my daughter lives..

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
mel38
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 135
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 5:04 pm
Location: stuart, florida

my daughter lives..

#1 Postby mel38 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:42 pm

i am in a dilemma(sorry for misspell) my daughter lives in orlando in an apartment. we are just n. of west palm. her here or us there. want her near me you know any thoughts. nerves strung tight ya know
0 likes   

User avatar
bahamaswx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1545
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 1:11 am
Location: Georgetown, Bahamas

#2 Postby bahamaswx » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:43 pm

I'd rather be in orlando, assuming the apartment is pretty solid.
0 likes   

jaysonx
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 115
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 5:19 pm
Location: Mays Landing, NJ

#3 Postby jaysonx » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:44 pm

Go to Orlando.. will be bad but nowhere near as bad as where you currently are located. Not worth taking the chance.
0 likes   

snoopj
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 530
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 9:46 pm
Location: KCMO
Contact:

#4 Postby snoopj » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:45 pm

Best case? Drive to Orlando, pick up daughter, drive to Tennessee. It's a good time of the year to enjoy the Smokey Mountains......

That's probably what I'd do.........

--snoopj
0 likes   

Pasco
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 46
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:08 am
Location: Pasco County FL

#5 Postby Pasco » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:47 pm

mel, i'm no expert by any means but if i were you i would head to orlando tomorrow and monitor the storms progress on the way. making a hotel reservation somewhere in the interior southeast, say atlanta, wouldn't be a bad idea in case you decide to get out of dodge. just my 2 cents. Hope you fair well.
0 likes   

User avatar
wlfpack81
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 417
Joined: Thu Sep 18, 2003 11:19 am
Location: Arlington, VA
Contact:

#6 Postby wlfpack81 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:52 pm

Yea Orlando may not be a great spot either. It all depends on where this storm comes in. One of the earlier NHC tracks from today had the storm roughly 50 miles southeast of ORL with 115mph winds. Obviously the track has shifted since then but jsut for examples sack if that track had verified Orlando would not have been a fun place to be. And with apts. if you're on the 2nd floor or above, that's definitely not good since the higher you go up, the stronger the winds. Just keep monitoring the storm and remember you don't want to be anywhere near that eyewall at all!!!
0 likes   

mel38
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 135
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 5:04 pm
Location: stuart, florida

thanks everyone

#7 Postby mel38 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:53 pm

my house a block house and my bro and his family from vero may come here. i have generator and 300lbs plus ice in deep freeze. my daughter and her cat also coming. my family bringing pets too. any VETS want to come here too! plz????????? trying to keep sense of humor or cry, like to have my kid here. thanks guys melinda
0 likes   

User avatar
bahamaswx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1545
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 1:11 am
Location: Georgetown, Bahamas

#8 Postby bahamaswx » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:54 pm

Why ask a question and then disregard the answers?
0 likes   

borderPatrol2329
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 40
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:28 pm
Location: Windsor, Canada

#9 Postby borderPatrol2329 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:00 am

Go as soon as possible. Frances has shifted slightly south of the 11 PM forecast track. That track placed here in Vero. You are probably at ground zero right now. Sorry to alarm you, but I am very familiar with your area. If this track holds true the storm surge will travel right up the St. Lucie inlet, up the Indian River, and both forks of the St. Lucie. A CAT-4 brings 12-18 foot surges, if this goes CAT-5, and there is a good possibility of that, it will exceed 18 feet. Aside from Skyline Drive in Jensen, there are not too many areas east of US 1 that will be above water. Also if this is a direct strike most everything on Hutchinson Island will be gone. I suspect a mass exodus tomorrow morning when they revise the track to your locale. Go tonight before the gridlock, I hate to say this, but you may want to take one last look around. Good Luck!
0 likes   

User avatar
wlfpack81
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 417
Joined: Thu Sep 18, 2003 11:19 am
Location: Arlington, VA
Contact:

#10 Postby wlfpack81 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:06 am

I agree with borderPatrol2329 about the situation if a worst case scenario track were to verify. 13-18+ storm surge is not fun and honestly if you're withing 3-5 miles of the coast the surge + the 145 mph winds would honestly most likely mean you and your family chances of survival would be VERY LOW. I'd really suggest paying close attention to what the NHC, TWC, and local mets are saying tomorrow and then decide to leave if the track shifts farther south which I'm beginning to think it will as well. I'd hate for someone not his board to lose his/her life b/c they decided to foolish attempt to ride out a Cat 4/5 storm right near the coast.
0 likes   

User avatar
wlfpack81
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 417
Joined: Thu Sep 18, 2003 11:19 am
Location: Arlington, VA
Contact:

#11 Postby wlfpack81 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:16 am

Ok I just looked at a yahoo map of Stuart, FL:

http://www.mapquest.com/maps/map.adp?country=US&address=&city=Stuart&state=FL

You seriously dont' want to be there if this storm came in south of you. Espeically if it came in between West Palm Beach and your location. Flooding would be massive and since there's so many bays/waterways around that region it would take extra long for the water to receed after the flooding due to the narrow entrance/exit setup of the bays. Please seriously considering leaving. Based on what I saw on that map if you had to choose between Orlando or Staurt I'd go to Orlando. You wouldn't have to worry about flooding there.
Last edited by wlfpack81 on Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:51 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
Eyes2theSkies
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 264
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 4:20 am
Location: Was Florida now Charlotte, NC
Contact:

#12 Postby Eyes2theSkies » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:38 am

I'm from Hobe Sound, now living in Orlando area. My mom lives off Cove Road in Stuart. She's leaving. If I still lived in Hobe Sound, I'd be in Orlando by now...
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Team Ghost and 285 guests