very visable ridge...

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c5Camille

very visable ridge...

#1 Postby c5Camille » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:45 pm

this is a so/flo storm... i mean MEGA STORM

very impressive loop
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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jaysonx
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#2 Postby jaysonx » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:47 pm

That last frame is amazing. We may be looking at CAT5 come 2am. Unfortunatly I wont be awake to see it, I have had all I can take for one night.
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#3 Postby rtd2 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:47 pm

like a wall! We will be tracking this storm 2 times!
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#4 Postby cape_escape » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:48 pm

Whats this mean? Will Frances go more South? More West? I'm over here in Cape Coral and not sure what we should do as far as stocking up on food, water ,etc... I've heard it said that Fort Myers should be pretty safe, but people around here don't seem so sure! Charley shook us all up pretty good!
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c5Camille

#5 Postby c5Camille » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:52 pm

it will keep it south... or slow it down... or both...
what it does more than anything is change
ALL THE MODELS...
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#6 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:00 am

Very nice satellite view....
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#7 Postby Lindaloo » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:01 am

rtd2 wrote:like a wall! We will be tracking this storm 2 times!




What do you mean tracking it two times??
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c5Camille

#8 Postby c5Camille » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:03 am

to florida... then to the gulf coast...
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#9 Postby rtd2 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:09 am

Linda,
standing by my initial track of S.FLA(maybe even keys) to GOMEX to a second landfall@ (track 2x's) which I havent hinted on but could be near us or just east!
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#10 Postby NateFLA » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:28 am

Is it just me or does the ridge look thin where F is approaching. I'm no pro, so I don't know how these two will act together, but is it inconcievable that it will split the two or 'kink' it? Or is the ridge going to push up while F pushes down...
Ok here is what I am seeing:
The ridge looks like it see-saws in that loop... also, on top left edge of ridge over S GA there is circulation and moisture that dissapates at the end. The moisture remaining acts like it is going to move away to the north... would this allow the ridge to pivot/push up out of the way of F?
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chakalakasp

#11 Postby chakalakasp » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:38 am

BTW, this is fun discussion and all, but if you're in Florida and trying to plan what to do, DON'T BASE YOUR DECISIONS ON WHAT YOU READ IN THESE THREADS. A great deal of the posters are NOT professional meteorologists, and certainly few to none here have the same experience as any one of the NHS forecasters, let along the NHS as a team. GO BY WHAT THE NHS SAYS. Listen to your local emergency management; they've got an information pipeline to NOAA.

Right now the NHS is saying that anyone in eastern or southern Florida should assume hurricane force winds will enter in less than 32 hours. Anyone in eastern and shouthern Florida COULD see the eye of this storm pass over them. Plan accordingly! You don't want to be caught with your knickers down.
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#12 Postby rtd2 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:41 am

QUOTE" DON'T BASE YOUR DECISIONS ON WHAT YOU READ IN THESE THREADS. A great deal of the posters are NOT professional meteorologists, and certainly few to none here have the same experience as any one of the NHS forecasters, let along the NHS as a team"




CRAP Y'ALL WEVE BEEN FOUND OUT! OH WELL GUESS I'LL GO TO BED NOW... OH YEAH S.FLA (MAYBE AS FAR S AS KEYS)TO GOMEX!
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#13 Postby Ajarens » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:50 am

I forgot.. can someone tell me where rtd2 says it is going? Goodnight boy... don't wake up too early.
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chakalakasp

#14 Postby chakalakasp » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:55 am

rtd2 wrote:QUOTE" DON'T BASE YOUR DECISIONS ON WHAT YOU READ IN THESE THREADS. A great deal of the posters are NOT professional meteorologists, and certainly few to none here have the same experience as any one of the NHS forecasters, let along the NHS as a team"




CRAP Y'ALL WEVE BEEN FOUND OUT! OH WELL GUESS I'LL GO TO BED NOW... OH YEAH S.FLA (MAYBE AS FAR S AS KEYS)TO GOMEX!


Well, there have been lots of scattered questions in the threads from panicky sounding people wondering why the models keep shifting and getting all worked up because someone has the opinion that the storm will hit Charleston or cross over Florida and slam New Orleans. This site is probably getting a bit more exposure than normal from people who are just looking for some answers.
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#15 Postby KeyLargoDave » Thu Sep 02, 2004 1:02 am

Yeah, and I am getting a little testy about phrases (almost shouts) like

So Fla to GOMEX!

Like somebody's cheering for it. I know nobody is, but we're all so on edge that just words like that from anybody send a jolt through your body.

Good luck to everyone.

Dave
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#16 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 02, 2004 1:04 am

rtd2 wrote:CRAP Y'ALL WEVE BEEN FOUND OUT! OH WELL GUESS I'LL GO TO BED NOW... OH YEAH S.FLA (MAYBE AS FAR S AS KEYS)TO GOMEX!


This will not go very far in the GOM before being kicked NEward by the trough...
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