Texas Winter 2025-2026

[Wthrfan]

Welp, looking like LC may miss his prediction of a broad, cold arctic outbreak for the Southern Plains in the late Feb-early March time frame.

[Stratton23]

it happens, nobody is perfect

[Brent]

I'm just ready for El Nino at this point

I still can't believe we somehow got our average snow in one weekend cause the rest of this winter has been absolute complete utter garbage from day 1 otherwise

I mean the very first week of December it snowed south of here bad omen

[CaptinCrunch]

CPC Probabilistic ENSO Outlook Updated: 12 February 2026

A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in March-April 2026 (60% chance), with ENSO-neutral likely persisting through the Northern Hemisphere summer (56% chance in June-August 2026). With a transitioning to El Nino in the (Sept-Nov) time frame @ 50% Chance.

If El Nino is evident by late Fall of 26' I would lean on a weak to low end moderate El Nino headed into Winter 26/27

[txtwister78]

Mid 90's showing up now next wk in SA on the GFS after a brief cool shot of air over the weekend. No such thing as a false Spring this season. Looks like we may get an early shot of some summer heat soon.

Well I for one am now awaiting with anticipation the storm chasing season. That's much of my springtime TV viewing, live streams of chasers.

I think thats coming especially for April & May as we trend into ENSO Neutral territory coming out of this La Nina dry pattern we've been stuck in for what seems like an eternity

[bubba hotep]

18z Euro AI tries to get the new Spring Thread off to a fast start...

[Stratton23]

unfortunately its all alone, GFS, CMC, Euro are bone dry

[Brent]

Mid 90's showing up now next wk in SA on the GFS after a brief cool shot of air over the weekend. No such thing as a false Spring this season. Looks like we may get an early shot of some summer heat soon.

Well I for one am now awaiting with anticipation the storm chasing season. That's much of my springtime TV viewing, live streams of chasers.

I think thats coming especially for April & May as we trend into ENSO Neutral territory coming out of this La Nina dry pattern we've been stuck in for what seems like an eternity

Yeah I've seen some talk up here about another wet and maybe slightly less bad summer also. But a lot of people think the severe is gonna be active as well

I mean last year did have a huge flip to be fair around April. March was dominated by fires(Spring Break was actually the peak here)