TWC Lady Just Said...

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
canegrl04
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2486
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 5:37 pm
Location: Texas

TWC Lady Just Said...

#1 Postby canegrl04 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 1:59 pm

Watches .warnings posted for Bahaman Island chain,SE coast of FL. need to be paying attention.Nothing to impede Frances' strengthening,or direction.


I think Frances is going to do an Andrew
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Canelaw99
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2128
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:27 am
Location: Homestead, FL

I thought that...

#2 Postby Canelaw99 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:02 pm

I've thought that - about Andrew - since the beginning. For some reason, and I assure you I'm not hoping for it, I've had a feeling that this was going to be a S. FL storm. I have never been able to buy into the northward turn the NHC keeps trying to put on it. I looked up info. on Andrew, and this discussion about the ridge, no ridge, turn, no turn, etc. is the same one that happened with Andrew, and we all know how that turned out. All I know is that Frances has increased her speed and she still appears to be headed almost due west. That's not good news for us in S. FL as far as I can tell... :eek:
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#3 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:05 pm

Not necessarily good news for Central Florida either.. Because assuming she makes a WNW jog.. that would put us right back in the bulls eye..

Personally I think we still are in the bulls eye but that's beside the point..

When would watches or warnings be issued for Fla..? Probably by no earlier than tomorrow or Thursday right..?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
canegrl04
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2486
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 5:37 pm
Location: Texas

#4 Postby canegrl04 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:06 pm

Actually,she even said Frances is movieing DUE WEST right now
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
canegrl04
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2486
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 5:37 pm
Location: Texas

#5 Postby canegrl04 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:06 pm

Actually,she even said Frances is movieing DUE WEST right now
0 likes   
Top
hurricane_lover

#6 Postby hurricane_lover » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:19 pm

This is a Carolina's hurricane. You guys really need to pay attention. S Florida will be of no threat.
0 likes   
Top
PurdueWx80
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 2720
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 8:33 pm
Location: Madison, WI
Contact:
Contact PurdueWx80

#7 Postby PurdueWx80 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:25 pm

hurricane_lover wrote:This is a Carolina's hurricane. You guys really need to pay attention. S Florida will be of no threat.


Pay attention to what? Where are you getting your info about a Carolina's hit? Just a hunch or have you been let in on something we haven't?
0 likes   
Top
hurricane_lover

#8 Postby hurricane_lover » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:28 pm

History, bro, history. They make that northern turn 90% of the time. Just wait.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 65
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

#9 Postby x-y-no » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:35 pm

Josephine96 wrote:Not necessarily good news for Central Florida either.. Because assuming she makes a WNW jog.. that would put us right back in the bulls eye..

Personally I think we still are in the bulls eye but that's beside the point..

When would watches or warnings be issued for Fla..? Probably by no earlier than tomorrow or Thursday right..?


Yeah, I think Central FL is the bullseye too. Problem is, hurricanes have notoriously lousy aim! :-/

Another 24 hours or so and I think things will start converging on a solution. I'm glad I did my prep last weekend, though. The stores are going to be nuts here if a watch goes up. All I need to do at this point is put up shutters when and if the time comes.

As to timing, we'll probably see watches tomorrow, I would think. Certainly no later than Thursday morning.
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#10 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:38 pm

Me too.. Thursday at the latest.. As I sit and patiently wait
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#11 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:39 pm

I've already decided I'll ride the storm out at my mom's place if it comes this way
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ChaserUK
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 630
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 4:10 pm
Location: Jersey, Channel Islands
Contact:
Contact ChaserUK

#12 Postby ChaserUK » Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:13 pm

My base of ops will be in Tampa and we will co-ordinate our efforts from there.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
FloridaDiver
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 125
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 12:35 pm
Location: Palm Beach, Florida
Contact:
Contact FloridaDiver

#13 Postby FloridaDiver » Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:42 pm

hurricane_lover wrote:History, bro, history. They make that northern turn 90% of the time. Just wait.


Well 'Bro" in 92 where was "history", guess Andrew forgot....
Floyd remembered (thank you) and a few others.
If you’re looking at this from a statistical viewpoint then we (the FL East Coast) are due and the models are having a hard time dealing with your 90 percent history theory.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: chaser1, StormWeather, Team Ghost and 290 guests