96L. Invest Looks to have Potential!

#1 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Jul 08, 2004 10:31 am

And that 's according to the TWO:

An area of disturbed weather is located about 250 miles southeast of Bermuda. Although thunderstorm activity is limited...this system appears to be developing a small surface low center. This system has some potential for further development over the next day or so as it moves northeastward at 10-15 mph.

#2 Postby **Hurricanehink** » Thu Jul 08, 2004 10:34 am

Sweet! I really hope some more convection pops up. I mean, SST aren't that bad. They are in the lower 80's, certianly possible for tropical development.

#3 Postby **Hurricanehink** » Thu Jul 08, 2004 1:15 pm

Wow, it has really gained some convection. I say 60% of being upgraded at 5, and if not there, then most likely at 11. It is really getting its act together. Look at the satelitte imagery. The convection is actually staying.

chadtm80 · #4 Postby **chadtm80** » Thu Jul 08, 2004 1:17 pm

Im not seeing all the convection your talking about

lilbump3000 · #5 Postby **lilbump3000** » Thu Jul 08, 2004 1:20 pm

Looks like it might start to turn eastward.

#6 Postby **Hurricanehink** » Thu Jul 08, 2004 1:21 pm

Well, in the loop, it is sort of staying. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
I guess I am just too hopeful... Either that or it is the result of 6 hours of sleep. Either way, my eyes tend to decieve me.

#7 Postby **vbhoutex** » Thu Jul 08, 2004 1:45 pm

I'm certainly not counting this one out yet, but it has lost a lot of its' convection. Could be just a pulsing phase or a reaorganization of the convection over a reforming LLCC further to the NW of the first/current one.

Thunder44 · #8 Postby **Thunder44** » Thu Jul 08, 2004 1:55 pm

I don't know about this one again. It's looks more ragged this afternoon and the convection is lacking more. But I think when these systems are this far north, they tend to have less or as deep convection with them then systems further south because of the cooler waters and enviorment. I think that's what we saw with Juan.

#9 Postby **hurricanemike** » Thu Jul 08, 2004 2:11 pm

205 PM TWD:

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A WEAK 1015 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...POSSIBLE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...HAS FORMED NEAR 30N68W...DRIFTING NE NEAR 10 KT AND
LOCATED ABOUT 250 NM SW OF BERMUDA. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITHIN ABOUT 60 NM NW OF THE CENTER.

------------------------------------------------------------
Dvorak Anal:

08/1745 UTC 30.7N 67.1W TOO WEAK 96 -- Atlantic Ocean
08/1145 UTC 30.1N 68.6W TOO WEAK 96 -- Atlantic Ocean

------------------------------------------------------------

#10 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Jul 08, 2004 2:14 pm

LIKE SOME SAY, A PICTURE WORTH MORE THAN A THOUSAND WORDS. :lol:

96L. Invest Looks to have Potential!

96L. Invest Looks to have Potential!

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