It has come to my attention that, while this early-week event will be a mix changing to rain here in the MA, strong CAD will set up which will promote a winter weather event in the MA late this week. Though we may well lose our snowpack to rain tomorrow, it may be replaced by more snow on Thursday and Friday.
Stormsfury indicated in a recent thread that there may be a stronger CAD event than expected late this week. This could mean more snow for N VA over the Thursday/Friday time frame! The system that SF is indicating will tap the GOM BIG-TIME then throw that moisture into the cold air over the MA late this week!!
However in the spirit of a true snow-loving weather weenie, I will begin this thread this afternoon, expecting only very small amounts of sleet and freezing rain overnight then a good dousing of steady rain throughout the day tomorrow possibly on into tomorrow night.
That said, we bottomed out at 18 degrees overnight. We did warm to 39 degrees this afternoon though.
Skies were clear at 1130am this morning, with cirrus on SW horizon.
At 1230pm we had cirrus/cirrostratus overhead covering 70% of the sky.
At 140pm we had a cirrostratus layer, with altostratus on the SW horizon.
At 350pm we have a cirrostratus layer and bands of altostratus beneath that. Temperature is 36 degrees with a dewpoint of 21 degrees.
Let's hope the clouds allow for some cooling tonight, I'd like to see us cool down into the mid 20s at least. Evap cooling may help us in the predawn hours as the freezing rain reaches the surface about 3/4am.
Hopefully we will build up some ice before the inevitable plain rain does a major Tuesday smackdown event on our precious snowpack lol. It won't take much to melt that thin snow layer folks, not much at all...........
WOW what a nice storm to our west.....check out the national radar. I think I can see the baroclinic zone developing to the east of GA already. Some overrrunning snows developing from parent system over SW VA Mts. We will NOT see any of that here in N VA........
Check out the regional radar........The snows are working in over the SW VA mts......lucky dogs!!!....... and N VA should start to see thickening clouds from the parent system and also from increasing moisture advection from the developing coastal system in the general vicinity of GA/SC coast or just off the GA/SC coast through the overnight.
The morning commute will be slippery in N VA but will improve with time, especially after 9am as sfc temps rise into the middle 30s. Expect rain through the day in N VA..........
Beware if you live in MD, PA and west, even in N VA, because well west of Woodbridge and Manassas the cold air will hang on longer and icing will be a major concern in those places well into Tues. night. PA and points north should pick up nice snows Tues afternoon well into Tuesday evening, with some mixing of p-types expected.
BTW Big-Eyed Fish.......Thanks for the dose of harsh reality.....it was a nice heads-up on the impending rain in Woodbridge and is much appreciated......not the best news but I'll live LOL!
Everyone in the ice areas and in the snow......ENJOY!!!!


More updates are coming.......
-Jeb!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Come ON, SC Low, PLEASE track farther SE......