12z GFS...further east, for Tuesday night/Wednesday storm...

Winter Weather Discussion

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Colin
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#2 Postby Colin » Sat Feb 14, 2004 11:28 am

I've given up on this one already...I suggest you do the same. The pattern is all wrong for a turn up the coast...this may be a hit for immediate coastal sections but otherwise, no IMO.
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wrkh99

#3 Postby wrkh99 » Sat Feb 14, 2004 11:31 am

I hope that you get a big nor easter next week Colin :)
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#4 Postby Stephanie » Sat Feb 14, 2004 11:33 am

I hope we all do to wrkh99.
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#5 Postby Cheesy_Poofs » Sat Feb 14, 2004 11:34 am

Colin wrote:I've given up on this one already...I suggest you do the same. The pattern is all wrong for a turn up the coast...this may be a hit for immediate coastal sections but otherwise, no IMO.


I'm not giving up yet, and I don't think you should either. There is still PLENTY of time for things to change.
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#6 Postby Anonymous » Sat Feb 14, 2004 12:15 pm

Amazing, you are giving up all ready and the storm is just about 4 days away. :roll: Myself being along the immediate coast, it seems al well and good, but I do think that this will be a very good hit from PHY to NYC, basing your forecast on one model run is not smart this far out. My thinking it will be a big storm for PHY to NYC. This is not over and I'm definitely giving up hope.
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#7 Postby Skywatch_NC » Sat Feb 14, 2004 12:19 pm

1evans wrote:Amazing, you are giving up all ready and the storm is just about 4 days away. :roll: Myself being along the immediate coast, it seems al well and good, but I do think that this will be a very good hit from PHY to NYC, basing your forecast on one model run is not smart this far out. My thinking it will be a big storm for PHY to NYC. This is not over and I'm definitely giving up hope.


Rather...This is not over and I'm definitely not giving up hope.
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#8 Postby Stephanie » Sat Feb 14, 2004 12:20 pm

1evans - you're right - it's still going to waffle back and forth. I'm concerned that there's warm air just to the east of the storm so it could be that we may end up seeing a mix. However, it is still too early to tell.
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#9 Postby Anonymous » Sat Feb 14, 2004 12:25 pm

your are right, it's too far out to make that call, but I think that we still have a very good chance of seeing big snow, but I don't think that it will make it that far north. I think it should stay cold enough for all snow, did anyone see Fox29 forecast. He seems to think we will get good snow, lets just keep our fingers crossed. :D
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#10 Postby Colin » Sat Feb 14, 2004 12:37 pm

Well, good luck to you guys.
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#11 Postby Chris the Weather Man » Sat Feb 14, 2004 12:40 pm

Wait, for the Euro...........
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#12 Postby Cheesy_Poofs » Sat Feb 14, 2004 1:19 pm

Chris the Weather Man wrote:Wait, for the Euro...........


Exactly Chris. If the EURO is bad...I'm giving up hope. But right now, I still have a little hope left, and I'm not giving up yet. Hopefully the EURO is good!
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#13 Postby Colin » Sat Feb 14, 2004 1:39 pm

The Euro says?
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#14 Postby Cheesy_Poofs » Sat Feb 14, 2004 1:41 pm

Colin wrote:The Euro says?


It's not out yet.
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#15 Postby David » Sat Feb 14, 2004 1:43 pm

Paticnce is a virtue...
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#16 Postby Cheesy_Poofs » Sat Feb 14, 2004 1:51 pm

NEW UKMET-- Again, further east. I'm just ABOUT to give up...doesn't look good at all. :( But hey Colin, look at the bright side-- we won't have to have another day added on to the end of the school year.

Next up: The EURO, but if that's further east, I give up.
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#17 Postby Colin » Sat Feb 14, 2004 2:09 pm

Well, actually I'm feeling a bit better now...glad I didn't get excited. But, you never know...things can trend a LOT. Remember, we are still 4-5 days away from the event. A LOT can change between now and then. While it's not looking good right now, we can be in a whole different situation come tomorrow.
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Anonymous

#18 Postby Anonymous » Sat Feb 14, 2004 2:26 pm

For those of you in the Washington DC area that are champing at the bit for Spring, after next week, we are progged to get mild, even outright warm weather for the next two weeks after next Thursday.

So, even if we DO get nailed by this Tuesday or Wednesday storm, it'll rapidly warm up. Easy come........easy go...........

Seriously though, I am ready for some garden-variety thundershowers! This winter is kinda off.......It's time to cut bait on it folks, even I can see that............ Come on, gardening!!! I know this is gonna come as a SHOCK to everyone here, but I DO have other hobbies besides snow and ice lol!

Hey, I'm up for spring!!

Bring it...................




-Jeb
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#19 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat Feb 14, 2004 3:31 pm

If the next system doesn't bring snow there is no reason to think that the ones in the future will not. It is only February 14th. There have been some snowstorms in late February and enough of them over the years during the month of March.

There was the "April Fool's Storm" that began on March 31st and going into April 1st in 1997. The very next year Boston's record high temperature was broken when it made it to 89°F.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Sun Feb 15, 2004 4:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#20 Postby Cheesy_Poofs » Sat Feb 14, 2004 11:06 pm

GGEM = SECS for entire I-95 corridor.
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