Blob in West Caribbean

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kevin

Blob in West Caribbean

#1 Postby kevin » Thu Jul 08, 2004 2:13 pm

Before someone mentions it, there is an expansion of convection in the western caribbean, and I believe it might be due to the ULL to the north of it, off the coast of Cuba. Am I reading it right?

Thanks
-Kevin
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cycloneye
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 08, 2004 2:15 pm

Yep divergent flow from upper low and interaction with a tropical wave is causing that convection but nothing to look there that may be tropical cyclone formation.
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#3 Postby kevin » Thu Jul 08, 2004 2:17 pm

Thanks Luis! At least I was able to notice it, my tropical eyes are getting sharper. :)

-Kevin
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#4 Postby caneman » Thu Jul 08, 2004 2:17 pm

Yep, noticed it too but the ULL looks to be pullling NW. This is a favored area so I will watch. Anybody know what wind shear is like in that are now and what it is expected to be in 24 to 48hr.
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#5 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 08, 2004 2:17 pm

To me, it looks to be a tropical wave interacting with the ULL.
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kevin

#6 Postby kevin » Thu Jul 08, 2004 2:36 pm

Wind shear is between 20-30 kts over the convection. ULL is pulling nw ward, but I think that the shear will remain pretty strong there for a while. Convection will probably disipate as it tends to.
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