Winter Weather Discussion
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TomballEd
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#4901 Postby TomballEd » Sat Jan 24, 2026 4:56 pm
SoupBone wrote:Stratton23 wrote:37 IMBY here in Katy, just saw a couple of light snow flurries ( obviously wont accumulate ) looking out my bed room window, that certainly wasn’t something that even the short range guidanxe was suggesting
You saw flurries in Katy?
I've heard a bit of thunder here and there. Interesting for sure.
So what's changed in the Woodlands forecast? Weather app basically gave up on wintry precip.

Convection can lift and cool the warm nose briefly/locally so a few flakes mix in with the rain even above freezing. Heavy rain falling into a dry warm nose can produce sleet with above freezing surface temps, heavy rain falling through a near saturated warm nose can transport enough warmth down that temps briefly go above freezing.
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Quixotic
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#4902 Postby Quixotic » Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:03 pm
So, ended with about an inch. Enough to whiten most of the grass and the streets
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Stonewood Ranch
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#4903 Postby Stonewood Ranch » Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:07 pm
Big band of sleet w/thunder moving NE toward SE Dallas county. Located around I35 in Hillsboro now. I think the bulk will miss me to the east in Midlothian.
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Quixotic
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#4904 Postby Quixotic » Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:07 pm
Quixotic wrote:So, ended with about an inch. Enough to whiten most of the grass and the streets
Well, so far. Hopeful for tonight.
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txtwister78
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#4905 Postby txtwister78 » Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:09 pm
Area colleges/school districts already closing Monday here across SA metro.
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rwfromkansas
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#4906 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:13 pm
There is a nice long band setting up from Azle to Haslet, but that's about 5 miles north of me of course. Hopefully it expands a bit. That's been the annoying part so far...very streaky precip, not a big shield yet.
Denton will cash in on this one.
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Stratton23
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#4907 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:29 pm
GFS 18z has another pretty impactful winter storm next weekend from SA- Austin to Houston fwiw
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TxHunter66
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#4908 Postby TxHunter66 » Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:35 pm
Just had a pretty good band of heavy sleet come through west of Weatherford.
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rwfromkansas
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#4909 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:38 pm
Very heavy echoes over Denton. I have a mini-streak/line coming through again, so at least I am getting some of the smaller lines. Can't believe it didn't get above 19 IMBY....
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Harp.1
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#4910 Postby Harp.1 » Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:41 pm
Stratton23 wrote:GFS 18z has another pretty impactful winter storm next weekend from SA- Austin to Houston fwiw
Yeah, it keeps teasing us here in south Louisiana
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Brent
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#4911 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:43 pm
I'd say maybe 4 inches. Hoping we can get double digits at least by tomorrow


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Jag95
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#4912 Postby Jag95 » Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:52 pm
Brent wrote:I'd say maybe 4 inches. Hoping we can get double digits at least by tomorrow
Looks awesome Brent. Hope you get a foot more. Tonight looks like fun.
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Quixotic
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#4913 Postby Quixotic » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:01 pm
Man id take that any day anytime.
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Brent
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#4914 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:03 pm
Quixotic wrote:Man id take that any day anytime.
I know it's really a nice snow to be honest
Still gonna be the biggest storm I've seen here probably
Tulsa still saying 4-10 tonight
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Ntxw
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#4915 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:05 pm
Good stuff Brent! Better than 85 degrees!
Can't tell on radar, but very light sleet is falling and the wind is blowing it around, not really pleasant. Can't imagine what it will be like when the heavier stuff gets in. It feels colder now in the upper teens and that brisk wind.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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HockeyTx82
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#4916 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:06 pm
Sleet is not pleasant to play in when it's falling from the sky. It literally feels like someone's throwing sand and tiny pebbles in your face.
Just took the boys out for around 2 sled adventure and had fun.
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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bigddstranny
- Tropical Low

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#4917 Postby bigddstranny » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:07 pm
TomballEd wrote:I went to what TAMU calls texas university (sic) and I give better than I take on an SEC Facebook thread but the University of Texas dropped its met program over 50 years ago. I did audit some classes taught by Aggie grad Troy Kimmel and a professor whose name I do not recall but who had a thick German accent.
Anyway, hat tip to our Aggie friends doing a special balloon sounding helping HGX. BTW, mid 50s in the warm nose is impressive.
Modifying a special 18z sounding from Texas A&M University for colder temperatures
indicated later indicates a classic freezing rain sounding with temperatures around +12C in the inversion aloft, and a small
pocket of subfreezing air near the surface.
I'm not sure how old you are, but I took a meteorology class at Texas in the early 90's where Kimmel would teach on some days.
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Portastorm
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#4918 Postby Portastorm » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:08 pm
Light freezing drizzle and 26° in Round Rock at the moment. Took the dogs out for a brief walk. They’re not fans of this weather. Lol.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
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mmmmsnouts
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#4919 Postby mmmmsnouts » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:09 pm
Arlington and east/SE Tarrant are getting jacked so far. I can still see the street in front of my house.
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rwfromkansas
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#4920 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:15 pm
Seen lots of video of it clearly snowing in Abilene. So hope that bodes well.
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