Bonnie Advisories
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Hello Bonnie!!!!!!!!
O.K. maybe I'm jumping the gun here but this
baby looks like she is Bonnie in the making.
Make sure you speed up the frames to view
the organization better.
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=16
baby looks like she is Bonnie in the making.
Make sure you speed up the frames to view
the organization better.
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=16
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- Tropical Depression
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Eh.. I think it looks pretty good right now... I can see a spin, and this radar suggest it also...
http://www.passco.com/cancun.htm
http://www.passco.com/cancun.htm
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DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:Please calm down....there isn't even a sign of a surface circulation based on visible satellite pictures...just barely a mid-level circulation.
It may develop...just not now....especially with 12 hours of any sustainable deep-ish convection...there needs to be at least 24-36.
It could put down an LLC VERY quickly with the rate of explosive development that is going on now.

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#neversummer
Houstoner: The spin is clearly at the mid-levels, and it is very weak as well.
Brent: I understand what you may think, however, we do not know if this "explosion" of convection is just because of afternoon convectivity or not. As far as we know, it could easily go back down overnight.
If it does persist overnight and through tomorrow, however, you can expect a greater possibility of development.
Brent: I understand what you may think, however, we do not know if this "explosion" of convection is just because of afternoon convectivity or not. As far as we know, it could easily go back down overnight.
If it does persist overnight and through tomorrow, however, you can expect a greater possibility of development.
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- MGC
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Current model runs and X-TD-2
I am not buying into the sharp right hand turn the models are forecasting. Here is why: The models are handeling the front that is coming down typical of a frontal system of say October. Typically, fronts are oriented SW-NW during late fall. However, weak fronts typical of summer are usually oriented W-E as they stall in the northern GOM. Therefor steering currents do not support a sharp right turn.....MGC
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- HouTXmetro
- Category 5
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Re: Current model runs and X-TD-2
MGC wrote:I am not buying into the sharp right hand turn the models are forecasting. Here is why: The models are handeling the front that is coming down typical of a frontal system of say October. Typically, fronts are oriented SW-NW during late fall. However, weak fronts typical of summer are usually oriented W-E as they stall in the northern GOM. Therefor steering currents do not support a sharp right turn.....MGC
Well on the latest map it looks like a traditional front, SW-NE. So maybe the models are right?
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
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