today. I would love a big rain first off, my allergies are winning this morning big time.

Yeah I'm about over mine... Searching the Internet for any new remedies. Nothing ever helps for more than a few minutes ugh

All because we were 85 degrees on Christmas I'm sure

The only active pollen this time of year is mountain cedar. And the more southerly your winds are the more gets transported further north from the hill country. Typically there is precip and frequent fronts to keep it in check but continuous south, warm winds it's just a big buildup without any control more and more further north than usual. Likely what it is. To make it worse the pollen has a lot of spikes so it clings and you can get very reactive once you become sensitive to it.

It's torture every year even with rain and fronts., but this season is just awful. My wife is experiencing allergies this season and her allergies peak with the ragweed in September and October.. Nothing to combat the flow of pollen north. Fortunately it's nearing the end.
And yes let's cash in next week before the warm up and hopefully the middle part of February can deliver. It has before and it will again!!

[Ntxw]

Yeah I'm about over mine... Searching the Internet for any new remedies. Nothing ever helps for more than a few minutes ugh

All because we were 85 degrees on Christmas I'm sure

The only active pollen this time of year is mountain cedar. And the more southerly your winds are the more gets transported further north from the hill country. Typically there is precip and frequent fronts to keep it in check but continuous south, warm winds it's just a big buildup without any control more and more further north than usual. Likely what it is. To make it worse the pollen has a lot of spikes so it clings and you can get very reactive once you become sensitive to it.

It's torture every year even with rain and fronts., but this season is just awful. My wife is experiencing allergies this season and her allergies peak with the ragweed in September and October.. Nothing to combat the flow of pollen north. Fortunately it's nearing the end.
And yes let's cash in next week before the warm up and hopefully the middle part of February can deliver. It has before and it will again!!

Yeah, the warmest of winters is the worst for us with the pollen. Getting ahead of it is key and definitely see an allergist for long term solutions. But some days the count is just so high everyone gets effected with 'sniffles' even if they don't know it.

Mid Feb is definitely the next chance after the Pacific trough/Aleutian low pattern. Could be fairly potent warmup to start Feb.

[BradKingK]

Yeah, the warmest of winters is the worst for us with the pollen. Getting ahead of it is key and definitely see an allergist for long term solutions. But some days the count is just so high everyone gets effected with 'sniffles' even if they don't know it.

Mid Feb is definitely the next chance after the Pacific trough/Aleutian low pattern. Could be fairly potent warmup to start Feb.

A cheap and easy solution to allergies is also using nasal rinses, but make sure to use buffered to increase tolerability.

Also, at the first signs of a viral infection, nasal rinses are incredibly effective to mitigate, and even eliminate, the infection. That is, of course, if you believe that viruses cause infections.