Tuesday Storm Totals

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verycoolnin
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Tuesday Storm Totals

#1 Postby verycoolnin » Sun Feb 15, 2004 12:36 pm

http://www.geocities.com/verycoolnin/

just click TuesdayTotals
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CThomp8806
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#2 Postby CThomp8806 » Mon Feb 16, 2004 1:33 pm

Looks good.... what are you basing this on?
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#3 Postby Anonymous » Mon Feb 16, 2004 1:35 pm

For N VA think lower end of 1-4, cuz of dry air probs with the limited qpf available.........




-Jeb
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#4 Postby hurricanedude » Mon Feb 16, 2004 1:35 pm

got me close to 8+
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#5 Postby Craig286 » Mon Feb 16, 2004 1:36 pm

Looks about right...another minor snow event for the south/southeast and lower maryland

Albemarle VA-Anne Arundel MD-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria VA- Calvert MD-Carroll MD-Charles MD-Culpeper VA-District of Columbia DC- Fairfax VA-Fauquier VA-Frederick MD-Greene VA-Harford MD-Howard MD- King George VA-Loudoun VA-Madison VA-Montgomery MD-Nelson VA- northern Baltimore MD-Orange VA-Prince Georges MD- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park VA-Rappahannock VA- southern Baltimore MD-Spotsylvania VA-St. Marys MD-Stafford VA-

... Winter weather possible late Tuesday through early Wednesday...

Low pressure is expected to develop off the North Carolina coast Tuesday afternoon... and move northeast to a position well off the Delmarva Wednesday morning. Light snow could begin by late Tuesday afternoon... with a period of heavier snowfall possible Tuesday night... tapering off by midday Wednesday.

East of the mountains... accumulations are expected to be very light... less than one inch. It looks like there will be a very sharp snowfall gradient with this storm... with several inches of snow possible across a portion of lower southern Maryland.

If advisories or warnings will later need to be issued... the most likely locations are St. Marys and Calvert counties.
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#6 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 1:40 pm

They will be wrong... look for a more westward track...
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#7 Postby Anonymous » Mon Feb 16, 2004 1:46 pm

yoda wrote:They will be wrong... look for a more westward track...


Even with a more W track, remember the cold dry air. Even last PD, when we got the PD2, the high was 40 and it was 38 degrees at 11pm on Feb 14th. I remember that well. It started as RAIN.

Tuesday we will top out at 35 with very low dewpoints near zero. That is a lot of dry air, which is one good reason N VA will see very light amounts of snow. The column moistening will expend a lot of available qpf.





-Jeb
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#8 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 1:49 pm

I understand that Jeb! Comprehende Si! But still the day on Tuesday will be cloudy, which will block the increase of Temperature... and the qpf files will be moistening all afternoon JeB!

Watch the track and we will see!! Know this I do, forseen it I have! (lol)
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#9 Postby Heady Guy » Mon Feb 16, 2004 1:52 pm

I will be personally suprised if teh DC-PHL-NYC area sees more then an inch or two. IT does not look very promising.
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#10 Postby weatherscope » Mon Feb 16, 2004 1:52 pm

6.5" here
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#11 Postby Anonymous » Mon Feb 16, 2004 1:53 pm

You will be sadly disappointed if you think your going to get 8+...it will not happen.
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#12 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 1:53 pm

I will be surprised if the DCA-PHL-NYC corridor DOES NOT get more than 2 inches of snow,
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#13 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 1:55 pm

And why is that BigEyedFish? Trust me the I95 area and East will get hammered with snow!

Weatherscope, is that "now" snowfall or coming snowfall?
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#14 Postby Heady Guy » Mon Feb 16, 2004 1:57 pm

You going with snow on a hopeful further west and north track. This does not seem like it will happen. As much as I would love for us to get it, does not seem very likely.
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#15 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 1:59 pm

but the GGEM, the ETA, and the GFS 12z model runs ALL shifted back west.... GFS 12z run gives DCA around .5 liquid qpf!!!
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#16 Postby Skywatch_NC » Mon Feb 16, 2004 2:37 pm

Has me in the 8 inch+ zone...

Eric
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#17 Postby Anonymous » Mon Feb 16, 2004 2:40 pm

yoda wrote:I understand that Jeb! Comprehende Si! But still the day on Tuesday will be cloudy, which will block the increase of Temperature... and the qpf files will be moistening all afternoon JeB!

Watch the track and we will see!! Know this I do, forseen it I have! (lol)



Yep let's pray this puppy will track FARTHER WEST!!!!

C'MON STORM!!! Track WEST!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


-Jeb
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#18 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 2:41 pm

Now praying....

and using the Force!!

C'mon Jedi Master JEB!! Together, you and I will bring us the 6"+ of snow!!
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#19 Postby Skywatch_NC » Mon Feb 16, 2004 2:47 pm

Jeb, and Han Solo and Princess Leah can join you and Yoda on your Jebwalk!!
:D :wink:

Eric 8-)
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#20 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 2:48 pm

LOL!!! :eek: :D :D :D
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