TWC Lady Just Said...

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canegrl04
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TWC Lady Just Said...

#1 Postby canegrl04 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 1:59 pm

Watches .warnings posted for Bahaman Island chain,SE coast of FL. need to be paying attention.Nothing to impede Frances' strengthening,or direction.


I think Frances is going to do an Andrew
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Canelaw99
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I thought that...

#2 Postby Canelaw99 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:02 pm

I've thought that - about Andrew - since the beginning. For some reason, and I assure you I'm not hoping for it, I've had a feeling that this was going to be a S. FL storm. I have never been able to buy into the northward turn the NHC keeps trying to put on it. I looked up info. on Andrew, and this discussion about the ridge, no ridge, turn, no turn, etc. is the same one that happened with Andrew, and we all know how that turned out. All I know is that Frances has increased her speed and she still appears to be headed almost due west. That's not good news for us in S. FL as far as I can tell... :eek:
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Josephine96

#3 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:05 pm

Not necessarily good news for Central Florida either.. Because assuming she makes a WNW jog.. that would put us right back in the bulls eye..

Personally I think we still are in the bulls eye but that's beside the point..

When would watches or warnings be issued for Fla..? Probably by no earlier than tomorrow or Thursday right..?
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#4 Postby canegrl04 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:06 pm

Actually,she even said Frances is movieing DUE WEST right now
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#5 Postby canegrl04 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:06 pm

Actually,she even said Frances is movieing DUE WEST right now
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hurricane_lover

#6 Postby hurricane_lover » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:19 pm

This is a Carolina's hurricane. You guys really need to pay attention. S Florida will be of no threat.
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#7 Postby PurdueWx80 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:25 pm

hurricane_lover wrote:This is a Carolina's hurricane. You guys really need to pay attention. S Florida will be of no threat.


Pay attention to what? Where are you getting your info about a Carolina's hit? Just a hunch or have you been let in on something we haven't?
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#8 Postby hurricane_lover » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:28 pm

History, bro, history. They make that northern turn 90% of the time. Just wait.
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#9 Postby x-y-no » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:35 pm

Josephine96 wrote:Not necessarily good news for Central Florida either.. Because assuming she makes a WNW jog.. that would put us right back in the bulls eye..

Personally I think we still are in the bulls eye but that's beside the point..

When would watches or warnings be issued for Fla..? Probably by no earlier than tomorrow or Thursday right..?


Yeah, I think Central FL is the bullseye too. Problem is, hurricanes have notoriously lousy aim! :-/

Another 24 hours or so and I think things will start converging on a solution. I'm glad I did my prep last weekend, though. The stores are going to be nuts here if a watch goes up. All I need to do at this point is put up shutters when and if the time comes.

As to timing, we'll probably see watches tomorrow, I would think. Certainly no later than Thursday morning.
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Josephine96

#10 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:38 pm

Me too.. Thursday at the latest.. As I sit and patiently wait
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Josephine96

#11 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:39 pm

I've already decided I'll ride the storm out at my mom's place if it comes this way
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#12 Postby ChaserUK » Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:13 pm

My base of ops will be in Tampa and we will co-ordinate our efforts from there.
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#13 Postby FloridaDiver » Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:42 pm

hurricane_lover wrote:History, bro, history. They make that northern turn 90% of the time. Just wait.


Well 'Bro" in 92 where was "history", guess Andrew forgot....
Floyd remembered (thank you) and a few others.
If you’re looking at this from a statistical viewpoint then we (the FL East Coast) are due and the models are having a hard time dealing with your 90 percent history theory.
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