It's amazing not really that much on this board, but on some boards on models goes opposite of last model 5 days out then every one is saying storm is cancelled. East coast storms are very complex systems and I think computer models have a hard time determining the track this far out. Why jump the 5 days away????? Relax be patient wait until 48-36 hours before the event takes place then you will have a better handle on this coastal Low or any coastal at that.
I just don't get it???? People change their view every run????
Why does everyone change there mind w/ every model run?
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Its over for DC and north. The latest GFS shows suppressed system. More in line with the euro from last night and other models. This storm never really had a chance to make it up the coast. To much going against it. I expect the euro which is oout shortly to continure with a suppressed track. This track is favorable for some members on this board.
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Heady Guy wrote:Its over for DC and north. The latest GFS shows suppressed system. More in line with the euro from last night and other models. This storm never really had a chance to make it up the coast. To much going against it. I expect the euro which is oout shortly to continure with a suppressed track. This track is favorable for some members on this board.
Over?? It's 5 days out....I will wait until Sunday nights run then say if it's over north of DC.
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- therock1811
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- Aslkahuna
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Changing One's Minds
with each model run is model hugging not forecasting. Forecasting is where you look at the models and say "gee, that's interesting" and then proceed to go with what YOU think will happen-not some mainframe's idea in a Central facility someplace.
Steve

Steve

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- Chris the Weather Man
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Re: Changing One's Minds
Aslkahuna wrote:with each model run is model hugging not forecasting. Forecasting is where you look at the models and say "gee, that's interesting" and then proceed to go with what YOU think will happen-not some mainframe's idea in a Central facility someplace.
Steve
I agree, 100% Steve
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