Frances Advisories

cape_escape · #381 Postby **cape_escape** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:21 am

OK...I'm going to pretend like I didn't just rad S. Florida!

Josephine96 · #382 Postby **Josephine96** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:21 am

yes that's true..

#383 Postby **dhweather** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:22 am

Check out the big brain on Mike! Nice analysis Mike!!!!

Yesterday, I was pretty sure it was a FISH system (it is the F storm, right?) 8-)

So, I still think there is a chance for Frances to be a fish, but todays
images look like the trough may not pick up Frances in time for
the next ridge to block gains in latitude.

c5Camille · #384 Postby **c5Camille** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:23 am

think it's going to become cat5 and hit miami... then back out
and still cat 5 hit jacksoneville... head southwest and emerge
in the gulf as a cat2 but quicky regain cat 5 status. Then go to
new orleans cat5... then back up into the gulf... still cat5... goes
to houston and rakes the coast down to corpus then back into the
gulf.. still cat5... then heads strait for tampa... but at the last moment
it swerves south and comes ashore near ft myers... after that...
i have know idea... it's hard to forcast beyond 2 weeks...

Josephine96 · #385 Postby **Josephine96** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:23 am

apologies for the double lol

#386 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:23 am

I THINK I READ THIS YESTERDAY.... :roll:

Tommedic · #387 Postby **Tommedic** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:24 am

This is my first comments on Frances. I have looked over everyone's comments, the models, NHC discussions, map projections and would like to make a suggestion.
I would like to suggest that we all begin a prayer for our friends in the Islands, then the Bahamas, and then the East Coast. If we only looked at historical data, we would list these people as in the highest risk. Then, those of us that live in hurricane prone areas should help reinforce to our media people that a projected path is a "WHOLE ZONE" and not one small target. Maybe, they will listen and help NHC get people to be ready.
As we all know, things can change overnight with these storms due to fluctuations that "I personally don't think we understand yet" and a path or more importantly an intensity can change.
Now, as for me, I am restocking my hurricane supplies for a 10 day period, from a 7 day period. If this thing gets as strong as it looks like it could and stays that way, help could be a long time coming.

Website · #388 Postby **Brent** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:24 am

I think it's too early to tell. It's a possibility, but so is a hit elsewhere or a fish. Bears CLOSE watching though. :eek:

c5Camille · #389 Postby **c5Camille** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:25 am

you will probably read that everytime someone asks
what a storm will be doing in a week from now...

Guest · #390 Postby **Guest** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:26 am

the problem with this storm is, if it is going to hit a major metro area when it landfalls in the us (which i think it will) some people won't listen. They'll remember what happened with Charley, and how Tampa and St.Petes got evacuated. They'll think it will miss them.

#391 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:27 am

Be careful....your telling your age....isn't your mother calling you... :lol:

cape_escape · #392 Postby **cape_escape** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:28 am

I agree 100% Tom! Everyone should be warned of an emergency situation! My prayers are with all of the islands, as well as the rest of the East coast!

#393 Postby **HurricaneQueen** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:29 am

Sounds as if it may come uncomfortably close to St. Maarten. Not ready for two hurricanes in three weeks. :cry:

What is you best guess estimate for the future path, Mike? other mets? I'll try to check in later if I can.

Thanks from SXM,
Lynn

Derek Ortt · #394 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:34 am

EVERYONE CALM THE YOU KNOW WHAT DOWN!

To say that this is am emergency at the present time for the east coast is one of the most foolish things I have ever heard, even more so that "I didn't inhale" or "I did not have sexual relations with that woman"

We all need to get some sense of reality and realize that this wont impact the u.s. east coast until next friday at the earliest

#395 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:35 am

Lol. That wasn't an "official" forecast, just a guess! But no one can afford to be caught off guard in the Islands OR S. Florida.

cape_escape · #396 Postby **cape_escape** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:37 am

dixiebreeze wrote:Lol. That wasn't an "official" forecast, just a guess! But no one can afford to be caught off guard in the Islands OR S. Florida.

Shew...that's good to know! Believe me, at the first whisper of a hurricane coming my way..I'm outta here!

cape_escape · #397 Postby **cape_escape** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:39 am

Derek Ortt wrote:EVERYONE CALM THE YOU KNOW WHAT DOWN!

We all need to get some sense of reality and realize that this wont impact the u.s. east coast until next friday at the earliest

That's too soon in my opinion!

Tommedic · #398 Postby **Tommedic** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:48 am

Please forgive me. I did not mean to imply that this was an emergency. I am in EMS. If anything gets near, I will be too busy at work to do much else and I have to prepare early. I am only suggesting, that if Frances gets near the US, people should be reminded to look at the whole area that could be hit, not just one small point. That way more people will be prepared. Again I apologize if my comments created any problems.

Please all, continue to listen to the moderators and professional mets. They have the real knowledge to back their comments.

Website · #399 Postby **Brent** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:49 am

If this thing doesn't slow down dramatically the U.S. will have to deal with it earlier than we think. :eek:

#400 Postby **Stormcenter** » Thu Aug 26, 2004 10:50 am

Derek Ortt wrote:EVERYONE CALM THE YOU KNOW WHAT DOWN!

To say that this is am emergency at the present time for the east coast is one of the most foolish things I have ever heard, even more so that "I didn't inhale" or "I did not have sexual relations with that woman"

We all need to get some sense of reality and realize that this wont impact the u.s. east coast until next friday at the earliest

If at all.

Frances Advisories

If at all.

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